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Pavlodar vs CHAMP1ON Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 06:45
Final 78-92
15-24 18-26 23-26 22-16
Position#14
Record2-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.8
Allowed / game89.9
vs
Position#9
Record11-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game73.1
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pavlodar v CHAMP1ON
29 Mar 2026
PAVL69
CHAM75
27 Mar 2026
PAVL78
CHAM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CHAMP1ON winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
55-86
55
86
-31
54avg 41
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
47avg 41
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-112
52
112
-60
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
55-93
55
93
-38
30avg 41
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
55-101
55
101
-46
45avg 41
A11/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
57-86
57
86
-29
no box
H12/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
61-98
61
98
-37
37avg 41
A13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
36-84
36
84
-48
3avg 41
A14/02
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
50avg 41
A26/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-27
17-20
14-20
17-19
12-15
9-21
23-11
16-11
15-35
2-27
23-26
12-24
17-16
13-28
8-23
14-19
7-28
13-21
17-25
18-19
8-31
12-27
12-23
23-20
14-30
11-15
15-23
17-18
23-29
12-23
16-23
10-23
2-26
12-18
6-28
16-12
17-35
16-21
13-20
18-16
144.3Avg total
54.7Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)53.889.9143.7-36.010%
Season at home (10)55.385.9141.2-30.620%
Season away (11)52.593.5145.9-41.00%
Last 10 (10)54.789.6144.3-34.910%
Last 5 (5)54.692.2146.8-37.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)59.593.0152.5-33.54%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCHAMP1ON
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
59-81
59
81
-22
42avg 67
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
74avg 67
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
89avg 67
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
69-47
69
47
+22
73avg 67
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-63
77
63
+14
65avg 67
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
76avg 67
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-51
85
51
+34
92avg 67
A03/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 67
H04/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
82avg 67
A05/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
69avg 67
H26/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
12-17
15-24
17-19
22-9
19-16
20-20
14-13
28-18
28-24
17-16
21-17
19-16
19-12
14-10
17-9
13-18
17-19
25-14
22-12
24-15
16-23
22-16
23-14
22-20
30-14
21-17
12-0
27-24
16-22
26-16
19-31
21-21
24-17
26-28
21-20
19-16
19-25
18-18
27-19
150.7Avg total
80.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.273.1147.3+1.152%
Season at home (11)72.577.0149.5-4.545%
Season away (10)76.268.8145.0+7.460%
Last 10 (10)80.770.0150.7+10.780%
Last 5 (5)86.675.2161.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)60.679.6140.2-18.911%
vs Similar (8)75.663.1138.8+12.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.552.0130.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: -15.0-15.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -10.4-10.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.9+3.9
-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: -15.0-15.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -10.4-10.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.9+3.9
PavlodarCHAMP1ON
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
20-49
20
49
-29
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
20-58
20
58
-38
A11/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H12/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
14-44
14
44
-30
A14/02
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A26/03
Higher League
73.2Avg total
23.9Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.048.377.3-19.313%-
Last 30 at home (11)30.145.275.3-15.127%-
Last 30 away (19)28.450.178.5-21.75%-
Last 10 (10)23.949.373.2-25.40%-
Last 5 (5)25.451.076.4-25.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.649.478.0-20.711%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/12
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A03/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H26/03
Higher League
77.7Avg total
41.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.637.971.5-4.438%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.937.969.8-6.138%-
Last 30 away (13)35.637.973.5-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.777.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.483.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)28.840.269.0-11.417%-
vs Similar (7)40.938.779.6+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.226.268.5+16.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pavlodartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pavlodar: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.018.0
33.3%
49.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.0
25.9%
28.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.012.0
52.2%
63.9%12.0
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.3 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.224.7
54.5%
49.5%49.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.2
28.6%
28.5%18.7
🏀 Free throws21.815.1
69.4%
63.9%15.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/9 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pavlodar
LLLLLLLLWL
CHAMP1ON
WWLWWWWWWL
#14
League position
#9
-27.7
Net rating
+19.3
83.0
Offensive rating
112.2
110.6
Defensive rating
92.8
35.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
62.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
25.9%
3-point %
28.6%
48.0%
Assist %
58.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence83.0 · 112.2Defence110.6 · 92.8Shooting35.2% · 50.7%3-point %25.9% · 28.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Pavlodar   ■ CHAMP1ON
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
0
CHAMP1ON wins
No previous meetings.
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26ABC Almaty 264-92
14/02/26AKaraganda36-84
13/02/26AAiRom61-98
12/02/26HArlans57-86
11/02/26AAiRom55-101
10/02/26HArlans55-93
19/01/26HAktobe52-86
18/01/26AAktobe52-112
18/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 260-58
17/12/25AAtyrau 255-86
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HKaraganda83-78
05/03/26ATobol Kostanay 292-86
04/03/26HChelSU Kostanay88-93
03/03/26ATobol Kostanay 285-51
02/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-68
09/01/26AArlans77-63
08/01/26HAiRom69-47
07/01/26AArlans94-75
06/01/26HAiRom75-58
07/12/25HAktobe59-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game53.855.352.5
Allowed / game89.985.993.5
Point differential-36.0-30.6-41.0
Avg total143.7141.2145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeWWWLW45%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%45%60%
Points / game74.272.576.2
Allowed / game73.177.068.8
Point differential+1.1-4.5+7.4
Avg total147.3149.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%27%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22113862%81.372.9+8.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
8 CHAMP1ON21111052%74.273.1+1.1
9 Karaganda2191243%80.178.2+1.9
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar2121910%53.889.9-36.0
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1518232278
CHAMP1ON2426261692
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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