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Bendigo Braves vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 78-100
18-35 23-23 23-24 14-18
Position#16
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game78.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Melbourne Tigers
17 May 2025
BEND78
MELB100
23 Jun 2023
BEND82
MELB83
06 Aug 2022
BEND70
MELB60
08 May 2021
BEND100
MELB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#16
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A13/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
75-109
75
109
-34
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H05/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H06/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
100-89
100
89
+11
H03/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
102-101
102
101
+1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
H10/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-22
20-19
10-23
24-38
19-18
16-19
16-34
29-22
19-12
17-15
22-22
23-26
21-18
13-22
24-24
23-19
20-22
26-21
22-27
26-20
22-23
16-25
21-26
25-22
20-24
25-18
20-23
20-23
31-20
28-25
21-21
24-26
30-21
27-22
21-32
17-21
29-31
23-23
23-17
180.0Avg total
88.4Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.292.2182.4-2.067%
Season at home (6)92.790.8183.5+1.867%
Season away (3)85.395.0180.3-9.767%
Last 10 (10)88.491.6180.0-3.260%
Last 5 (5)95.694.2189.8+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.889.9172.7-7.141%
vs Similar (8)83.885.4169.1-1.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H30/03
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H04/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A08/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H13/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H24/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A04/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
103-78
103
78
+25
A10/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H11/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
26-12
27-18
15-16
21-16
24-27
15-12
13-16
35-8
31-22
20-18
14-21
24-19
17-27
11-17
25-22
18-26
19-15
18-11
23-10
16-15
20-24
19-21
34-21
11-23
29-27
14-7
22-20
17-22
25-19
18-21
25-25
24-24
22-16
29-12
28-26
19-30
11-21
16-24
23-14
160.8Avg total
83.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.678.5163.1+6.150%
Season at home (5)82.280.2162.4+2.040%
Season away (3)88.775.7164.3+13.067%
Last 10 (10)83.877.0160.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)84.482.4166.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.283.8163.0-4.746%
vs Similar (12)75.580.2155.7-4.725%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.474.2159.6+11.2100%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
Bendigo BravesMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H06/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A27/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H04/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
91.4Avg total
46.4Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.886.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.241.484.6+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)42.646.989.5-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)46.445.091.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.846.295.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.743.586.3-0.850%-
vs Similar (8)43.644.588.1-0.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H30/03
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H24/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A04/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H11/05
NBL1 South
84.7Avg total
42.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.782.3-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.843.283.1-3.419%-
Last 30 away (14)41.639.981.4+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.884.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.283.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.342.282.5-1.938%-
vs Similar (12)40.841.282.0-0.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.041.482.4-0.440%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bendigo Braves wins
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HRingwood101-100 OT
04/05/25HHobart Chargers102-101
03/05/25HDandenong100-89
27/04/25AWaverley90-87
26/04/25HKnox85-94
12/04/25AGeelong91-89
06/04/25HNW Tasmania81-90
05/04/25HKeilor Thunder87-71
29/03/25ABallarat75-109
13/07/24AKilsyth72-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HFrankston69-89
10/05/25ABallarat103-78
04/05/25AEltham85-87
24/04/25HNunawading76-77
13/04/25HDandenong89-81
08/04/25ADiamond Valley78-62
04/04/25HKilsyth77-85
30/03/25HSandringham Sabres100-69
13/07/24ACasey Cavaliers73-71
11/07/24HWaverley88-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game90.292.785.3
Allowed / game92.290.895.0
Point differential-2.0+1.8-9.7
Avg total182.4183.5180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%17%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game84.682.288.7
Allowed / game78.580.275.7
Point differential+6.1+2.0+13.0
Avg total163.1162.4164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%20%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox98189%91.477.0+14.4
2 Frankston86275%93.485.2+8.1
3 Mt Gambier96367%94.784.0+10.7
4 Casey Cavaliers96367%87.181.7+5.4
5 Bendigo Braves96367%90.292.2-2.0
6 Ballarat106460%87.791.5-3.8
7 Kilsyth95456%83.382.1+1.2
8 Nunawading95456%86.187.6-1.4
9 Melbourne Tigers84450%84.678.5+6.1
10 Hobart Chargers105550%84.282.9+1.3
11 Eltham94544%86.387.4-1.1
12 Waverley94544%91.295.8-4.6
13 Geelong94544%81.686.7-5.1
14 Ringwood83538%93.087.8+5.2
15 NW Tasmania93633%85.684.2+1.3
16 Diamond Valley93633%85.294.4-9.2
17 Keilor Thunder93633%82.992.4-9.6
18 Sandringham Sabres103730%85.391.7-6.4
19 Dandenong81712%86.995.4-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves1823231478
Melbourne Tigers35232418100
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