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Jonava vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 71-83
20-19 19-18 18-23 14-23
Position#8
Record4-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game76.4
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena (Jonava)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Jonava v BC Wolves
26 May 2025
JON102
WOL98
01 Mar 2025
JON81
WOL77
11 Jan 2025
JON91
WOL94
22 Dec 2024
JON77
WOL95
13 Mar 2024
JON81
WOL68
21 Oct 2023
JON71
WOL83
14 May 2023
JON80
WOL75
02 Apr 2023
JON74
WOL85
07 Oct 2022
JON80
WOL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
82-63
82
63
+19
78avg 74
A05/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
45avg 74
H07/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 74
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
94-77
94
77
+17
90avg 74
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
83avg 74
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
77avg 74
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
68avg 74
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 74
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
19-13
16-8
23-18
18-23
11-20
15-16
11-16
22-17
13-29
19-16
18-22
24-24
22-15
21-19
27-19
21-21
17-18
20-21
24-19
21-13
23-22
20-22
14-26
26-20
22-26
22-15
15-23
23-29
22-27
19-18
29-18
10-27
15-20
20-22
24-17
18-14
24-27
31-16
31-31
162.5Avg total
81.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.683.6168.2+1.080%
Season at home (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)81.385.7167.0-4.367%
Last 10 (10)81.481.1162.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)85.886.6172.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.186.5165.6-7.430%
vs Similar (14)81.579.9161.4+1.657%
vs Weaker (5)83.280.2163.4+3.0100%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
104-75
104
75
+29
101avg 82
A07/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H12/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
60avg 82
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 82
A17/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
104-68
104
68
+36
107avg 82
H23/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 82
H30/09
LKL
Paris
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
72avg 82
A03/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
W
98-66
98
66
+32
102avg 82
A08/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
A14/10
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
98-107 OT
98
107
-9
84avg 82
A18/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
19-17
25-16
29-18
19-19
9-24
21-20
27-17
25-21
15-22
14-17
21-20
18-17
15-21
24-12
11-16
20-18
24-14
29-19
31-17
31-15
14-19
20-24
19-16
15-24
25-24
22-26
16-31
26-22
23-11
18-17
31-16
19-14
26-30
22-20
17-20
21-17
25-24
18-24
24-23
171.9Avg total
89.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.876.4168.2+15.480%
Season at home (2)94.071.0165.0+23.0100%
Season away (3)90.380.0170.3+10.367%
Last 10 (10)89.082.9171.9+6.150%
Last 5 (5)92.692.0184.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.485.6163.0-8.220%
vs Similar (5)82.080.6162.6+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.077.1166.1+11.970%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
JonavaBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H07/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.4Avg total
39.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.580.8-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.042.983.9-1.938%-
Last 30 away (17)37.940.478.4-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.982.4-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.085.8-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.442.980.3-5.520%-
vs Similar (14)40.440.280.6+0.257%-
vs Weaker (5)38.843.682.4-4.80%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A07/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/09
LKL
Paris
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A08/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A14/10
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A18/10
Eurocup
81.7Avg total
42.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.380.3+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.835.477.2+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)42.240.883.0+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.781.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.085.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
vs Similar (5)41.041.082.0+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.437.280.6+6.180%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.2
56.6%
55.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
34.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.315.5
69.5%
73.2%15.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.6
52.5%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.6
37.9%
34.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.014.6
69.5%
73.2%14.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLWWLWWLLW
BC Wolves
LLWLWWWLLW
#8
League position
#3
-1.0
Net rating
+9.8
110.2
Offensive rating
120.0
111.2
Defensive rating
110.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.0%
3-point %
37.9%
72.0%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 120.0Defence111.2 · 110.2Shooting53.5% · 54.4%3-point %33.0% · 37.9%Ball care16.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 35.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Jonava   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
1
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
14/05/23Jonava v BC Wolves80-75
12/05/23BC Wolves v Jonava76-80
02/04/23Jonava v BC Wolves74-85
13/03/23BC Wolves v Jonava94-99 OT
07/10/22Jonava v BC Wolves80-62
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23AKarhu Basket104-88
15/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas69-86
08/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes93-92
02/10/23HSiauliai85-84
26/09/23AStrasbourg78-83
23/09/23AMazeikiai82-79
16/09/23HNevezis94-77
09/06/23ALietkabelis72-84
07/06/23HLietkabelis55-75
05/06/23ALietkabelis82-63
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23AJoventut Badalona98-107 OT
14/10/23ALietkabelis105-108 OT
08/10/23ANeptunas98-66
03/10/23AParis78-105
30/09/23HMazeikiai84-74
23/09/23HGargzdai104-68
17/09/23ASiauliai68-66
14/05/23AJonava75-80
12/05/23HJonava76-80
07/05/23ANeptunas104-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game84.689.581.3
Allowed / game83.680.585.7
Point differential+1.0+9.0-4.3
Avg total168.2170.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game91.894.090.3
Allowed / game76.471.080.0
Point differential+15.4+23.0+10.3
Avg total168.2165.0170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas550100%96.477.8+18.6
2 Zalgiris Kaunas550100%84.666.0+18.6
3 Juventus65183%87.777.0+10.7
4 BC Wolves54180%91.876.4+15.4
5 Lietkabelis54180%93.686.6+7.0
6 Jonava54180%84.683.6+1.0
7 Neptunas52340%90.693.6-3.0
8 Siauliai51420%77.282.8-5.6
9 Gargzdai51420%73.695.4-21.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes6060%84.094.8-10.8
11 Mazeikiai5050%70.082.0-12.0
12 Nevezis5050%77.895.8-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2019181471
BC Wolves1918232383
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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