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Gargzdai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 97-84
23-23 23-25 23-24 28-12
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game98.2
vs
Position#9
Record0-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game95.5
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale (Gargzdai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Gargzdai v Nevezis
08 May 2027
GAR v NEV
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
06 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
GAR88
NEV81
10 Dec 2025
GAR90
NEV74
16 Nov 2025
GAR86
NEV79
16 Oct 2023
GAR97
NEV84
02 Apr 2023
GAR73
NEV87
29 Oct 2022
GAR71
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
60avg 66
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 66
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 66
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 66
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
58avg 66
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-107
55
107
-52
42avg 66
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-104
68
104
-36
56avg 66
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 66
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
51avg 66
A07/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
44avg 66
A12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
13-9
20-17
8-15
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
19-23
15-21
21-20
10-27
16-34
7-21
14-25
18-27
18-20
14-24
19-29
17-31
23-23
17-26
22-25
20-24
16-25
18-20
20-15
12-24
11-17
22-24
9-17
19-26
157.6Avg total
68.2Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.898.2166.0-30.50%
Season at home (2)68.5102.5171.0-34.00%
Season away (2)67.094.0161.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)68.289.4157.6-21.20%
Last 5 (5)66.495.4161.8-29.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.487.8161.2-14.412%
vs Similar (4)77.079.8156.8-2.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 77
H08/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
56avg 77
A13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
75avg 77
H15/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 77
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
80avg 77
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
67avg 77
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
84-100
84
100
-16
87avg 77
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
88-98
88
98
-10
89avg 77
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
64-91
64
91
-27
51avg 77
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-107
112
107
+5
109avg 77
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
25-18
23-20
26-19
22-20
17-23
14-18
18-29
18-29
17-23
25-22
26-18
24-24
15-22
19-21
19-27
17-21
23-27
28-23
17-26
25-28
18-23
21-30
15-19
23-25
12-13
24-32
25-30
20-12
25-30
25-33
18-23
17-23
19-20
16-29
12-19
37-23
24-23
29-31
22-30
178.7Avg total
83.7Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.295.5171.8-19.20%
Season at home (2)74.594.0168.5-19.50%
Season away (2)78.097.0175.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)83.795.0178.7-11.320%
Last 5 (5)85.499.2184.6-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.195.2177.3-13.10%
vs Similar (9)91.993.9185.8-2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.789.0185.7+7.783%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -8.6-8.6Q4: -4.2-4.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -8.6-8.6Q4: -4.2-4.2
GargzdaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-55
23
55
-32
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A07/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
78.1Avg total
33.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.443.379.7-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.341.675.9-7.429%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.883.1-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.478.1-10.710%-
Last 5 (5)32.446.879.2-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.243.579.7-7.319%-
vs Similar (4)37.842.079.8-4.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H08/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A13/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H15/05
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H24/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/09
LKL
FC Porto
#12
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H12/10
King Mindaugas Cup
86.6Avg total
41.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.088.0-2.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.745.788.4-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)43.344.387.7-1.027%-
Last 10 (10)41.545.186.6-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.088.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.346.987.2-6.57%-
vs Similar (9)44.243.787.9+0.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.042.390.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.2
45.3%
55.4%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.3
30.2%
34.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
73.2%12.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.0
57.1%
55.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.9
35.4%
34.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.315.4
69.1%
73.2%15.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLLLL
Nevezis
WLLLLLLLLW
#12
League position
#9
-30.9
Net rating
-14.8
91.3
Offensive rating
110.0
122.2
Defensive rating
124.8
45.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
60.5%
20.9%
Turnover %
20.6%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.2%
3-point %
35.4%
66.8%
Assist %
64.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 110.0Defence122.2 · 124.8Shooting45.2% · 55.7%3-point %30.2% · 35.4%Ball care20.9% · 20.6%Off. rebounds25.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
3
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Gargzdai v Nevezis73-87
19/12/22Nevezis v Gargzdai99-92
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23AJuventus61-84
07/10/23ALietkabelis66-84
01/10/23HRytas82-98
23/09/23ABC Wolves68-104
17/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas55-107
06/05/23ARytas65-91
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
24/04/23HSiauliai56-60
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-107
09/10/23HJuventus64-91
04/10/23HManisa88-98
03/10/23AFC Porto84-100
30/09/23ALietkabelis79-100
24/09/23HRytas85-97
16/09/23AJonava77-94
15/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas86-92
13/05/23AZalgiris Kaunas71-90
08/05/23HSiauliai91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.868.567.0
Allowed / game98.2102.594.0
Point differential-30.5-34.0-27.0
Avg total166.0171.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.274.578.0
Allowed / game95.594.097.0
Point differential-19.2-19.5-19.0
Avg total171.8168.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas550100%96.477.8+18.6
2 Zalgiris Kaunas550100%84.666.0+18.6
3 BC Wolves54180%91.876.4+15.4
4 Juventus54180%88.277.4+10.8
5 Lietkabelis54180%93.686.6+7.0
6 Jonava54180%84.683.6+1.0
7 Neptunas52340%90.693.6-3.0
8 Siauliai51420%77.282.8-5.6
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes5050%85.896.8-11.0
10 Mazeikiai5050%70.082.0-12.0
11 Nevezis4040%76.295.5-19.2
12 Gargzdai4040%67.898.2-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2323232897
Nevezis2325241284
← all games of the day
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