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Illinois (Chi.) vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-67
34-22 40-45
Position#155
Record8-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#271
Record9-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Drake
07 Mar 2026
ILLI72
DRAK51
17 Jan 2026
ILLI74
DRAK67
01 Jan 2025
ILLI74
DRAK70
28 Feb 2024
ILLI105
DRAK107
10 Jan 2023
ILLI71
DRAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A07/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H17/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
76-88 OT
76
88
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
63-59 OT
63
59
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
34-45
43-30
41-57
27-23
27-37
38-31
33-40
50-24
52-40
40-36
37-45
32-31
27-35
31-21
39-36
28-25
23-26
29-32
40-29
142.3Avg total
72.0Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.971.2146.2+3.744%
Season at home (8)79.865.5145.2+14.262%
Season away (10)71.175.8146.9-4.730%
Last 10 (10)72.070.3142.3+1.740%
Last 5 (5)67.664.8132.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.078.5152.5-4.525%
vs Similar (13)68.172.2140.3-4.231%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.972.2148.2+3.750%
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#366
W
108-57
108
57
+51
H03/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H13/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A19/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
54-28
54-29
32-33
37-41
41-55
53-44
30-36
42-45
29-27
37-38
27-31
29-42
33-39
41-33
19-40
47-53
44-25
32-53
26-37
41-30
152.2Avg total
75.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.471.6148.0+4.950%
Season at home (12)78.470.0148.4+8.442%
Season away (6)72.574.7147.2-2.267%
Last 10 (10)75.776.5152.2-0.840%
Last 5 (5)69.677.8147.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.277.7149.8-5.50%
vs Similar (11)68.969.9138.8-1.055%
vs Weaker (12)75.661.8137.3+13.8100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +0.5+0.5
Illinois (Chi.)Drake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A13/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#508
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A14/01
NCAA
63.8Avg total
35.0Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.268.9+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.833.069.8+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)32.535.567.9-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)35.028.863.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.061.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.540.078.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)31.635.066.6-3.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.832.268.0+3.558%-
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#366
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H03/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H13/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/01
NCAA
68.6Avg total
33.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.865.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.531.767.3+3.847%-
Last 30 away (11)31.231.963.1-0.764%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.168.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)29.834.464.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.836.771.5-1.817%-
vs Similar (11)29.533.963.4-4.536%-
vs Weaker (12)37.027.864.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
4
Drake wins
DateGameScore
20/02/25Drake v Illinois (Chi.)74-57
01/01/25Illinois (Chi.) v Drake74-70
29/02/24Illinois (Chi.) v Drake105-107 OT
11/01/23Illinois (Chi.) v Drake71-76 OT
03/12/22Drake v Illinois (Chi.)77-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ANorthern Iowa69-61
10/01/26AIllinois State63-59 OT
08/01/26HSouthern Illinois70-57
04/01/26AValparaiso59-66
02/01/26HMurray State77-81
29/12/25HIllinois Tech102-64
21/12/25ACharlotte76-88 OT
17/12/25HNorthern Iowa54-60
13/12/25ABelmont84-87
07/12/25AYale66-80
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ASouthern Illinois76-73 OT
10/01/26HBelmont76-78
08/01/26ABradley66-93
04/01/26HIndiana State74-72
30/12/25HIllinois State56-73
21/12/25AEvansville66-65
19/12/25AMurray State72-81
13/12/25HNorth Dakota St94-99
06/12/25HUAB69-74
03/12/25HWestern Illinois108-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %44%62%30%
Points / game74.979.871.1
Allowed / game71.265.575.8
Point differential+3.7+14.2-4.7
Avg total146.2145.2146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLLWL42%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %50%42%67%
Points / game76.478.472.5
Allowed / game71.670.074.7
Point differential+4.9+8.4-2.2
Avg total148.0148.4147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)17% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %11%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1815383%87.977.1+10.9
2 Belmont2016480%81.571.4+10.1
3 Illinois State1913668%79.367.1+12.2
4 Northern Iowa1812667%69.160.1+9.1
5 Bradley2013765%78.273.0+5.2
6 Drake189950%76.471.6+4.9
7 Indiana State189950%76.474.6+1.8
8 Illinois (Chi.)1881044%74.971.2+3.7
9 Southern Illinois1881044%76.673.5+3.1
10 Valparaiso1881044%71.971.5+0.4
11 Evansville1951426%68.273.7-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)344074
Drake224567
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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