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Drake vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 56-73
27-31 29-42
Position#271
Record7-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#96
Record10-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Drake v Illinois State
29 Dec 2025
DRAK56
ILLI73
15 Jan 2025
DRAK66
ILLI62
02 Jan 2024
DRAK88
ILLI71
22 Feb 2023
DRAK82
ILLI51
12 Jan 2022
DRAK86
ILLI75
01 Feb 2021
DRAK95
ILLI60
31 Jan 2021
DRAK78
ILLI76
05 Mar 2020
DRAK75
ILLI65
16 Jan 2020
DRAK84
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Buena Vista
#597
W
98-52
98
52
+46
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A29/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
108-57
108
57
+51
H03/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H13/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A19/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
29-25
28-25
43-37
41-27
57-25
24-38
38-33
43-40
41-34
54-28
54-29
32-33
37-41
41-55
53-44
30-36
42-45
29-27
37-38
147.9Avg total
78.3Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.169.2148.2+9.954%
Season at home (9)81.768.6150.2+13.144%
Season away (4)73.270.5143.8+2.875%
Last 10 (10)78.369.6147.9+8.750%
Last 5 (5)81.875.2157.0+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.278.8154.0-3.50%
vs Similar (8)67.866.4134.1+1.450%
vs Weaker (17)73.760.9134.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
94-42
94
42
+52
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
40-46
48-21
45-27
55-20
39-22
43-34
36-35
33-36
39-29
49-41
40-37
45-13
50-40
33-40
45-43
30-35
45-33
42-25
43-40
149.3Avg total
84.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.067.3148.3+13.777%
Season at home (8)85.460.6146.0+24.8100%
Season away (5)74.078.0152.0-4.040%
Last 10 (10)84.265.1149.3+19.190%
Last 5 (5)84.469.4153.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.273.0144.2-1.820%
vs Similar (11)76.775.3152.0+1.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.067.5145.5+10.577%
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +12.1+12.12nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +7.0+7.0
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +12.1+12.12nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +7.0+7.0
DrakeIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H15/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Buena Vista
#597
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A29/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H03/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H13/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A21/12
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.830.264.9+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.131.267.3+4.956%-
Last 30 away (12)32.828.761.4+4.183%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.569.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.873.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.541.075.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (8)30.832.162.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker (17)36.426.963.2+9.588%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#328
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
55-20
55
20
+35
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H21/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
42.0Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.669.1+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.830.169.8+9.776%-
Last 30 away (13)32.335.968.2-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)42.029.971.9+12.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.870.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.233.865.0-2.620%-
vs Similar (11)35.636.271.8-0.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.530.068.5+8.569%-
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Drake wins
0
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25Illinois State v Drake77-84
16/01/25Drake v Illinois State66-62
18/01/24Illinois State v Drake56-77
03/01/24Drake v Illinois State88-71
23/02/23Drake v Illinois State82-51
27/01/22Illinois State v Drake88-89 OT
13/01/22Drake v Illinois State86-75
02/02/21Drake v Illinois State95-60
31/01/21Drake v Illinois State78-76 OT
06/03/20Drake v Illinois State75-65
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AEvansville66-65
19/12/25AMurray State72-81
13/12/25HNorth Dakota St94-99
06/12/25HUAB69-74
03/12/25HWestern Illinois108-57
29/11/25AGeorgia Tech84-74
29/11/25HLSU62-71
22/11/25HBuena Vista98-52
18/11/25ACharleston71-62
15/11/25HSiu Edwardsville59-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HIndiana State85-65
19/12/25ASouthern Illinois75-68
13/12/25AUtah State78-83
07/12/25HChicago State95-53
04/12/25HEastern Kentucky89-78
28/11/25HFurman72-65
27/11/25HCharlotte79-69
23/11/25HCoastal Carolina94-42
21/11/25HRockford University93-48
17/11/25ALong Beach State82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %54%44%75%
Points / game79.181.773.2
Allowed / game69.268.670.5
Point differential+9.9+13.1+2.8
Avg total148.2150.2143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%100%40%
Points / game81.085.474.0
Allowed / game67.360.678.0
Point differential+13.7+24.8-4.0
Avg total148.3146.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont1512380%82.771.1+11.6
2 Murray State1411379%88.978.3+10.6
3 Illinois State1310377%81.067.3+13.7
4 Northern Iowa1310377%70.257.3+12.8
5 Bradley1410471%78.369.4+8.9
6 Indiana State148657%76.773.7+3.0
7 Drake137654%79.169.2+9.9
8 Valparaiso136746%71.470.2+1.2
9 Southern Illinois146843%78.974.3+4.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)135838%77.873.7+4.1
11 Evansville1441029%69.373.1-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake272956
Illinois State314273
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