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BC Olimpas Palanga vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-66
19-21 23-15 13-12 22-18
Position#8
Record0-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game86.0
BC Olimpas Palanga 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis
Lithuania
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game104.5
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Palangos arena (Palanga)
Other2023-24
Meetings · BC Olimpas Palanga v Nevezis
24 Oct 2023
OPA77
NEV66
09 Nov 2012
OPA74
NEV84
04 Nov 2011
OPA61
NEV76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Olimpas Palanga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Olimpas PalangaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalanga
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A20/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H23/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
80avg 80
A05/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
87-72
87
72
+15
85avg 80
H07/10
NKL
Siauliai
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
72avg 80
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Kretinga
#8
W
87-72
87
72
+15
89avg 80
A12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
89-90
89
90
-1
82avg 80
H14/10
NKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
68avg 80
A17/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas 2
#13
W
80-65
80
65
+15
78avg 80
H19/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
89-66
89
66
+23
86avg 80
A21/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
27-22
17-18
17-26
17-26
17-11
12-15
19-25
17-22
21-24
19-21
25-12
22-19
23-20
18-15
24-18
16-16
21-17
21-24
17-31
25-16
21-15
24-27
17-14
19-27
23-19
23-27
24-17
11-16
25-21
16-21
26-26
22-14
18-19
21-14
19-18
19-18
22-19
22-19
26-10
159.4Avg total
81.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.586.0162.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)81.478.0159.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)84.675.4160.0+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.283.8156.0-11.525%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.377.8150.1-5.433%
vs Weaker (17)79.169.4148.5+9.688%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 78
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
80avg 78
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
67avg 78
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
84-100
84
100
-16
87avg 78
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
88-98
88
98
-10
89avg 78
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
64-91
64
91
-27
51avg 78
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-107
112
107
+5
109avg 78
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
84-97
84
97
-13
80avg 78
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
89avg 78
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
70avg 78
H22/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
15-22
19-21
19-27
17-21
23-27
28-23
17-26
25-28
18-23
21-30
15-19
23-25
12-13
24-32
25-30
20-12
25-30
25-33
18-23
17-23
19-20
16-29
12-19
37-23
24-23
29-31
22-30
23-23
25-23
24-23
12-28
25-23
20-29
28-26
25-24
24-31
22-23
11-10
13-12
180.3Avg total
84.1Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)105.0104.5209.5+0.550%
Season at home (2)105.0104.5209.5+0.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.196.2180.3-12.110%
Last 5 (5)85.694.6180.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.295.0177.2-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (8)94.596.4190.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (6)96.894.3191.2+2.567%
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -6.0-6.0
BC Olimpas PalangaNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Olimpas PalangaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A20/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H23/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A05/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/10
NKL
Siauliai
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Kretinga
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H14/10
NKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas 2
#13
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H19/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/10
NKL
78.9Avg total
40.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.576.7-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.535.973.3+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.180.0-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.278.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.877.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.540.577.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.740.276.9-3.644%-
vs Weaker (17)39.437.176.5+2.265%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H22/10
LKL
90.4Avg total
43.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.845.989.7-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.047.691.6-3.621%-
Last 30 away (16)43.644.488.1-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.690.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.295.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.847.287.9-6.46%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.945.191.0+0.838%-
vs Weaker (6)49.243.592.7+5.767%-
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Olimpas Palangatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Olimpas Palanga: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.9
57.4%
56.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.1%
34.9%22.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.8
76.6%
74.5%16.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.6
59.0%
56.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.4
37.0%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.012.9
71.7%
74.5%12.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Olimpas Palanga
WWLLWLWWLL
Nevezis
LLLWLLLLLL
#8
League position
#6
+8.7
Net rating
-15.4
112.3
Offensive rating
109.6
103.6
Defensive rating
125.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
57.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.0%
19.1%
Turnover %
22.3%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.1%
3-point %
37.0%
66.2%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 109.6Defence103.6 · 125.0Shooting53.9% · 57.7%3-point %32.1% · 37.0%Ball care19.1% · 22.3%Off. rebounds35.1% · 30.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ BC Olimpas Palanga   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Olimpas Palanga wins
4
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
02/03/13Nevezis v BC Olimpas Palanga69-68
09/11/12BC Olimpas Palanga v Nevezis74-84
06/01/12Nevezis v BC Olimpas Palanga86-72
04/11/11BC Olimpas Palanga v Nevezis61-76
BC Olimpas Palangalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AVilkaviskis89-66
19/10/23HRytas 280-65
17/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-84
14/10/23HTelsiai89-90
12/10/23AKretinga87-72
10/10/23HSiauliai75-88
07/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas 287-72
05/10/23AVytis VDU82-79
23/03/22HVytis VDU65-77
20/03/22AVytis VDU82-87
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-76
19/10/23HSiauliai98-102
16/10/23AGargzdai84-97
12/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-107
09/10/23HJuventus64-91
04/10/23HManisa88-98
03/10/23AFC Porto84-100
30/09/23ALietkabelis79-100
24/09/23HRytas85-97
16/09/23AJonava77-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Olimpas Palanga
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.575.078.0
Allowed / game86.088.084.0
Point differential-9.5-13.0-6.0
Avg total162.5163.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game105.0105.0-
Allowed / game104.5104.5-
Point differential+0.5+0.5-
Avg total209.5209.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai220100%95.086.5+8.5
2 Neptunas220100%89.588.0+1.5
3 Juventus21150%87.076.5+10.5
4 Nevezis21150%105.0104.5+0.5
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes21150%95.595.0+0.5
6 Gargzdai21150%78.088.5-10.5
7 Mazeikiai2020%89.591.0-1.5
8 BC Olimpas Palanga2020%76.586.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Olimpas Palanga1923132277
Nevezis2115121866
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