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Pavlodar vs CHAMP1ON Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 69-75
20-19 19-17 20-20 10-19
Position#14
Record2-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game55.5
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#9
Record12-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game73.5
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pavlodar v CHAMP1ON
29 Mar 2026
PAVL69
CHAM75
27 Mar 2026
PAVL78
CHAM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CHAMP1ON winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
52-112
52
112
-60
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
55-93
55
93
-38
30avg 42
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
55-101
55
101
-46
45avg 42
A11/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
57-86
57
86
-29
no box
H12/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
61-98
61
98
-37
37avg 42
A13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
36-84
36
84
-48
3avg 42
A14/02
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
50avg 42
A26/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
78-92
78
92
-14
60avg 42
H27/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
45avg 42
A28/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
2-27
23-26
12-24
17-16
13-28
8-23
14-19
7-28
13-21
17-25
18-19
8-31
12-27
12-23
23-20
14-30
11-15
15-23
17-18
23-29
12-23
16-23
10-23
2-26
12-18
6-28
16-12
17-35
16-21
13-20
18-16
15-24
18-26
23-26
22-16
15-25
18-22
15-22
21-25
151.7Avg total
57.9Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)55.590.1145.7-34.69%
Season at home (11)57.486.5143.8-29.118%
Season away (12)53.893.5147.3-39.70%
Last 10 (10)57.993.8151.7-35.90%
Last 5 (5)61.692.0153.6-30.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)58.992.2151.1-33.44%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCHAMP1ON
Date
Competition
Arlans
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
89avg 67
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
69-47
69
47
+22
73avg 67
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
77-63
77
63
+14
65avg 67
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
76avg 67
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-51
85
51
+34
92avg 67
A03/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 67
H04/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
82avg 67
A05/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
69avg 67
H26/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
84avg 67
A27/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
58avg 67
H28/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
28-24
17-16
21-17
19-16
19-12
14-10
17-9
13-18
17-19
25-14
22-12
24-15
16-23
22-16
23-14
22-20
30-14
21-17
12-0
27-24
16-22
26-16
19-31
21-21
24-17
26-28
21-20
19-16
19-25
18-18
27-19
24-15
26-18
26-23
16-22
24-16
21-22
10-22
12-18
154.9Avg total
83.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.773.5148.2+1.252%
Season at home (12)72.077.1149.1-5.142%
Season away (11)77.669.6147.3+8.064%
Last 10 (10)83.271.7154.9+11.580%
Last 5 (5)84.482.6167.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)60.880.2141.0-19.311%
vs Similar (7)77.362.3139.6+15.086%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.257.2138.4+24.0100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-18-9+0+9+18Q1Q1: -14.6-14.6Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -10.1-10.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -9.1-9.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-18-9+0+9+18Q1Q1: -14.6-14.6Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -10.1-10.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -9.1-9.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
PavlodarCHAMP1ON
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
20-49
20
49
-29
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
20-58
20
58
-38
A11/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H12/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A13/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
14-44
14
44
-30
A14/02
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A26/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H27/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A28/03
Higher League
76.7Avg total
26.0Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.447.776.2-19.313%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.345.675.9-15.325%-
Last 30 away (18)27.249.276.3-22.06%-
Last 10 (10)26.050.776.7-24.70%-
Last 5 (5)29.649.879.4-20.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.048.876.8-20.711%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arlans
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A07/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A03/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H26/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A27/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/03
Higher League
81.2Avg total
43.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.938.072.9-3.141%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.538.270.8-5.838%-
Last 30 away (13)37.937.775.6+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.581.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.340.569.8-11.217%-
vs Similar (6)44.339.283.5+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.827.671.4+16.2100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pavlodartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pavlodar: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.7 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.323.3
42.2%
49.5%46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.36.0
22.0%
28.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.07.3
43.1%
63.9%7.3
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.624.8
53.2%
49.5%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.7
28.8%
28.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
63.9%13.5
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pavlodar
LLLLLLLLLL
CHAMP1ON
LWWWLWWWWW
#14
League position
#9
-23.2
Net rating
+15.0
80.9
Offensive rating
108.3
104.1
Defensive rating
93.4
39.1%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
22.0%
3-point %
28.8%
35.2%
Assist %
56.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence80.9 · 108.3Defence104.1 · 93.4Shooting39.1% · 49.9%3-point %22.0% · 28.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Pavlodar   ■ CHAMP1ON
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
1
CHAMP1ON wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Pavlodar v CHAMP1ON78-92
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ABC Almaty 269-94
27/03/26HCHAMP1ON78-92
26/03/26ABC Almaty 264-92
14/02/26AKaraganda36-84
13/02/26AAiRom61-98
12/02/26HArlans57-86
11/02/26AAiRom55-101
10/02/26HArlans55-93
19/01/26HAktobe52-86
18/01/26AAktobe52-112
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HKaraganda67-78
27/03/26APavlodar92-78
26/03/26HKaraganda83-78
05/03/26ATobol Kostanay 292-86
04/03/26HChelSU Kostanay88-93
03/03/26ATobol Kostanay 285-51
02/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-68
09/01/26AArlans77-63
08/01/26HAiRom69-47
07/01/26AArlans94-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeWLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %9%18%0%
Points / game55.557.453.8
Allowed / game90.186.593.5
Point differential-34.6-29.1-39.7
Avg total145.7143.8147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeWWLWL42%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%42%64%
Points / game74.772.077.6
Allowed / game73.577.169.6
Point differential+1.2-5.1+8.0
Avg total148.2149.1147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%25%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22315865%82.973.0+9.9
7 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
8 CHAMP1ON23121152%74.773.5+1.2
9 Karaganda23101343%80.079.0+1.0
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar232219%55.590.1-34.6
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar2019201069
CHAMP1ON1917201975
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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