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BC Wolves vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 94-58
21-22 27-16 23-14 23-6
Position#3
Record19-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game79.3
BC Wolves 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Prienai
Lithuania
Position#12
Record4-23
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game89.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Prienai
19 Apr 2023
WOL94
PRI58
21 Nov 2022
WOL79
PRI70
26 Oct 2022
WOL95
PRI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H11/03
ENBL
Jonava
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H13/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
no box
A18/03
ENBL
Gargzdai
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 80
A21/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 80
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 80
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
65avg 80
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
no box
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
no box
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 80
A15/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
20-23
21-22
21-18
29-9
12-17
17-22
22-32
22-17
15-23
16-14
21-17
20-23
17-22
25-27
20-13
20-16
22-17
30-15
22-15
22-17
18-22
18-11
27-24
22-18
20-21
14-14
14-12
11-12
19-17
12-13
16-13
17-9
15-25
22-13
12-23
25-21
22-18
24-22
17-20
155.8Avg total
80.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.279.3164.5+5.970%
Season at home (13)85.875.5161.3+10.277%
Season away (14)84.782.8167.5+1.964%
Last 10 (10)80.475.4155.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)73.469.0142.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.481.2157.6-4.840%
vs Similar (7)81.479.4160.9+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.377.4163.7+8.978%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 62
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 62
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
74avg 62
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
71avg 62
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
no box
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
42avg 62
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
66avg 62
H17/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-25
22-20
21-30
19-23
17-15
21-19
23-29
21-24
17-27
21-10
26-13
18-23
20-22
19-21
21-22
22-26
21-22
22-22
24-22
24-25
18-25
21-20
27-16
25-21
25-25
29-26
15-22
17-19
13-18
16-29
11-28
25-20
22-12
21-28
22-17
27-28
13-22
18-16
27-25
174.3Avg total
84.5Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.889.7169.4-9.915%
Season at home (14)75.690.2165.9-14.67%
Season away (13)84.289.1173.3-4.823%
Last 10 (10)84.589.8174.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)85.492.0177.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.092.2171.2-13.212%
vs Similar (6)85.590.7176.2-5.217%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
BC WolvesPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budivelnyk
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H11/03
ENBL
Jonava
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H13/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
ENBL
Gargzdai
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H27/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/04
LKL
75.3Avg total
38.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.578.6+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.678.4+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.478.8+0.056%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.775.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.441.076.4-5.620%-
vs Similar (7)40.639.179.7+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.237.678.8+3.678%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H17/04
LKL
85.2Avg total
40.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.346.584.8-8.213%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.846.283.0-9.47%-
Last 30 away (16)39.646.886.4-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.585.2-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.447.184.5-9.78%-
vs Similar (6)41.844.386.2-2.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.720.7
61.4%
54.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.6
39.8%
35.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
74.2%12.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.4
54.0%
54.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.5
33.2%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.215.9
71.6%
74.2%15.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WLWWWWLWLL
Prienai
LWLLWLLWLL
#3
League position
#12
+13.5
Net rating
-5.0
117.4
Offensive rating
112.2
104.0
Defensive rating
117.2
60.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.8%
3-point %
33.2%
66.8%
Assist %
45.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 112.2Defence104.0 · 117.2Shooting60.7% · 52.3%3-point %39.8% · 33.2%Ball care19.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds30.1% · 30.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BC Wolves wins
0
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
05/03/23Prienai v BC Wolves78-88
30/11/22Prienai v BC Wolves68-76
21/11/22BC Wolves v Prienai79-70
26/10/22BC Wolves v Prienai95-70
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23ANevezis88-81
12/04/23HOstrow Wielkopolski66-70
11/04/23ASzczecin58-55
08/04/23HLietkabelis70-65
02/04/23AJonava85-74
27/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes94-63
21/03/23AGargzdai82-85
18/03/23ABudivelnyk87-79 OT
13/03/23HJonava94-99 OT
11/03/23HBudivelnyk80-83
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes85-91
11/04/23HGargzdai90-77
03/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas57-94
25/03/23ANevezis105-112 OT
18/03/23AJuventus90-86
11/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes89-92
05/03/23HBC Wolves78-88
14/02/23AJonava85-74
12/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
04/02/23HNevezis86-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%77%64%
Points / game85.285.884.7
Allowed / game79.375.582.8
Point differential+5.9+10.2+1.9
Avg total164.5161.3167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%46%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL15%
HomeLLLWL7%
AwayWLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %15%7%23%
Points / game79.875.684.2
Allowed / game89.790.289.1
Point differential-9.9-14.6-4.8
Avg total169.4165.9173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %15%14%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2723485%87.272.0+15.2
2 Rytas2721678%91.382.4+9.0
3 BC Wolves2719870%85.279.3+5.9
4 Lietkabelis27171063%85.381.6+3.7
5 Juventus27161159%85.583.5+2.0
6 Jonava28151354%79.879.4+0.4
7 Neptunas28131546%79.481.6-2.2
8 Nevezis28121643%84.586.2-1.7
9 Siauliai27111641%83.486.6-3.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2772026%79.190.0-11.0
11 Gargzdai2862221%76.884.6-7.8
12 Prienai2742315%79.889.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2127232394
Prienai221614658
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