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Belgium vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 66-71
24-12 13-20 19-16 10-23
Position#83
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Finland 🏆
Position#32
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Dome Charleroi (Spiroudome)
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Latvia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
93-63
93
63
+30
no box
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
56avg 66
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
71-64
71
64
+7
62avg 66
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
63avg 66
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 66
H02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
66avg 66
A04/09
EuroBasket
France
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
21-20
25-22
17-27
21-24
25-13
23-10
24-16
11-11
14-11
15-20
12-17
10-18
17-25
22-27
15-22
17-21
15-15
14-16
25-12
10-16
21-27
17-21
21-22
15-23
21-28
18-20
35-21
16-17
23-16
19-25
12-11
17-16
14-13
14-20
18-30
15-18
21-27
19-21
30-21
151.5Avg total
73.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.083.0157.0-9.00%
Season at home (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
Season away (1)63.079.0142.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)73.977.6151.5-3.730%
Last 5 (5)75.282.6157.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.578.1149.6-6.630%
vs Similar (8)69.280.8150.0-11.512%
vs Weaker (12)76.065.3141.3+10.775%
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#20
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 87
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 87
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 87
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 87
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 87
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 87
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 87
A12/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
79avg 87
A14/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#38
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A28/11
World Cup
France
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
28-21
23-14
28-23
23-23
24-14
20-15
18-13
21-20
15-25
12-12
30-24
19-21
17-29
13-19
12-22
28-24
16-24
24-18
24-20
28-15
29-25
14-22
22-17
26-30
21-31
26-20
13-17
15-24
19-24
22-21
33-23
17-31
22-29
22-15
21-14
20-19
17-26
19-16
27-15
169.4Avg total
85.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.582.5165.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)83.076.0159.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.883.6169.4+2.250%
Last 5 (5)86.686.8173.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.289.9170.1-9.625%
vs Similar (7)89.985.9175.7+4.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.977.0170.9+16.9100%
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.0+4.0
BelgiumFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/09
EuroBasket
France
#6
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A28/11
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/12
World Cup
71.9Avg total
34.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.871.5-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.437.471.7-3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)35.136.271.3-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)34.437.571.9-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.274.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.540.573.0-8.020%-
vs Similar (8)35.440.475.8-5.038%-
vs Weaker (12)36.231.267.4+4.967%-
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#20
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A12/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#38
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A28/11
World Cup
France
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/12
World Cup
91.1Avg total
43.5Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.688.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.744.089.7+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.545.287.7-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.547.691.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.893.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.946.988.8-5.025%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.486.7-0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.940.690.4+9.386%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.3
46.5%
-30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
-28.2
🏀 Free throws18.612.5
67.2%
-12.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.3
49.2%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.9
36.5%
-35.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
-13.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium
LLWLLWLLWL
Finland
WLLLWWLLWW
#83
League position
#32
-2.1
Net rating
+3.5
99.2
Offensive rating
112.5
101.3
Defensive rating
108.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
19.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.7%
3-point %
36.5%
68.8%
Assist %
74.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Belgium   ■ Finland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belgium wins
0
Finland wins
No previous meetings.
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25HHungary85-87
28/11/25AFrance63-79
04/09/25APoland70-69
02/09/25HIsrael89-92
31/08/25ASlovenia69-86
30/08/25AIceland71-64
28/08/25HFrance64-92
23/02/25ASpain52-59
20/02/25HSlovakia93-63
25/11/24HLatvia83-85
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25HFrance83-76
28/11/25AHungary82-89
14/09/25AGreece89-92
12/09/25AGermany86-98
10/09/25HGeorgia93-79
06/09/25ASerbia92-86
03/09/25HGermany61-91
01/09/25HLithuania78-81
30/08/25AMontenegro85-65
29/08/25HGreat Britain109-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.085.063.0
Allowed / game83.087.079.0
Point differential-9.0-2.0-16.0
Avg total157.0172.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.583.082.0
Allowed / game82.576.089.0
Point differential+0.0+7.0-7.0
Avg total165.0159.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
3 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
4 Croatia770100%94.369.6+24.7
5 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
6 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
7 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
8 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
9 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
10 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
11 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
12 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
13 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
14 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
15 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
16 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
17 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
18 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
19 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
20 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
21 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Germany32167%86.775.3+11.3
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
28 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
29 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
34 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
35 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
36 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
37 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
38 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
39 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
40 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
41 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
42 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
43 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
44 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
45 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
46 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
47 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
48 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
49 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
50 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
51 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
55 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
56 Israel31233%78.076.0+2.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
58 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
59 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
60 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
61 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
62 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
63 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
64 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
65 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
66 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
67 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
68 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
69 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
70 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
71 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
72 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
73 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
74 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
75 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
76 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
77 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
78 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
79 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
80 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
81 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
82 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
83 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
84 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
85 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
90 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Cyprus3030%59.392.3-33.0
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium2413191066
Finland1220162371
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