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Zalgiris Kaunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 71-65
22-20 20-12 11-14 18-19
Position#1
Record24-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game71.6
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
BC Wolves
Lithuania
Position#3
Record20-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game78.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves
14 May 2025
ZAL89
WOL75
02 Feb 2025
ZAL97
WOL84
21 Jan 2024
ZAL82
WOL82
17 Dec 2023
ZAL79
WOL55
22 Apr 2023
ZAL71
WOL65
22 Jan 2023
ZAL91
WOL72
28 Nov 2022
ZAL90
WOL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 77
A24/03
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 77
H26/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 77
H29/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-74
95
74
+21
97avg 77
H31/03
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
94-57
94
57
+37
94avg 77
A03/04
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
59avg 77
H06/04
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
84-60
84
60
+24
87avg 77
H10/04
LKL
Bayern
#16
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 77
A14/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
70avg 77
H17/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
88-61
88
61
+27
93avg 77
A20/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
19-24
20-19
24-22
27-19
20-24
29-14
20-13
28-19
20-22
17-12
14-17
21-16
31-24
25-15
18-19
19-17
18-13
29-16
28-11
17-17
25-28
14-7
12-15
19-15
22-19
23-10
20-16
19-18
15-20
17-9
32-33
20-25
20-22
20-13
21-15
24-15
19-15
25-17
20-14
154.8Avg total
84.7Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.271.6158.9+15.686%
Season at home (14)88.472.8161.1+15.686%
Season away (14)86.170.4156.6+15.786%
Last 10 (10)84.770.1154.8+14.690%
Last 5 (5)80.868.6149.4+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.782.2154.8-9.533%
vs Similar (9)76.175.1151.2+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.573.0159.5+13.580%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H13/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
no box
A18/03
ENBL
Gargzdai
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 80
A21/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 80
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 80
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
65avg 80
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
no box
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
no box
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 80
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-58
94
58
+36
no box
H19/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-9
12-17
17-22
22-32
22-17
15-23
16-14
21-17
20-23
17-22
25-27
20-13
20-16
22-17
30-15
22-15
22-17
18-22
18-11
27-24
22-18
20-21
14-14
14-12
11-12
19-17
12-13
16-13
17-9
15-25
22-13
12-23
25-21
22-18
24-22
17-20
21-22
27-16
23-14
23-6
154.7Avg total
81.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.578.5164.1+7.071%
Season at home (14)86.474.3160.6+12.179%
Season away (14)84.782.8167.5+1.964%
Last 10 (10)81.872.9154.7+8.970%
Last 5 (5)75.265.8141.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.481.2157.6-4.840%
vs Similar (7)81.479.4160.9+2.057%
vs Weaker (18)86.275.5161.7+10.778%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +8.7+8.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +8.7+8.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
Zalgiris KaunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/03
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H26/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H29/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H31/03
Euroleague
Prienai
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A03/04
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/04
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/04
LKL
Bayern
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A14/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H17/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A20/04
LKL
81.3Avg total
41.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.177.1+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.239.981.1+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.936.373.2+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.481.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.878.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.345.581.8-9.20%-
vs Similar (9)38.735.173.8+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.336.977.3+3.467%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H13/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
ENBL
Gargzdai
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
LKL
75.8Avg total
39.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.378.9+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.337.678.9+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.275.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.875.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.441.076.4-5.620%-
vs Similar (7)40.639.179.7+1.443%-
vs Weaker (18)42.037.279.2+4.883%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.4
57.0%
54.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.910.3
43.1%
35.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.312.2
74.8%
74.2%12.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.121.6
61.5%
54.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.1
40.1%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
74.2%11.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
BC Wolves
WWLWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#3
+21.5
Net rating
+15.8
125.0
Offensive rating
119.1
103.5
Defensive rating
103.4
60.1%
Effective FG%
60.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
43.1%
3-point %
40.1%
60.9%
Assist %
64.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence125.0 · 119.1Defence103.5 · 103.4Shooting60.1% · 60.9%3-point %43.1% · 40.1%Ball care16.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds36.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
1
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
06/02/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas80-75
22/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves91-72
02/01/23BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas79-95
28/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v BC Wolves90-85
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-61
17/04/23HRytas81-75
14/04/23ABayern83-80
10/04/23HSiauliai84-60
06/04/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv68-67
03/04/23APrienai94-57
31/03/23HValencia95-74
29/03/23HMonaco79-70
26/03/23HGargzdai96-70
24/03/23AFenerbahce79-87
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23HPrienai94-58
15/04/23ANevezis88-81
12/04/23HOstrow Wielkopolski66-70
11/04/23ASzczecin58-55
08/04/23HLietkabelis70-65
02/04/23AJonava85-74
27/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes94-63
21/03/23AGargzdai82-85
18/03/23ABudivelnyk87-79 OT
13/03/23HJonava94-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game87.288.486.1
Allowed / game71.672.870.4
Point differential+15.6+15.6+15.7
Avg total158.9161.1156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%57%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%79%64%
Points / game85.586.484.7
Allowed / game78.574.382.8
Point differential+7.0+12.1+1.9
Avg total164.1160.6167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2824486%87.271.6+15.6
2 Rytas2822679%92.082.4+9.5
3 BC Wolves2820871%85.578.5+7.0
4 Lietkabelis28181064%85.681.9+3.6
5 Juventus29161355%87.385.9+1.4
6 Jonava28151354%79.879.4+0.4
7 Neptunas29141548%79.681.5-1.9
8 Nevezis29131645%86.587.9-1.3
9 Siauliai28111739%83.487.4-3.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2972224%78.489.9-11.4
11 Gargzdai2862221%76.884.6-7.8
12 Prienai2842414%79.089.8-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2220111871
BC Wolves2012141965
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