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Karhu Basket vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 97-73
19-20 25-22 28-15 25-16
Position#5
Record23-20
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#7
Record23-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game83.1
FinlandKorisliigaKorisliiga - 3rd place· IKH Areena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Kataja
27 Jan 2027
KAH v KAT
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
KAH78
KAT94
24 Mar 2026
KAH68
KAT98
15 Nov 2025
KAH106
KAT99
12 Apr 2025
KAH87
KAT79
05 Apr 2025
KAH93
KAT79
01 Feb 2025
KAH85
KAT69
09 Nov 2024
KAH78
KAT101
11 May 2024
KAH97
KAT73
19 Mar 2024
KAH62
KAT69
14 Oct 2023
KAH88
KAT80
04 Mar 2023
KAH79
KAT64
18 Jan 2023
KAH95
KAT59
13 Nov 2021
KAH92
KAT67
06 Feb 2021
KAH84
KAT80
07 Apr 2020
KAH v KAT
upcoming
12 Dec 2019
KAH89
KAT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
97-92
97
92
+5
96avg 75
H08/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
76-97
76
97
-21
74avg 75
A11/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
90avg 75
H13/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
88avg 75
A18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 75
H22/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 75
A24/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
50-67
50
67
-17
44avg 75
H27/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
71avg 75
A29/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 75
H02/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
91-100
91
100
-9
80avg 75
A04/05
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
23-24
22-19
22-29
17-23
20-25
21-28
18-21
19-22
18-15
21-16
18-23
24-20
22-19
19-18
23-24
14-19
24-12
13-25
22-24
18-20
24-21
20-20
22-20
9-19
19-13
5-16
17-19
16-24
16-16
25-22
19-19
28-13
17-21
13-19
20-20
19-24
24-23
18-25
30-28
164.6Avg total
80.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)84.081.1165.1+2.953%
Season at home (21)85.577.8163.3+7.767%
Season away (22)82.684.2166.9-1.641%
Last 10 (10)80.584.1164.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)75.880.4156.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.183.7163.8-3.640%
vs Similar (11)82.580.8163.3+1.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.775.8163.4+11.967%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 72
H09/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
59avg 72
A12/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
60avg 72
H14/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
62avg 72
A19/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
99-75
99
75
+24
106avg 72
H22/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 72
A25/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
65avg 72
H29/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
81avg 72
A01/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
104-90
104
90
+14
94avg 72
H03/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
68avg 72
A05/05
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
28-25
21-20
23-24
13-22
18-22
22-12
22-18
16-16
14-16
28-22
13-16
9-12
17-21
24-18
17-35
18-22
28-14
27-24
26-15
10-20
20-20
20-18
14-27
22-25
16-19
19-25
23-24
21-27
20-19
25-23
27-21
27-21
19-26
28-23
30-20
23-16
13-18
24-15
14-26
164.1Avg total
81.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)82.583.1165.6-0.753%
Season at home (21)86.381.7168.0+4.667%
Season away (22)78.884.5163.2-5.741%
Last 10 (10)81.882.3164.1-0.560%
Last 5 (5)83.086.6169.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.485.9166.3-5.641%
vs Similar (10)81.284.6165.8-3.450%
vs Weaker (2)102.576.5179.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
Karhu BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H08/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A11/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H22/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A24/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H27/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A29/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A04/05
Korisliiga
79.4Avg total
40.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.980.2+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.478.5+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.640.381.9+1.367%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.379.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.876.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
vs Similar (11)39.838.878.6+1.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.437.782.1+6.878%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A12/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H14/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A19/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A25/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A05/05
Korisliiga
76.8Avg total
37.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.382.5-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.642.183.7-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.681.3-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.776.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.280.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.441.681.1-2.229%-
vs Similar (10)40.042.582.5-2.540%-
vs Weaker (2)50.542.593.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.3
50.0%
51.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.2
30.8%
33.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
73.5%14.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.0
48.3%
51.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.1
33.9%
33.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.112.5
77.6%
73.5%12.5
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
LWLLWLWWLW
Kataja
LWWLLWLWWW
#5
League position
#7
-4.9
Net rating
-0.9
107.9
Offensive rating
104.1
112.8
Defensive rating
105.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.6%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.8%
3-point %
33.9%
70.2%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 104.1Defence112.8 · 105.0Shooting48.2% · 49.4%3-point %30.8% · 33.9%Ball care17.2% · 16.6%Off. rebounds37.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Karhu Basket wins
2
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
19/03/24Karhu Basket v Kataja62-69
02/03/24Kataja v Karhu Basket84-92
03/01/24Kataja v Karhu Basket78-73
14/10/23Karhu Basket v Kataja88-80
04/03/23Karhu Basket v Kataja79-64
01/03/23Kataja v Karhu Basket75-79
18/01/23Karhu Basket v Kataja95-59
19/11/22Kataja v Karhu Basket71-81
19/01/22Kataja v Karhu Basket78-106
13/11/21Karhu Basket v Kataja92-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24AHelsinki Seagulls91-100
02/05/24HHelsinki Seagulls78-73
29/04/24AHelsinki Seagulls76-81
27/04/24HHelsinki Seagulls50-67
24/04/24AHelsinki Seagulls84-81
22/04/24HHelsinki Seagulls73-80
18/04/24AHelsinki Seagulls88-81
13/04/24HSalon Vilpas92-89 OT
11/04/24ASalon Vilpas76-97
08/04/24HSalon Vilpas97-92
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24ABC Nokia74-75
03/05/24HBC Nokia104-90
01/05/24ABC Nokia93-90
29/04/24HBC Nokia80-93
25/04/24ABC Nokia64-85
22/04/24HBC Nokia99-75
19/04/24ABC Nokia67-86
14/04/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki71-70
12/04/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki75-74
09/04/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %53%67%41%
Points / game84.085.582.6
Allowed / game81.177.884.2
Point differential+2.9+7.7-1.6
Avg total165.1163.3166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)57% (7)29% (7)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %53%67%41%
Points / game82.586.378.8
Allowed / game83.181.784.5
Point differential-0.7+4.6-5.7
Avg total165.6168.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)75% (8)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls44311370%87.879.1+8.8
2 BC Nokia44291566%87.083.4+3.6
3 Kouvot Kouvola35201557%87.383.4+4.0
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki36201656%86.885.9+0.9
5 Karhu Basket43232053%84.081.1+2.9
6 Kataja43232053%82.583.1-0.7
7 Salon Vilpas36191753%85.883.8+2.0
8 KTP Kotka Basket32131941%85.189.4-4.3
9 Kobrat35142140%80.582.4-1.9
10 Pyrinto Tampere32122038%83.587.0-3.5
11 Bisons Loimaa32102231%83.488.9-5.4
12 Lahti Basketball3282425%85.898.2-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket1925282597
Kataja2022151673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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