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Nevezis vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 81-88
21-25 18-22 22-24 20-17
Position#8
Record12-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#3
Record18-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game79.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Nevezis v BC Wolves
07 May 2025
NEV106
WOL107
09 Nov 2024
NEV85
WOL90
06 Jan 2024
NEV78
WOL99
15 Apr 2023
NEV81
WOL88
24 Sep 2022
NEV76
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 76
A29/01
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
84avg 76
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
108-111
108
111
-3
106avg 76
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
59avg 76
H04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
107-95
107
95
+12
106avg 76
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H19/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
no box
H25/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
90avg 76
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 76
A08/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
15-22
22-21
16-30
23-20
25-23
20-22
30-21
25-27
23-21
26-23
17-12
31-30
19-23
24-28
34-30
15-26
23-21
11-29
20-21
29-14
21-22
33-28
24-31
16-18
23-26
24-22
14-24
21-25
25-25
26-29
22-15
21-13
30-16
14-25
22-19
26-19
15-28
26-15
21-36
184.2Avg total
91.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.485.7170.1-1.346%
Season at home (13)82.584.2166.7-1.838%
Season away (13)86.387.2173.5-0.954%
Last 10 (10)91.093.2184.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)94.292.2186.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.992.7172.6-12.90%
vs Similar (12)84.484.9169.3-0.550%
vs Weaker (11)93.587.2180.7+6.482%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A05/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H11/03
ENBL
Jonava
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H13/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
no box
A18/03
ENBL
Gargzdai
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 79
A21/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 79
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 79
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
65avg 79
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
no box
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
no box
H12/04
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
22-20
21-19
22-21
18-20
20-23
21-22
21-18
29-9
12-17
17-22
22-32
22-17
15-23
16-14
21-17
20-23
17-22
25-27
20-13
20-16
22-17
30-15
22-15
22-17
18-22
18-11
27-24
22-18
20-21
14-14
14-12
11-12
19-17
12-13
16-13
17-9
15-25
22-13
12-23
155.5Avg total
80.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.179.2164.3+5.969%
Season at home (13)85.875.5161.3+10.277%
Season away (13)84.582.9167.4+1.562%
Last 10 (10)80.475.1155.5+5.360%
Last 5 (5)74.665.4140.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.481.2157.6-4.840%
vs Similar (7)81.479.4160.9+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.776.7162.3+9.078%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
NevezisBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/01
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A08/04
LKL
88.6Avg total
44.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.884.9-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.942.983.9-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)43.442.686.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.088.6+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.286.6+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.046.186.1-6.114%-
vs Similar (12)40.841.682.3-0.833%-
vs Weaker (11)44.942.086.9+2.973%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H11/03
ENBL
Jonava
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H13/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
ENBL
Gargzdai
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H12/04
ENBL
75.0Avg total
38.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.578.4+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.678.4+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)39.039.378.3-0.356%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.675.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.872.0+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.441.076.4-5.620%-
vs Similar (7)40.639.179.7+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.837.678.4+3.378%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.9
56.0%
54.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.67.5
38.3%
35.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.516.6
67.8%
74.2%16.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.619.7
60.4%
54.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.2
40.1%
35.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
74.2%12.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWWLWLLWWL
BC Wolves
LWWWWLWLLW
#8
League position
#3
-2.2
Net rating
+13.2
113.0
Offensive rating
117.3
115.2
Defensive rating
104.1
56.4%
Effective FG%
60.3%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.3%
3-point %
40.1%
65.3%
Assist %
69.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 117.3Defence115.2 · 104.1Shooting56.4% · 60.3%3-point %38.3% · 40.1%Ball care18.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Nevezis   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
2
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23BC Wolves v Nevezis94-73
24/09/22Nevezis v BC Wolves76-81
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-98
02/04/23AGargzdai87-73
25/03/23HPrienai112-105 OT
19/03/23HLietkabelis77-90
13/03/23ASiauliai107-95
04/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-97
14/02/23ALietkabelis108-111
12/02/23HJonava91-83
04/02/23APrienai98-86
29/01/23ABC Wolves73-94
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/23HOstrow Wielkopolski66-70
11/04/23ASzczecin58-55
08/04/23HLietkabelis70-65
02/04/23AJonava85-74
27/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes94-63
21/03/23AGargzdai82-85
18/03/23ABudivelnyk87-79 OT
13/03/23HJonava94-99 OT
11/03/23HBudivelnyk80-83
05/03/23APrienai88-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%38%54%
Points / game84.482.586.3
Allowed / game85.784.287.2
Point differential-1.3-1.8-0.9
Avg total170.1166.7173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%77%62%
Points / game85.185.884.5
Allowed / game79.275.582.9
Point differential+5.9+10.2+1.5
Avg total164.3161.3167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2622485%87.571.9+15.6
2 Rytas2621581%92.082.4+9.5
3 BC Wolves2618869%85.179.2+5.9
4 Lietkabelis26161062%85.382.0+3.3
5 Juventus26161062%85.883.8+2.1
6 Jonava26141254%80.579.7+0.8
7 Nevezis26121446%84.485.7-1.3
8 Neptunas26111542%78.381.0-2.7
9 Siauliai26111542%83.386.5-3.2
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2662023%78.690.2-11.6
11 Gargzdai2652119%77.385.6-8.3
12 Prienai2642215%79.689.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2118222081
BC Wolves2522241788
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