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Belmont vs Indiana State Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 19 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#119
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#193
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Belmont v Indiana State
18 Jan 2027
BELM v INDI
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
BELM87
INDI70
22 Feb 2025
BELM77
INDI75
31 Jan 2024
BELM72
INDI78
03 Mar 2023
BELM91
INDI94
22 Feb 2023
BELM89
INDI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#299
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
75-45
75
45
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#79
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
46-41
24-39
63-31
39-25
48-45
44-29
54-35
40-38
34-43
41-48
38-52
27-14
45-40
33-26
42-19
32-40
43-48
30-33
42-29
153.0Avg total
81.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.562.2135.8+11.275%
Season at home (3)73.053.7126.7+19.3100%
Season away (1)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.072.0153.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.669.8144.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.269.9149.1+9.488%
vs Weaker (20)84.277.7161.9+6.570%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
60-81
60
81
-21
H19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#227
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H03/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#260
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Earlham
#535
W
109-37
109
37
+72
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-49
32-27
34-36
26-45
25-39
45-48
23-36
32-30
35-31
44-32
37-28
25-35
30-27
40-51
32-37
37-29
37-44
36-38
53-9
56-28
142.1Avg total
72.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.265.8146.0+14.550%
Season at home (3)84.065.7149.7+18.333%
Season away (1)69.066.0135.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.269.9142.1+2.330%
Last 5 (5)76.665.2141.8+11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.579.9153.4-6.520%
vs Similar ◀ (6)68.872.2141.0-3.317%
vs Weaker (8)76.969.2146.1+7.650%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +1.0+1.0
BelmontIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#299
W
27-14
27
14
+13
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#79
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
35.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.572.1+3.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.935.073.9+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.134.070.1+2.179%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.769.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.264.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.033.063.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.233.871.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker (20)38.435.473.7+3.075%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#227
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Ball State
#311
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#260
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Earlham
#535
W
53-9
53
9
+44
H15/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.869.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.132.269.3+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)32.737.370.1-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.668.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.829.066.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.838.371.1-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.033.769.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker (8)35.832.167.9+3.662%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
4
Indiana State wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HFurman72-62
11/11/26ALipscomb75-88
06/11/26HCentre College75-45
03/11/26HSouthern Indiana72-54
06/03/26HDrake79-100
01/03/26AIllinois State74-81
26/02/26HEvansville98-64
22/02/26HIndiana State87-70
15/02/26AMurray State87-70
13/02/26HNorthern Iowa91-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HEarlham109-37
12/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee73-82
07/11/26ABall State69-66
03/11/26HCharlotte70-78
06/03/26AValparaiso62-63
01/03/26HIllinois (Chi.)79-63
26/02/26ASouthern Illinois55-66
22/02/26ABelmont70-87
19/02/26HNorthern Iowa60-81
15/02/26AValparaiso75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game73.573.075.0
Allowed / game62.253.788.0
Point differential+11.2+19.3-13.0
Avg total135.8126.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game80.284.069.0
Allowed / game65.865.766.0
Point differential+14.5+18.3+3.0
Avg total146.0149.7135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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