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BC Roma vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.1
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Balkan
#32
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
69avg 86
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 86
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#8
L
88-108
88
108
-20
78avg 86
A20/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
95avg 86
A24/10
Lega A
KK Bosna
#23
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 86
H27/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
103-90
103
90
+13
101avg 86
H31/10
Lega A
PAOK
#7
L
111-113
111
113
-2
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
100-116
100
116
-16
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Verona
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
H14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
16-21
18-12
22-24
29-24
26-22
13-24
30-34
21-32
25-25
24-25
18-26
28-32
17-17
22-17
28-29
21-16
20-27
26-20
13-22
25-29
26-24
27-23
25-14
22-29
38-32
26-31
25-21
32-28
24-30
26-34
18-24
11-15
24-19
27-16
21-28
31-29
19-23
19-21
19-16
189.6Avg total
93.1Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)98.698.0196.6+0.625%
Season at home (4)99.288.2187.5+11.050%
Season away (4)98.0107.8205.8-9.80%
Last 10 (10)93.196.5189.6-3.430%
Last 5 (5)97.097.2194.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)94.2107.0201.2-12.80%
vs Similar (7)91.695.9187.4-4.314%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)95.079.8174.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 75
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
69avg 75
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
94-92
94
92
+2
88avg 75
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 75
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
10-13
16-15
17-22
19-38
21-24
18-13
15-28
25-25
28-26
20-30
22-19
16-13
24-21
20-23
22-23
20-29
13-24
19-15
16-31
27-18
170.1Avg total
80.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.884.1163.9-4.438%
Season at home (4)78.588.5167.0-10.025%
Season away (4)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)80.989.2170.1-8.320%
Last 5 (5)77.690.0167.6-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.489.1172.6-5.731%
vs Similar (13)81.884.1165.9-2.246%
vs Weaker (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
This opponent (BC Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
BC RomaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#32
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#8
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A20/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A24/10
Lega A
KK Bosna
#23
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H31/10
Lega A
PAOK
#7
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A03/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/11
Eurocup
Verona
#10
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H14/11
Lega A
95.4Avg total
46.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)47.148.195.3-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (8)45.042.987.9+2.150%-
Last 30 away (7)49.654.1103.7-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)46.848.695.4-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)50.451.6102.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.055.2105.2-5.20%-
vs Similar (7)46.947.694.4-0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.842.086.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/11
Lega A
83.2Avg total
40.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.784.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.743.281.8-4.523%-
Last 30 away (17)42.344.186.4-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.383.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.944.285.2-3.325%-
vs Similar (13)40.243.583.6-3.338%-
vs Weaker (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (BC Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Roma: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.722.2
60.5%
54.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.2
34.3%
34.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.716.7
80.7%
74.6%16.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.0
48.2%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.4
33.2%
34.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
74.6%15.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Roma
LWLLWLLLLW
Trento
LLLLLWLLWL
#13
League position
#11
+0.8
Net rating
-5.3
100.1
Offensive rating
87.9
99.3
Defensive rating
93.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
33.2%
59.0%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 87.9Defence99.3 · 93.1Shooting56.5% · 48.9%3-point %34.3% · 33.2%Ball care16.6% · 17.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ BC Roma   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Roma wins
0
Trento wins
No previous meetings.
BC Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVerona88-89
11/11/26HUlm83-78
08/11/26ATrieste100-116
03/11/26APAOK111-113
31/10/26HScafati103-90
27/10/26HKK Bosna80-85
24/10/26AVarese103-110 OT
20/10/26AManresa88-108
17/10/26HVenezia98-104
13/10/26HBalkan77-72 OT
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVirtus Bologna75-88
10/11/26HTofas86-96
08/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
03/11/26ABasket Napoli79-90
01/11/26HMaxima Roma62-88
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Roma
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game98.699.298.0
Allowed / game98.088.2107.8
Point differential+0.6+11.0-9.8
Avg total196.6187.5205.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game79.878.581.0
Allowed / game84.188.579.8
Point differential-4.4-10.0+1.2
Avg total163.9167.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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