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CSM Targu Mures vs Valcea Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-84
20-19 29-25 33-21 20-19
Position#9
Record11-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game95.0
CSM Targu Mures 🏆
Romania
vs
Valcea
Romania
Position#6
Record14-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game85.5
RomaniaDivizia ARound 27· Sala Sporturilor Târgu Mure
Other2025-26
Meetings · CSM Targu Mures v Valcea
23 Jan 2027
CSM v VALC
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
CSM 102
VALC84
15 Mar 2025
CSM 77
VALC99
21 Oct 2023
CSM 72
VALC94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Mures winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · CSM Targu Mures
5.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 93.3
91.4▼ 1.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 91.1
89.8▼ 1.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 62%
64%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.1
17.0▼ 2.1
🔥 Form · Valcea
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.7
87.4▲ 3.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.6
89.2▲ 2.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
58%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.8
18.8▲ 1.0
CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
H23/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
107-100
107
100
+7
H28/01
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A02/02
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
83-112
83
112
-29
H06/02
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#13
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H14/02
Romanian Cup
CSM Oradea
#4
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H16/02
Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A09/03
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
117-78
117
78
+39
H14/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A21/03
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A29/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
36-18
15-29
29-24
33-22
38-33
18-25
18-20
21-29
17-23
21-20
28-24
24-34
14-26
20-32
25-20
18-24
25-19
29-19
24-24
23-21
23-25
26-20
17-27
24-21
22-26
20-25
22-31
34-28
29-22
28-12
26-16
20-16
17-25
28-24
13-17
21-20
17-24
28-26
19-23
190.1Avg total
94.5Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)93.495.0188.4-1.646%
Season at home (12)95.296.4191.7-1.250%
Season away (12)91.693.6185.2-2.042%
Last 10 (10)94.595.6190.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)91.489.8181.2+1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.597.0180.5-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)93.098.4191.4-5.435%
vs Weaker (11)95.985.9181.8+10.073%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#2
L
82-102
82
102
-20
H28/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
A01/02
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A07/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A15/02
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H11/03
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/03
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H21/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A25/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H29/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
19-21
20-29
20-26
34-15
23-26
22-9
15-19
18-26
25-19
19-23
17-32
21-24
19-23
11-17
27-20
26-30
19-22
23-15
26-18
26-22
19-24
31-17
21-32
30-25
16-23
16-16
23-18
23-20
20-27
25-23
16-17
14-24
22-28
26-24
21-21
17-24
27-22
21-10
23-29
175.0Avg total
86.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.585.5175.0+3.958%
Season at home (12)90.887.2178.0+3.567%
Season away (12)88.283.8172.0+4.350%
Last 10 (10)86.488.6175.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)87.489.2176.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.197.5171.6-23.412%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.291.1178.3-3.943%
vs Weaker (7)93.974.9168.7+19.0100%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
CSM Targu MuresValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H23/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H28/01
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A02/02
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H06/02
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/02
Romanian Cup
CSM Oradea
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H16/02
Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A09/03
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H14/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/03
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A29/03
Divizia A
95.7Avg total
47.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.145.994.1+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.645.995.5+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)46.446.092.4+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)47.448.395.7-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.691.6+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)45.846.992.6-1.141%-
vs Weaker (11)53.144.797.8+8.473%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H28/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A01/02
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/02
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/03
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/03
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A25/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/03
Divizia A
91.2Avg total
44.1Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.245.988.1-3.720%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.645.686.3-5.014%-
Last 30 away (16)43.646.289.8-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)44.147.191.2-3.010%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.890.6-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.049.988.9-10.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.646.988.6-5.37%-
vs Weaker (7)47.339.386.6+8.071%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.822.2
60.3%
55.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.7%
33.8%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.716.0
81.2%
73.0%16.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.8
56.0%
55.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
33.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
73.0%14.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Targu Mures
LLWLLWLLWW
Valcea
WLLWWWLLWL
#9
League position
#6
-1.5
Net rating
-2.2
107.3
Offensive rating
101.6
108.8
Defensive rating
103.8
58.6%
Effective FG%
55.1%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.7%
3-point %
35.8%
58.5%
Assist %
61.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 101.6Defence108.8 · 103.8Shooting58.6% · 55.1%3-point %37.7% · 35.8%Ball care11.5% · 13.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ CSM Targu Mures   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSM Targu Mures wins
3
Valcea wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Valcea v CSM Targu Mures105-110 OT
15/03/25CSM Targu Mures v Valcea77-99
11/11/24Valcea v CSM Targu Mures99-92
23/12/23Valcea v CSM Targu Mures73-85
21/10/23CSM Targu Mures v Valcea72-94
CSM Targu Mureslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ACSM Oradea85-93
21/03/26ACSM Targu Jiu78-82
14/03/26HMunicipal Galati117-78
09/03/26ADinamo Bucharest88-103
16/02/26HCSM Oradea89-93
14/02/26HSCM Craiova96-86
06/02/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti83-112
02/02/26ACSU Sibiu87-96
28/01/26HPetrolul Ploiesti107-100
23/01/26HSCM Timisoara115-113 OT
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HSCM Timisoara88-85
25/03/26ASCM Craiova83-97
21/03/26HRapid Bucuresti84-87
14/03/26AArges Pitesti85-82
11/03/26HSCM Craiova97-95
07/03/26HCorona Brasov94-85
15/02/26ADinamo Bucharest78-84
07/02/26AVoluntari79-100
01/02/26APetrolul Ploiesti94-69
28/01/26HCSM Oradea82-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL46%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game93.495.291.6
Allowed / game95.096.493.6
Point differential-1.6-1.2-2.0
Avg total188.4191.7185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %21%17%25%
Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game89.590.888.2
Allowed / game85.587.283.8
Point differential+3.9+3.5+4.3
Avg total175.0178.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea2521484%88.976.7+12.2
2 Voluntari2418675%89.880.5+9.3
3 Dinamo Bucharest2619773%87.682.1+5.5
4 Arges Pitesti2416867%81.976.8+5.1
5 SCM Craiova24141058%89.084.3+4.7
6 Valcea24141058%89.585.5+3.9
7 Rapid Bucuresti24141058%85.682.7+2.9
8 SCM Timisoara24131154%88.686.2+2.3
9 CSU Sibiu25131252%85.285.2+0.0
10 BC Steaua Bucuresti25121348%83.280.2+3.0
11 CSM Targu Mures24111346%93.495.0-1.6
12 Corona Brasov24101442%84.986.9-2.0
13 Petrolul Ploiesti2571828%85.292.6-7.4
14 CSM Targu Jiu2632312%75.890.8-14.9
15 Municipal Galati260260%74.795.6-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSM Targu Mures20293320102
Valcea1925211984
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