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Bendigo Braves vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 May 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 100-62
26-18 20-16 27-12 27-16
Position#8
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#17
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game101.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Melbourne Tigers
17 May 2025
BEND78
MELB100
23 Jun 2023
BEND82
MELB83
06 Aug 2022
BEND70
MELB60
08 May 2021
BEND100
MELB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A13/07
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A20/07
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A28/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
115-104
115
104
+11
A04/08
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A10/08
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A17/08
NBL 1
Mt Gambier
#5
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A17/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H23/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
A01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H02/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
19-17
22-23
24-23
22-20
20-15
19-14
23-18
15-21
22-23
29-17
20-15
33-18
22-27
25-18
35-41
21-20
23-10
16-13
25-24
33-19
20-34
14-24
23-22
28-21
22-15
21-22
24-24
14-28
17-26
18-18
24-22
16-15
30-8
12-21
11-25
19-19
21-22
23-24
28-24
172.0Avg total
88.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.086.2172.2-0.275%
Season at home (2)82.091.5173.5-9.550%
Season away (2)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.483.6172.0+4.880%
Last 5 (5)86.888.8175.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.791.0174.7-7.317%
vs Similar (10)87.881.0168.8+6.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.082.2168.2+3.867%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A29/06
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A06/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H14/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A20/07
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H28/07
NBL 1
Sandringham Sabres
#18
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H17/04
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A24/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
85-108
85
108
-23
H02/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
16-22
19-26
30-28
20-24
26-28
25-29
27-18
31-14
14-24
27-26
22-29
27-14
25-24
16-17
18-23
25-16
17-16
16-13
24-25
21-15
23-22
17-29
15-20
16-23
22-27
25-19
31-28
26-26
21-31
32-24
28-21
14-20
16-29
25-19
18-29
25-30
20-25
14-25
26-28
180.8Avg total
87.6Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.8101.0190.8-11.225%
Season at home (2)89.5102.5192.0-13.00%
Season away (2)90.099.5189.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)87.693.2180.8-5.640%
Last 5 (5)87.098.0185.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.391.4173.8-9.133%
vs Similar (13)82.286.6168.8-4.438%
vs Weaker (8)94.481.5175.9+12.988%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Bendigo BravesMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#13
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A13/07
NBL 1
Geelong
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/07
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A28/07
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A04/08
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A10/08
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A17/08
NBL 1
Mt Gambier
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A17/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H23/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H02/05
NBL1 South
82.5Avg total
43.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)43.842.286.0+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.244.388.5-0.242%-
Last 30 away (16)43.440.684.1+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.382.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.485.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.847.591.3-3.733%-
vs Similar (10)45.340.786.0+4.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.440.883.2+1.650%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A29/06
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A06/07
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H14/07
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A20/07
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/07
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H28/07
NBL 1
Sandringham Sabres
#18
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H17/04
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A24/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H02/05
NBL1 South
87.7Avg total
42.1Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.984.3-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.441.685.0+1.765%-
Last 30 away (13)38.844.683.4-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.687.7-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.849.690.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.644.984.4-5.322%-
vs Similar (13)39.244.083.2-4.831%-
vs Weaker (8)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bendigo Braves wins
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21HDandenong91-89
01/05/21ABallarat85-80 OT
23/04/21HFrankston73-94
17/04/21AMt Gambier95-82
17/08/19ANunawading90-99
10/08/19AFrankston85-67
04/08/19AKilsyth115-104
28/07/19AMelbourne Tigers86-76
20/07/19AGeelong84-67
13/07/19AKnox80-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21HHobart Chargers85-108
01/05/21ADiamond Valley73-97
24/04/21AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits107-102
17/04/21HSandringham Sabres94-97
28/07/19HBendigo Braves76-86
21/07/19HEltham82-70
20/07/19ABallarat86-78
14/07/19HHobart Huskies94-93
06/07/19AFrankston98-99
29/06/19AHobart Huskies81-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game86.082.090.0
Allowed / game86.291.581.0
Point differential-0.2-9.5+9.0
Avg total172.2173.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game89.889.590.0
Allowed / game101.0102.599.5
Point differential-11.2-13.0-9.5
Avg total190.8192.0189.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong440100%77.573.2+4.2
2 Diamond Valley54180%87.276.2+11.0
3 NW Tasmania43175%79.572.8+6.8
4 Bendigo Braves43175%86.086.2-0.2
5 Mt Gambier32167%100.392.7+7.7
6 Knox32167%72.771.3+1.3
7 Kilsyth32167%72.772.0+0.7
8 Hobart Chargers53260%83.481.0+2.4
9 Nunawading42250%81.071.0+10.0
10 Frankston42250%91.282.2+9.0
11 Waverley42250%75.571.5+4.0
12 Ballarat42250%78.077.5+0.5
13 Ringwood31233%89.090.0-1.0
14 Eltham41325%77.578.8-1.2
15 Melbourne Tigers41325%89.8101.0-11.2
16 Sandringham Sabres51420%79.097.2-18.2
17 Albury-Wodonga Bandits4040%78.085.5-7.5
18 Dandenong3030%77.397.0-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves26202727100
Melbourne Tigers1816121662
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