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Belmont vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 74-70
38-43 36-27
Position#128
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game79.9
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#186
Record4-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Berry
#525
W
93-59
93
59
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-100
68
100
-32
A18/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#316
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
55-34
38-25
35-56
33-44
37-51
47-42
37-27
35-45
38-28
41-41
37-31
53-39
43-34
34-34
44-26
28-45
38-30
37-35
36-44
57-55
158.8Avg total
81.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.779.9161.6+1.867%
Season at home (5)82.070.8152.8+11.2100%
Season away (7)81.486.4167.9-5.043%
Last 10 (10)81.577.3158.8+4.270%
Last 5 (5)81.474.6156.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.686.6163.1-10.029%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.876.0150.8-1.256%
vs Weaker (13)81.569.2150.7+12.292%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
44-47
48-34
52-52
39-49
35-39
28-27
29-44
51-17
24-41
38-35
33-40
31-27
35-50
28-49
37-40
46-38
41-30
29-31
46-32
150.1Avg total
74.5Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.678.3152.9-3.636%
Season at home (3)86.076.3162.3+9.767%
Season away (8)70.479.0149.4-8.625%
Last 10 (10)74.575.6150.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)72.874.4147.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.274.3135.6-13.10%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.873.5144.3-2.638%
vs Weaker (5)75.670.6146.2+5.060%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -3.9-3.9
BelmontArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Berry
#525
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H15/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A18/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#187
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#316
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/12
NCAA
76.1Avg total
40.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.975.3+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.135.978.1+6.279%-
Last 30 away (16)35.137.772.8-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.176.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.072.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.046.380.3-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.835.472.2+1.367%-
vs Weaker (13)40.633.073.6+7.692%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
51-17
51
17
+34
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
36.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.734.466.1-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.235.468.6-2.233%-
Last 30 away (18)30.733.764.4-3.128%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.171.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.070.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.635.463.0-7.88%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.735.668.3-2.931%-
vs Weaker (5)38.828.867.6+10.080%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belmont wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ASamford93-99
10/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.75-65
07/12/23HLipscomb72-71
02/12/23HValparaiso77-68
30/11/23ANorthern Iowa90-70
26/11/23HLafayette79-69
25/11/23APenn84-79 OT
24/11/23AMonmouth84-93
18/11/23AArizona68-100
15/11/23HBerry93-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23ALouisville75-63
09/12/23HUAB87-68
05/12/23AAlabama65-89
02/12/23AUALR66-77
29/11/23HJackson State71-75
26/11/23AUTRGV75-58
25/11/23ASan Diego Toreros57-71
18/11/23AIowa74-88
15/11/23HAlcorn State100-86
11/11/23ABowling Green75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%100%43%
Points / game81.782.081.4
Allowed / game79.970.886.4
Point differential+1.8+11.2-5.0
Avg total161.6152.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %36%67%25%
Points / game74.686.070.4
Allowed / game78.376.379.0
Point differential-3.6+9.7-8.6
Avg total152.9162.3149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1211192%88.270.8+17.3
2 Drake1211192%78.865.9+12.8
3 Evansville119282%82.572.3+10.3
4 Belmont128467%81.779.9+1.8
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%73.462.5+10.8
6 Southern Illinois117464%76.265.9+10.3
7 Illinois State117464%67.065.5+1.5
8 Bradley116555%71.871.1+0.7
9 Northern Iowa125742%77.974.7+3.2
10 Valparaiso124833%66.870.2-3.4
11 Murray State113827%71.872.1-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison11110100%92.972.4+20.5
2 Appalachian State119282%81.162.9+18.2
3 Louisiana Lafayette116555%77.971.6+6.3
4 Texas State116555%73.068.5+4.5
5 Southern Miss116555%69.868.3+1.5
6 South Alabama116555%73.675.3-1.6
7 Troy115645%82.870.3+12.5
8 Georgia State115645%78.972.8+6.1
9 Marshall125742%77.278.6-1.4
10 Louisiana Monroe104640%71.273.3-2.1
11 Arkansas State114736%74.678.3-3.6
12 Old Dominion93633%69.474.4-5.0
13 Coastal Carolina103730%80.578.9+1.6
14 Georgia Southern120120%65.679.2-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont383674
Arkansas State432770
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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