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Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 70-76
24-31 22-23 11-10 13-12
Position#9
Record0-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game95.8
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game66.0
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena (Kedainiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Feb 2027
NEV v ZAL
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
NEV76
ZAL80
18 Feb 2026
NEV67
ZAL91
09 Nov 2025
NEV68
ZAL94
23 Mar 2025
NEV80
ZAL84
29 Sep 2024
NEV76
ZAL89
22 Oct 2023
NEV70
ZAL76
15 May 2023
NEV86
ZAL92
04 Mar 2023
NEV69
ZAL97
14 Apr 2022
NEV64
ZAL72
02 Jan 2022
NEV69
ZAL77
09 Feb 2020
NEV63
ZAL92
28 Sep 2019
NEV57
ZAL83
10 Apr 2019
NEV70
ZAL102
16 Dec 2018
NEV55
ZAL79
24 May 2018
NEV75
ZAL96
12 Mar 2018
NEV73
ZAL79
01 Oct 2017
NEV66
ZAL77
09 Apr 2017
NEV54
ZAL82
30 Oct 2016
NEV68
ZAL81
25 Jan 2016
NEV54
ZAL98
08 Nov 2015
NEV67
ZAL90
30 Mar 2015
NEV74
ZAL112
24 Sep 2014
NEV59
ZAL93
12 Jan 2014
NEV65
ZAL84
18 Apr 2013
NEV71
ZAL91
14 Jan 2013
NEV42
ZAL83
11 Feb 2012
NEV60
ZAL74
19 Mar 2011
NEV66
ZAL78
18 Oct 2009
NEV52
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
75avg 78
H15/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 78
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
80avg 78
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
67avg 78
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
84-100
84
100
-16
87avg 78
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
88-98
88
98
-10
89avg 78
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
64-91
64
91
-27
51avg 78
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-107
112
107
+5
109avg 78
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
84-97
84
97
-13
80avg 78
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
89avg 78
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
17-23
25-22
26-18
24-24
15-22
19-21
19-27
17-21
23-27
28-23
17-26
25-28
18-23
21-30
15-19
23-25
12-13
24-32
25-30
20-12
25-30
25-33
18-23
17-23
19-20
16-29
12-19
37-23
24-23
29-31
22-30
23-23
25-23
24-23
12-28
25-23
20-29
28-26
25-24
183.5Avg total
85.7Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.895.8173.6-18.00%
Season at home (2)74.594.0168.5-19.50%
Season away (3)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)85.797.8183.5-12.110%
Last 5 (5)89.299.0188.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)83.096.3179.3-13.30%
vs Similar (8)94.596.4190.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (7)94.990.1185.0+4.771%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 78
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
107-55
107
55
+52
108avg 78
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 78
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
80avg 78
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 78
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 78
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 78
H13/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
89avg 78
H15/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
66avg 78
A17/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
99-82
99
82
+17
102avg 78
A19/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
23-21
24-24
27-18
34-16
21-7
25-14
27-18
15-17
26-19
25-14
13-19
23-23
15-22
15-16
25-7
15-23
22-19
21-23
24-14
15-16
20-27
10-14
28-12
19-21
16-17
15-18
29-18
27-10
20-15
22-20
17-24
19-25
24-28
19-19
17-21
22-14
24-25
28-22
25-21
160.4Avg total
85.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.666.0150.6+18.6100%
Season at home (2)82.068.5150.5+13.5100%
Season away (3)86.364.3150.7+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.974.5160.4+11.490%
Last 5 (5)83.277.4160.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.887.5161.2-13.80%
vs Similar (3)86.778.3165.0+8.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.374.8160.1+10.483%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +6.0+6.0
NevezisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H15/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
89.1Avg total
42.7Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.489.0-1.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.646.590.1-2.929%-
Last 30 away (16)43.644.488.1-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.746.489.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)47.045.892.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.446.787.1-6.37%-
vs Similar (8)45.945.191.0+0.838%-
vs Weaker (7)48.042.990.9+5.171%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H10/06
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
55-23
55
23
+32
A17/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/10
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A17/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A19/10
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
42.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.981.2+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.880.7+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.838.981.7+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.981.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.680.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.043.879.8-7.80%-
vs Similar (3)39.339.779.0-0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.937.981.8+6.070%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.423.0
58.4%
55.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.6
37.9%
34.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.1
66.8%
73.2%13.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.8
54.2%
55.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.1
40.2%
34.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.515.2
77.9%
73.2%15.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LLWLLLLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-15.2
Net rating
+15.5
110.3
Offensive rating
115.8
125.5
Defensive rating
100.3
57.8%
Effective FG%
56.7%
61.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
21.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.9%
3-point %
40.2%
61.7%
Assist %
56.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 115.8Defence125.5 · 100.3Shooting57.8% · 56.7%3-point %37.9% · 40.2%Ball care21.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 29.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Nevezis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23HSiauliai98-102
16/10/23AGargzdai84-97
12/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-107
09/10/23HJuventus64-91
04/10/23HManisa88-98
03/10/23AFC Porto84-100
30/09/23ALietkabelis79-100
24/09/23HRytas85-97
16/09/23AJonava77-94
15/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas86-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23ABaskonia99-82
17/10/23AReal Madrid79-93
15/10/23HJonava86-69
13/10/23HCrvena zvezda79-74
09/10/23AMazeikiai73-69
05/10/23AVirtus Bologna82-79
01/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes78-68
28/09/23AJuventus79-69
17/09/23AGargzdai107-55
10/06/23HRytas97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.874.580.0
Allowed / game95.894.097.0
Point differential-18.0-19.5-17.0
Avg total173.6168.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.682.086.3
Allowed / game66.068.564.3
Point differential+18.6+13.5+22.0
Avg total150.6150.5150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas550100%96.477.8+18.6
2 Zalgiris Kaunas550100%84.666.0+18.6
3 BC Wolves65183%90.375.5+14.8
4 Juventus65183%87.777.0+10.7
5 Lietkabelis54180%93.686.6+7.0
6 Jonava64267%82.383.5-1.2
7 Neptunas52340%90.693.6-3.0
8 Siauliai51420%77.282.8-5.6
9 Gargzdai51420%73.695.4-21.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes6060%84.094.8-10.8
11 Mazeikiai5050%70.082.0-12.0
12 Nevezis5050%77.895.8-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2422111370
Zalgiris Kaunas3123101276
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