Bendigo vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Aug 2015

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 93-81 (OT)

16-24 19-15 21-21 19-15 18-6

Position#4

Record14-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game81.5

Bendigo 🏆

Geelong

Position#3

Record14-7

FormLWLWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game79.7

SEABLRound 17

Other2015

Meetings · Bendigo v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

72-86

-14

A26/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

90-85

A04/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

75-85

-10

H10/07

SEABL

Geelong

76-69

A11/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

78-56

+22

A17/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

73-115

115

-42

A18/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

88-79

H25/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

79-76 OT

A01/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

69-57

+12

H02/08

SEABL

Frankston

#15

90-78

+12

A08/08

SEABL

19-21

16-21

24-26

13-18

23-15

23-25

16-21

28-24

24-18

24-27

14-21

13-19

15-23

17-18

28-20

16-8

18-25

19-10

15-12

26-9

35-30

13-27

12-28

13-30

27-17

23-17

15-23

23-22

17-22

18-13

18-20

17-15

16-11

20-17

15-16

18-13

23-19

24-23

20-23

23-13

157.6Avg total

79.0Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	82.9	81.5	164.4	+1.4	64%
Season at home (10)	83.2	79.5	162.7	+3.7	60%
Season away (12)	82.6	83.2	165.8	-0.6	67%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	78.6	157.6	+0.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	81.0	160.8	-1.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.0	86.5	165.5	-7.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	80.6	81.1	161.7	-0.5	60%
vs Weaker (5)	91.2	80.6	171.8	+10.6	100%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

74-85

-11

A13/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

73-94

-21

H20/06

SEABL

Nunawading

94-63

+31

H27/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

86-76

+10

H05/07

SEABL

Ballarat

93-77

+16

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

69-76

-7

H11/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

84-77

A18/07

SEABL

Dandenong

78-80

-2

H25/07

SEABL

BA CoE

89-72

+17

H02/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

69-68

A07/08

SEABL

19-24

26-19

13-20

16-22

15-25

17-29

17-25

24-15

31-15

19-18

20-23

24-7

13-19

27-20

21-14

25-23

33-23

20-23

22-18

18-13

23-15

18-17

20-28

8-16

22-25

22-18

18-13

22-21

23-22

19-15

23-19

13-24

19-14

27-21

21-17

22-20

18-19

17-15

25-15

9-19

157.7Avg total

80.9Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	84.1	79.7	163.8	+4.5	67%
Season at home (11)	85.7	80.9	166.6	+4.8	64%
Season away (10)	82.4	78.3	160.7	+4.1	70%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	76.8	157.7	+4.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	74.6	152.4	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.0	81.0	152.0	-10.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	84.3	81.1	165.4	+3.2	44%
vs Weaker (10)	86.6	78.1	164.7	+8.5	90%

This opponent (Bendigo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BendigoGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.9	21.8	44.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	25.5	46.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.0	22.7	43.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	18.6	43.2	+6.0	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.6	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	21.9	23.3	45.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.0	20.6	40.7	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	21.1	40.9	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	22.5	19.0	41.6	+3.5	76%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (10)	22.4	17.7	40.1	+4.7	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.4	19.4	42.9	+4.0	89%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.8	18.1	40.9	+4.7	70%	-

BendigoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

35-42

-7

A26/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

46-40

A04/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

48-45

H10/07

SEABL

Geelong

32-41

-9

A11/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

37-35

A17/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

48-57

-9

A18/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

50-34

+16

H25/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

35-35

A01/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

36-28

H02/08

SEABL

Frankston

#15

47-42

A08/08

SEABL

81.3Avg total

41.4Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	41.8	42.6	84.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	44.3	42.0	86.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.8	43.2	82.9	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.9	81.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.2	82.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	45.0	87.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.7	43.8	84.5	-3.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.0	38.2	83.2	+6.8	80%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

45-43

A13/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

32-54

-22

H20/06

SEABL

Nunawading

50-33

+17

H27/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

40-39

H05/07

SEABL

Ballarat

53-46

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

41-32

H11/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

44-43

A18/07

SEABL

Dandenong

42-37

H25/07

SEABL

BA CoE

46-35

+11

H02/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

35-34

A07/08

SEABL

82.4Avg total

42.8Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	44.2	41.0	85.2	+3.1	81%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	44.1	41.1	85.2	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (10)	44.3	41.0	85.3	+3.3	90%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	39.6	82.4	+3.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.2	77.8	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.5	44.0	77.5	-10.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.1	41.9	87.0	+3.2	78%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.5	39.7	85.2	+5.8	90%	-

This opponent (Bendigo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.5	36%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.4	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.4	19.5	39.8	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.8	19.6	39.3	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.0	34.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.0	33.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	40.0	38.4	78.5	+1.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.9	37.5	76.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.0	39.2	80.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	38.1	74.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	40.6	75.4	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	41.5	78.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.3	36.9	76.2	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.6	41.6	85.2	+2.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	39.5	38.2	77.7	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.7	39.1	79.8	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.1	37.3	75.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.2	75.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.4	74.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	37.0	74.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.1	37.6	77.7	+2.5	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bendigo wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
11/07/15	Geelong v Bendigo	69-76

Bendigolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/08/15	A	Frankston	90-78
02/08/15	H	Hobart Chargers	69-57
01/08/15	A	Kilsyth	79-76 OT
25/07/15	H	Canberra	88-79
18/07/15	A	NW Tasmania	73-115
17/07/15	A	Hobart Chargers	78-56
11/07/15	A	Geelong	76-69
10/07/15	H	NW Tasmania	75-85
04/07/15	A	Southern Sabres	90-85
26/06/15	A	Mt Gambier	72-86

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/08/15	A	Mt Gambier	69-68
02/08/15	H	BA CoE	89-72
25/07/15	H	Dandenong	78-80
18/07/15	A	Brisbane Spartans	84-77
11/07/15	H	Bendigo	69-76
08/07/15	A	Ballarat	93-77
05/07/15	H	NW Tasmania	86-76
27/06/15	H	Nunawading	94-63
20/06/15	H	Mt Gambier	73-94
13/06/15	A	Albury	74-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo

SEABL 2015

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	64%
Home	WWLWW	60%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	64%	60%	67%
Points / game	82.9	83.2	82.6
Allowed / game	81.5	79.5	83.2
Point differential	+1.4	+3.7	-0.6
Avg total	164.4	162.7	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	20%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	33% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

Geelong

SEABL 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	67%
Home	WWLLW	64%
Away	LLWWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	67%	64%	70%
Points / game	84.1	85.7	82.4
Allowed / game	79.7	80.9	78.3
Point differential	+4.5	+4.8	+4.1
Avg total	163.8	166.6	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	36%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	22	19	3	86%	88.0	73.4	+14.6
2	Albury	23	16	7	70%	87.0	81.0	+5.9
3	Geelong	21	14	7	67%	84.1	79.7	+4.5
4	Bendigo	22	14	8	64%	82.9	81.5	+1.4
5	Dandenong	22	13	9	59%	84.5	83.8	+0.7
6	Ballarat	23	12	11	52%	87.3	85.4	+1.9
7	NW Tasmania	23	12	11	52%	83.2	81.6	+1.7
8	Nunawading	23	12	11	52%	86.8	86.8	+0.0
9	Kilsyth	22	10	12	45%	77.4	77.4	+0.0
10	BA CoE	14	6	8	43%	83.7	87.5	-3.8
11	Hobart Chargers	23	9	14	39%	68.8	71.9	-3.0
12	Brisbane Spartans	22	8	14	36%	80.7	83.3	-2.6
13	Southern Sabres	23	8	15	35%	81.3	83.6	-2.3
14	Canberra	23	8	15	35%	77.2	85.8	-8.6
15	Frankston	22	3	19	14%	76.5	87.7	-11.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Bendigo	16	19	21	19	18	93
Geelong	24	15	21	15	6	81

← all games of the day

Bendigo vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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