PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BC Almaty 2 vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 92-64
35-17 21-16 20-13 16-18
Position#5
Record12-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#14
Record2-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.3
Allowed / game89.8
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · BC Almaty 2 v Pavlodar
28 Mar 2026
BC A94
PAVL69
26 Mar 2026
BC A92
PAVL64
05 Apr 2020
BC A v PAVL
upcoming
03 Feb 2020
BC A56
PAVL85
15 Dec 2019
BC A46
PAVL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Almaty 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Almaty 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 73
A04/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
89-94
89
94
-5
71avg 73
H05/12
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 73
H06/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
94avg 73
A07/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
104-57
104
57
+47
98avg 73
H08/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
57-45
57
45
+12
52avg 73
A09/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
70-45
70
45
+25
65avg 73
H02/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
103-99
103
99
+4
89avg 73
A03/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-63
85
63
+22
no box
H04/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
105-78
105
78
+27
90avg 73
A05/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
16-21
23-24
24-25
29-19
16-23
15-32
29-20
32-29
33-16
24-24
24-28
25-24
29-16
18-9
20-11
34-15
30-14
27-18
13-10
13-14
19-10
12-14
13-7
29-4
20-9
11-9
10-23
24-23
25-30
28-27
26-19
18-19
18-19
28-12
21-13
21-14
38-17
30-17
16-30
163.2Avg total
90.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.873.3154.1+7.460%
Season at home (10)85.071.0156.0+14.070%
Season away (10)76.575.7152.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)90.273.0163.2+17.280%
Last 5 (5)84.066.0150.0+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.092.8153.8-31.80%
vs Similar (3)94.384.3178.7+10.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.265.9153.1+21.387%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 41
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
55-86
55
86
-31
54avg 41
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
47avg 41
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-112
52
112
-60
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
55-93
55
93
-38
30avg 41
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
55-101
55
101
-46
45avg 41
A11/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
57-86
57
86
-29
no box
H12/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
61-98
61
98
-37
37avg 41
A13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
36-84
36
84
-48
3avg 41
A14/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
26-14
22-14
24-18
7-27
17-20
14-20
17-19
12-15
9-21
23-11
16-11
15-35
2-27
23-26
12-24
17-16
13-28
8-23
14-19
7-28
13-21
17-25
18-19
8-31
12-27
12-23
23-20
14-30
11-15
15-23
17-18
23-29
12-23
16-23
10-23
2-26
12-18
6-28
16-12
144.3Avg total
57.6Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)53.389.8143.1-36.510%
Season at home (10)55.385.9141.2-30.620%
Season away (10)51.393.6144.9-42.30%
Last 10 (10)57.686.7144.3-29.120%
Last 5 (5)52.892.4145.2-39.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)59.792.9152.6-33.24%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -12.8-12.8Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -12.8-12.8Q2Q2: +6.9+6.9Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
BC Almaty 2Pavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Almaty 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H05/12
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H06/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A07/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
64-29
64
29
+35
H08/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A09/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
49-13
49
13
+36
H02/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A03/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
59-31
59
31
+28
A05/03
Higher League
84.8Avg total
49.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.036.182.1+9.967%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.834.283.0+14.575%-
Last 30 away (18)44.237.481.6+6.861%-
Last 10 (10)49.035.884.8+13.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.031.876.8+13.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.053.085.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (3)45.339.384.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.532.881.3+15.778%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
20-49
20
49
-29
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
20-58
20
58
-38
A11/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H12/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
14-44
14
44
-30
A14/02
Higher League
72.1Avg total
25.3Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.147.876.9-18.813%-
Last 30 at home (11)30.145.275.3-15.127%-
Last 30 away (19)28.549.477.8-20.95%-
Last 10 (10)25.346.872.1-21.510%-
Last 5 (5)22.849.672.4-26.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.748.977.6-20.111%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Almaty 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Almaty 2: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.326.7
55.3%
49.5%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.7
28.8%
28.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws27.718.4
66.5%
63.9%18.4
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pavlodartheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BC Almaty 2 wins
5
Pavlodar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AChelSU Kostanay105-78
04/03/26HTobol Kostanay 285-63
03/03/26AChelSU Kostanay103-99
02/03/26HTobol Kostanay 270-45
09/01/26AAiRom57-45
08/01/26HArlans104-57
07/01/26AAiRom92-60
06/01/26HArlans113-97
05/12/25HAktobe89-94
04/12/25AAktobe84-92
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AKaraganda36-84
13/02/26AAiRom61-98
12/02/26HArlans57-86
11/02/26AAiRom55-101
10/02/26HArlans55-93
19/01/26HAktobe52-86
18/01/26AAktobe52-112
18/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 260-58
17/12/25AAtyrau 255-86
16/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 293-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Almaty 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game80.885.076.5
Allowed / game73.371.075.7
Point differential+7.4+14.0+0.8
Avg total154.1156.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%70%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game53.355.351.3
Allowed / game89.885.993.6
Point differential-36.5-30.6-42.3
Avg total143.1141.2144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22012860%80.873.3+7.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
8 CHAMP1ON21111052%74.273.1+1.1
9 Karaganda2191243%80.178.2+1.9
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Almaty 23521201692
Pavlodar1716131864
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.