Belfius Mons vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Belfius Mons will host Leiden in the BNXT League on 7 November 2026, with the model pointing to Leiden as the clear favourite, a 83% chance of victory driven by a 2-3 record, 75.2 points per game and only 77.6 allowed, compared to Belfius's 0-5 record, 65.2 points per game and 88.8 allowed; the difference in offensive and defensive output explains the 17% probability for Belfius and the 25% chance that the home line of 4.0 will be covered. Belfius has struggled all season, losing all five games, scoring 65.2 points per game and conceding 88.8, while on home soil they have gone 0-2, 60.0 points per game and 87.0 allowed, with recent losses to Okapi Aalst 69-83, Rotterdam 77-89 and Zwolle 57-74; Leiden has won one of its last two road games, 70.0 points per game and 69.0 allowed, and has a 2-3 record overall. Their head-to-head record stands at 6-1 in favour of Leiden, though Belfius last beat them 77-72 on 21 February 2026. The model projects a final score of 75-86, a total of 160.4 points, an over probability of 59% against the 156.5 line, and a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belfius Mons winLost

16.9%fair 5.91

Best odds3.80

Implied24.6%

Edge-7.7pp

Leiden winWon

83.1%fair 1.20

Best odds1.29

Implied75.4%

Edge+7.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belfius MonsLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMons

Date

Competition

Okapi Aalst

78-98

-20

67avg 70

A19/04

BNXT League

Oostende

60-81

-21

49avg 70

A25/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

76-116

116

-40

71avg 70

H02/05

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

#11

79-101

101

-22

70avg 70

H06/05

BNXT League

Den Bosch

57-107

107

-50

48avg 70

A09/05

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

63-100

100

-37

43avg 70

H03/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

60-98

-38

43avg 70

A09/10

BNXT League

Zwolle

#11

57-74

-17

44avg 70

H17/10

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#12

77-89

-12

68avg 70

A25/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

69-83

-14

58avg 70

A31/10

BNXT League

19-22

23-35

16-22

20-19

13-17

18-11

18-25

11-28

28-29

15-39

18-17

15-31

20-32

19-26

20-18

20-25

17-27

15-19

6-24

19-37

5-22

19-26

23-27

16-25

22-26

8-24

15-25

15-23

15-24

15-15

15-17

12-18

19-20

17-15

22-30

19-24

21-22

23-22

5-25

20-14

162.3Avg total

67.6Scored

94.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	65.2	88.8	154.0	-23.6	0%
Season at home (2)	60.0	87.0	147.0	-27.0	0%
Season away (3)	68.7	90.0	158.7	-21.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	67.6	94.7	162.3	-27.1	0%
Last 5 (5)	65.2	88.8	154.0	-23.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	77.2	93.6	170.8	-16.3	15%
vs Similar (1)	64.0	77.0	141.0	-13.0	0%
vs Weaker (2)	73.0	82.0	155.0	-9.0	50%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLeiden

Date

Competition

Antwerp Giants

78-97

-19

69avg 76

A20/04

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

85-97

-12

76avg 76

H25/04

BNXT League

Den Bosch

93-75

+18

87avg 76

A01/05

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

100-74

100

+26

99avg 76

A06/05

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

110-102

110

102

119avg 76

H09/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#12

76-71

68avg 76

A02/10

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

61-77

-16

46avg 76

H10/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

92-77

+15

88avg 76

H17/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

64-67

-3

55avg 76

A24/10

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

83-96

-13

72avg 76

H31/10

BNXT League

17-28

17-24

27-21

17-24

31-31

19-27

23-21

12-18

25-21

25-18

22-18

21-18

21-21

19-18

30-14

30-21

30-25

24-22

31-26

25-29

14-23

18-15

18-21

26-12

16-23

20-16

12-25

13-13

25-26

17-15

24-16

26-20

11-11

14-14

22-17

17-25

17-24

22-19

26-25

18-28

167.5Avg total

84.2Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	75.2	77.6	152.8	-2.4	40%
Season at home (3)	78.7	83.3	162.0	-4.7	33%
Season away (2)	70.0	69.0	139.0	+1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	83.3	167.5	+0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	77.6	152.8	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	74.9	86.6	161.4	-11.7	11%
vs Similar (9)	85.1	85.4	170.6	-0.3	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	82.9	78.5	161.4	+4.4	67%

This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149

Over 149

76.0%

Under 149

24.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 154.25 · main lineActual: Over 154.25

Over 154.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 154.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 159Actual: Over 159

Over 159

53.1%

@ 2.10+8.9pp

Under 159

46.9%

@ 1.66-8.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.10

Under

Bet365

1.66

Marathon Be

1.60

📊 3. Team Totals

Belfius Mons total 69.5Actual: Belfius Mons over 69.5

Over 69.5

69.3%

@ 1.40+4.2pp

Under 69.5

30.7%

@ 2.75-4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.37

Under

Bet365

2.75

1xBet

2.43

Belfius Mons total 73.5 · main lineActual: Belfius Mons over 73.5

Over 73.5

54.3%

@ 1.88+4.7pp

Under 73.5

45.7%

@ 1.83-4.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.71

Under

Marathon Be

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.73

Belfius Mons total 77.5Actual: Belfius Mons over 77.5

Over 77.5

38.8%

@ 2.50+1.3pp

Under 77.5

61.2%

@ 1.57-1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.38

Betano

2.20

Under

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.38

Leiden total 78.5Actual: Leiden over 78.5

Over 78.5

76.4%

@ 1.55+16.6pp

Under 78.5

23.6%

@ 2.34-16.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.40

Under

1xBet

2.34

Bet365

2.30

Betano

2.27

Leiden total 82.5 · main lineActual: Leiden over 82.5

Over 82.5

62.5%

@ 1.91+13.5pp

Under 82.5

37.5%

@ 1.83-13.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.76

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.69

Leiden total 86.5Actual: Leiden over 86.5

Over 86.5

46.7%

@ 2.80+12.4pp

Under 86.5

53.3%

@ 1.38-12.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.80

1xBet

2.46

Under

Bet365

1.38

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Belfius Mons +6Actual: Leiden -6

BMO +6

32.0%

@ 2.20-10.7pp

LEI -6

68.0%

@ 1.75+10.7pp

Best 5 market prices

BMO

Bet365

2.20

Pinnacle

2.13

SBO

1.91

LEI

SBO

1.75

Bet365

1.60

Pinnacle

1.59

Marathon Be

1.55

Spread Belfius Mons +9 · main lineActual: Leiden -9

BMO +9

43.0%

@ 1.85-7.6pp

LEI -9

57.0%

@ 1.89+7.6pp

Best 5 market prices

BMO

Pinnacle

1.85

SBO

1.83

Marathon Be

1.80

Bet365

1.80

LEI

Pinnacle

1.89

SBO

1.87

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

Spread Belfius Mons +12Actual: Leiden -12

BMO +12

54.3%

@ 1.54-6.2pp

LEI -12

45.7%

@ 2.35+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

BMO

Bet365

1.54

LEI

Bet365

2.35

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Belfius MonsLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.8	27%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	36%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.7	19%	69%
Last 10 (10)	17.9	24.1	42.0	-6.2	0%	60%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.8	39.2	-6.4	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.7	30%	63%
vs Similar (1)	18.0	28.0	46.0	-10.0	0%	100%
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	17.5	34.5	-0.5	0%	0%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.4	44%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.9	36.9	-2.8	29%	36%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.3	44.0	-2.6	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.3	23.2	41.6	-4.9	11%	44%
vs Similar (9)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.6	67%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	33%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.6	43%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.9	38%	56%
Last 10 (10)	17.2	23.2	40.4	-6.0	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.3	22.2	41.4	-2.9	41%	67%
vs Similar (1)	14.0	14.0	28.0	+0.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	50%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	47%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	56%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	36%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.4	21.3	41.8	-0.9	44%	67%
vs Similar (9)	20.2	23.4	43.7	-3.2	33%	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.2	19.2	39.3	+1.0	58%	50%

Belfius MonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Okapi Aalst

42-57

-15

A19/04

BNXT League

Oostende

31-28

A25/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

43-68

-25

H02/05

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

#11

39-58

-19

H06/05

BNXT League

Den Bosch

32-46

-14

A09/05

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

24-48

-24

H03/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

30-50

-20

A09/10

BNXT League

Zwolle

#11

30-39

-9

H17/10

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#12

36-35

A25/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

44-44

A31/10

BNXT League

82.4Avg total

35.1Scored

47.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)	39.0	44.6	83.5	-5.6	27%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	45.4	86.4	-4.5	36%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	43.8	81.1	-6.6	19%	56%
Last 10 (10)	35.1	47.3	82.4	-12.2	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	32.8	43.2	76.0	-10.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	39.3	45.0	84.3	-5.7	26%	59%
vs Similar (1)	32.0	42.0	74.0	-10.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	40.5	78.5	-2.5	50%	50%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Antwerp Giants

34-52

-18

A20/04

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

50-58

-8

H25/04

BNXT League

Den Bosch

50-39

+11

A01/05

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

40-39

A06/05

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

54-47

H09/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#12

32-38

-6

A02/10

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

36-39

-3

H10/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

42-41

H17/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

25-25

A24/10

BNXT League

Donar Groningen

39-43

-4

H31/10

BNXT League

82.3Avg total

40.2Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.4	81.8	-2.9	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	44.0	85.6	-2.4	38%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	40.5	77.6	-3.4	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.1	82.3	-1.9	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	34.8	37.2	72.0	-2.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.8	44.6	83.3	-5.8	22%	56%
vs Similar (9)	40.7	42.3	83.0	-1.7	44%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	39.1	40.8	79.8	-1.7	50%	67%

This opponent (Belfius Mons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Leiden win

BMO win

no forecast

@ 3.05

LEI win

no forecast

@ 1.41

1st half Spread Belfius Mons +4.5 · main lineActual: Belfius Mons +4.5

BMO +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.93

LEI -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Over 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.98

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Belfius Mons 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Belfius Mons over 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

Leiden 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Leiden over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half: BMO + total 78.5

BMO & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

BMO & under

no forecast

@ 5.00

1st half: Draw + total 78.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: LEI + total 78.5

LEI & over

no forecast

@ 2.90

LEI & under

no forecast

@ 2.80

1st half Over/Under 77.25Actual: Over 77.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 79.75Actual: Over 79.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.72

1st half Spread Belfius Mons +3.5Actual: Belfius Mons +3.5

BMO +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

LEI -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Belfius Mons +5.5Actual: Belfius Mons +5.5

BMO +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

LEI -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Over 75.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.62

Under

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Spread Belfius Mons +2.5Actual: Belfius Mons +2.5

BMO +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

LEI -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Belfius Mons +6.5Actual: Belfius Mons +6.5

BMO +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

LEI -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Leiden (regulation)

BMO

no forecast

@ 3.20

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

LEI

no forecast

@ 1.47

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	18.1	24.1	42.2	-6.0	20%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	23.3	42.0	-4.6	21%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	24.8	42.4	-7.2	19%	75%
Last 10 (10)	15.8	23.0	38.8	-7.2	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	24.8	40.8	-8.8	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.7	24.2	42.9	-5.5	22%	70%
vs Similar (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	100%
vs Weaker (2)	11.0	23.0	34.0	-12.0	0%	0%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	21.1	43.2	+1.1	56%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	43%	43%
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.4	43.9	+3.1	80%	90%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	44%	44%
vs Similar (9)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	56%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	50%	58%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	27%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	23.7	42.7	-4.7	21%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	22.4	40.9	-4.0	31%	62%
Last 10 (10)	16.7	24.4	41.1	-7.7	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.8	24.0	42.8	-5.2	22%	74%
vs Similar (1)	16.0	12.0	28.0	+4.0	100%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	15.5	34.5	+3.5	50%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.0	47%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	44%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	50%	64%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	21.2	38.6	-3.9	11%	56%
vs Similar (9)	22.6	23.4	46.0	-0.9	44%	89%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	75%	58%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)	36.8	47.1	83.9	-10.3	17%	77%
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	47.0	84.7	-9.3	14%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	36.0	47.2	83.2	-11.2	19%	69%
Last 10 (10)	32.5	47.4	79.9	-14.9	0%	80%
Last 5 (5)	32.4	45.6	78.0	-13.2	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	37.5	48.2	85.7	-10.7	19%	85%
vs Similar (1)	32.0	35.0	67.0	-3.0	0%	0%
vs Weaker (2)	30.0	38.5	68.5	-8.5	0%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.6	82.3	+1.1	47%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	42.2	86.2	+1.8	50%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.3	43%	64%
Last 10 (10)	44.0	41.2	85.2	+2.8	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.4	80.8	+0.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.1	42.0	78.1	-5.9	22%	56%
vs Similar (9)	44.4	43.1	87.6	+1.3	56%	89%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.8	37.8	81.6	+6.1	58%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BMO win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

LEI win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BMO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: LEI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BMO:LEI): BMO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Leiden -2	80.6%	1.55	Pinnacle 1.58	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	+23.1pp	Won
Leiden -1.5	81.2%	1.46	Pinnacle 1.54	1xBet 1.45	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.43	-	+22.3pp	Won
Leiden +4.5	90.0%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+20.7pp	Won
Leiden -3	77.5%	1.54	Pinnacle 1.56	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	+19.3pp	Won
Leiden over 80	72.3%	1.63	1xBet 1.63	-	-	-	-	+19.2pp	Won
Leiden -3.5	75.5%	1.48	Pinnacle 1.61	Betano 1.60	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.31	-	+19.1pp	Won
Leiden -2.5	78.1%	1.48	Pinnacle 1.52	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.38	-	+18.4pp	Won
Leiden over 78.5	76.4%	1.49	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.53	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+16.6pp	Won
Leiden over 75.5	84.5%	1.35	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+16.1pp	Won
Leiden over 76.5	82.0%	1.37	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+15.8pp	Won
Leiden -4	74.7%	1.57	Bet365 1.60	Pinnacle 1.54	-	-	-	+15.7pp	Won
Leiden -5	71.4%	1.57	Pinnacle 1.63	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	+15.6pp	Won
Leiden +3.5	88.4%	1.27	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+15.4pp	Won
Leiden +2.5	86.9%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Leiden -4.5	72.4%	1.53	Betano 1.67	Pinnacle 1.58	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.37	-	+14.9pp	Won
Leiden over 74.5	86.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+14.4pp	Won
Leiden over 79.5	73.2%	1.54	Betano 1.62	Bet365 1.55	1xBet 1.46	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
Over 151.5	70.4%	1.55	Pinnacle 1.62	1xBet 1.58	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	+13.8pp	Won
Leiden over 77.5	79.3%	1.40	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+13.5pp	Won
Leiden over 72.5	90.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Leiden +1.5	84.7%	1.27	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Leiden over 70.5	93.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Leiden over 73.5	88.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.0pp	Won
Leiden over 71.5	92.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Leiden +8.5	94.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Leiden (regulation)	81.1%	1.25	Betano 1.26	1xBet 1.25	Marathon Bet 1.25	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Over 150.5	72.5%	1.46	Bet365 1.47	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Over 149.5	74.5%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Leiden over 68.5	95.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Leiden +13.5	97.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Leiden over 69.5	94.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Leiden over 66.5	97.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Leiden over 67.5	96.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Leiden over 65.5	97.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Over 146.5	80.1%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Over 145.5	81.8%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Leiden over 64.5	98.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Leiden win	83.1%	1.24	WilliamHill 1.29	Bet365 1.26	Betfair 1.25	1xBet 1.25	Marathon Bet 1.24	+7.7pp	Won
Leiden +6.5	92.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Belfius Mons under 80.5	71.7%	1.40	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Leiden +18.5	99.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Over 140.5	88.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Leiden +11.5	96.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Over 141.5	87.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Leiden +16.5	98.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Over 135.5	93.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Belfius Mons over 68.5	72.7%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Over 136.5	92.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	-
Belfius Mons under 93.5	96.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Belfius Mons under 95.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Belfius Mons under 91.5	94.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Belfius Mons under 89.5	92.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Belfius Mons under 87.5	89.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Belfius Mons under 83.5	80.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Belfius Mons under 85.5	85.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Belfius Mons +23.5	86.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Belfius Mons under 81.5	74.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Under 181.5	89.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Under 180.5	88.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Belfius Mons +18.5	75.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Lost
Belfius Mons +21.5	82.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Under 176.5	83.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Lost
Leiden under 93.5	78.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Lost
Under 175.5	82.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Lost
Leiden under 94.5	81.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-4.8pp	Lost
Under 171.5	75.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-5.2pp	Lost
Leiden under 91.5	72.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-5.7pp	Lost
Leiden under 92.5	75.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-6.0pp	Lost
Under 170.5	73.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.1pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Belfius Monstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belfius Mons: 66.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.2	17.1	51.5%	53.2%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	6.9	30.3%	32.1%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	18.4	11.8	64.1%	71.0%	11.8

They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	22.3	54.5%	53.2%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	8.7	33.0%	32.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.5	76.7%	71.0%	13.5

They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	22.5	62.3%	53.2%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.9	38.0%	32.1%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.6	73.9%	71.0%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	18.6	52.7%	53.2%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	10.7	40.1%	32.1%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.8	68.4%	71.0%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	19.4	55.8%	53.2%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	7.9	34.1%	32.1%	23.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.6	72.5%	71.0%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	22.1	55.3%	53.2%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	7.8	32.0%	32.1%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.9	71.5%	71.0%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	23.3	59.7%	53.2%	46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	10.0	38.3%	32.1%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	21.5	16.0	74.7%	71.0%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	19.0	54.9%	53.2%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.9	37.9%	32.1%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.7	74.1%	71.0%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Belfius Mons

LLLLLLLLLL

Leiden

LLWLWWWWLL

#16

League position

#10

-30.8

Net rating

+2.4

77.2

Offensive rating

96.4

108.0

Defensive rating

94.0

49.0%

Effective FG%

52.5%

60.0%

Opp. effective FG%

55.9%

22.9%

Turnover %

15.8%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.26

30.3%

3-point %

33.0%

54.6%

Assist %

61.3%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Belfius Mons ■ Leiden

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Belfius Mons wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
21/02/26	Belfius Mons v Leiden	77-72
06/12/25	Leiden v Belfius Mons	107-89
12/04/25	Belfius Mons v Leiden	71-77
18/01/25	Leiden v Belfius Mons	85-70
13/04/22	Leiden v Belfius Mons	74-66
12/03/22	Belfius Mons v Leiden	74-80
13/09/21	Belfius Mons v Leiden	74-76

Belfius Monslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	A	Okapi Aalst	69-83
25/10/26	A	Rotterdam	77-89
17/10/26	H	Zwolle	57-74
09/10/26	A	Spirou Charleroi	60-98
03/10/26	H	Antwerp Giants	63-100
09/05/26	A	Den Bosch	57-107
06/05/26	H	Spirou Charleroi	79-101
02/05/26	H	Antwerp Giants	76-116
25/04/26	A	Oostende	60-81
19/04/26	A	Okapi Aalst	78-98

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	H	Donar Groningen	83-96
24/10/26	A	Leuven Bears	64-67
17/10/26	H	Okapi Aalst	92-77
10/10/26	H	Brussels Basketball	61-77
02/10/26	A	Rotterdam	76-71
09/05/26	H	Den Helder	110-102
06/05/26	A	LWD Basket	100-74
01/05/26	A	Den Bosch	93-75
25/04/26	H	Okapi Aalst	85-97
20/04/26	A	Antwerp Giants	78-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belfius Mons

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	65.2	60.0	68.7
Allowed / game	88.8	87.0	90.0
Point differential	-23.6	-27.0	-21.3
Avg total	154.0	147.0	158.7
Over 154.25	60%	50%	67%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Leiden

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	40%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Points / game	75.2	78.7	70.0
Allowed / game	77.6	83.3	69.0
Point differential	-2.4	-4.7	+1.0
Avg total	152.8	162.0	139.0
Over 154.25	40%	67%	0%
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Antwerp Giants	5	5	0	100%	107.0	82.0	+25.0
2	Brussels Basketball	5	4	1	80%	81.4	68.2	+13.2
3	Okapi Aalst	5	4	1	80%	92.6	83.4	+9.2
4	Spirou Charleroi	6	4	2	67%	79.3	67.0	+12.3
5	Limburg	5	3	2	60%	91.2	86.6	+4.6
6	Oostende	5	3	2	60%	77.0	73.0	+4.0
7	Den Bosch	5	3	2	60%	79.8	80.4	-0.6
8	Leuven Bears	5	3	2	60%	68.0	69.0	-1.0
9	Donar Groningen	5	3	2	60%	83.0	88.2	-5.2
10	Zwolle	6	3	3	50%	72.7	77.0	-4.3
11	Leiden	5	2	3	40%	75.2	77.6	-2.4
12	Mechelen	5	2	3	40%	89.0	95.2	-6.2
13	Rotterdam	6	2	4	33%	75.8	80.2	-4.3
14	CB Liege	6	1	5	17%	77.5	91.0	-13.5
15	Kortrijk	5	0	5	0%	81.0	86.2	-5.2
16	Belfius Mons	5	0	5	0%	65.2	88.8	-23.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Belfius Mons	21	26	22	10	79
Leiden	27	20	21	31	99

← all games of the day

Belfius Mons vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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