Mt Gambier vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Aug 2015

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 68-69

19-18 15-17 15-25 19-9

Position#1

Record19-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game73.6

Mt Gambier

Geelong 🏆

Position#3

Record13-7

FormWLWLW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game80.2

SEABLRound 17

Other2015

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#11

89-75

+14

A13/06

SEABL

Geelong

94-73

+21

A20/06

SEABL

Ballarat

91-73

+18

A21/06

SEABL

Bendigo

86-72

+14

H26/06

SEABL

Dandenong

98-90 OT

H03/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

109-71

109

+38

H10/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

101-85

101

+16

H17/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

86-51

+35

A24/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

86-83 OT

A25/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

83-80

H31/07

SEABL

24-17

17-19

16-20

32-19

25-15

29-17

25-17

15-24

23-24

21-21

27-14

20-14

21-19

21-16

26-24

18-13

25-28

27-16

11-24

21-16

28-13

32-13

17-19

32-26

34-19

27-26

21-18

19-22

23-13

25-10

21-15

17-13

27-24

17-24

21-23

14-8

22-22

15-9

30-22

16-27

167.6Avg total

92.3Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	89.0	73.6	162.6	+15.4	90%
Season at home (11)	88.7	72.1	160.8	+16.6	91%
Season away (10)	89.3	75.3	164.6	+14.0	90%
Last 10 (10)	92.3	75.3	167.6	+17.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	93.0	74.0	167.0	+19.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	89.0	73.6	162.6	+15.4	90%

This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

83-80

H30/05

SEABL

Albury

74-85

-11

A13/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

73-94

-21

H20/06

SEABL

Nunawading

94-63

+31

H27/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

86-76

+10

H05/07

SEABL

Ballarat

93-77

+16

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

69-76

-7

H11/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

84-77

A18/07

SEABL

Dandenong

78-80

-2

H25/07

SEABL

BA CoE

89-72

+17

H02/08

SEABL

20-26

29-15

16-14

18-25

19-24

26-19

13-20

16-22

15-25

17-29

17-25

24-15

31-15

19-18

20-23

24-7

13-19

27-20

21-14

25-23

33-23

20-23

22-18

18-13

23-15

18-17

20-28

8-16

22-25

22-18

18-13

22-21

23-22

19-15

23-19

13-24

19-14

27-21

21-17

22-20

160.3Avg total

82.3Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	84.9	80.2	165.2	+4.7	65%
Season at home (11)	85.7	80.9	166.6	+4.8	64%
Season away (9)	83.9	79.4	163.3	+4.4	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	78.0	160.3	+4.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	76.4	159.0	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	73.0	94.0	167.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	84.3	81.1	165.4	+3.2	44%
vs Weaker (10)	86.6	78.1	164.7	+8.5	90%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	24.3	19.6	44.0	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.4	19.1	42.5	+4.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	25.4	20.2	45.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	19.4	44.6	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	18.2	45.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.3	19.6	44.0	+4.7	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.6	55%	-
Last 30 away (9)	22.3	23.8	46.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (10)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	17.1	40.2	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	16.4	39.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (9)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.5	41.9	+2.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	17.0	29.0	46.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.4	19.4	42.9	+4.0	89%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.8	18.1	40.9	+4.7	70%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#11

41-36

A13/06

SEABL

Geelong

54-32

+22

A20/06

SEABL

Ballarat

44-45

-1

A21/06

SEABL

Bendigo

42-35

H26/06

SEABL

Dandenong

52-44

H03/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

60-26

+34

H10/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

61-45

+16

H17/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

48-23

+25

A24/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

44-48

-4

A25/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

37-31

H31/07

SEABL

84.8Avg total

48.3Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	45.4	37.9	83.3	+7.6	71%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	44.2	35.8	80.0	+8.4	82%	-
Last 30 away (10)	46.8	40.1	86.9	+6.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.3	36.5	84.8	+11.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	34.6	84.6	+15.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.4	37.9	83.3	+7.6	71%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

49-41

H30/05

SEABL

Albury

45-43

A13/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

32-54

-22

H20/06

SEABL

Nunawading

50-33

+17

H27/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

40-39

H05/07

SEABL

Ballarat

53-46

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

41-32

H11/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

44-43

A18/07

SEABL

Dandenong

42-37

H25/07

SEABL

BA CoE

46-35

+11

H02/08

SEABL

84.5Avg total

44.2Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	44.6	41.4	86.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	44.1	41.1	85.2	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (9)	45.3	41.8	87.1	+3.6	89%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	40.3	84.5	+3.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	38.6	83.8	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	32.0	54.0	86.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.1	41.9	87.0	+3.2	78%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.5	39.7	85.2	+5.8	90%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.9	17.0	37.9	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.3	16.4	37.6	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.9	17.0	37.9	+3.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.4	19.5	39.8	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.2	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	24.0	15.0	39.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	42.6	35.3	77.9	+7.3	76%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.3	35.7	79.0	+7.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	41.8	34.8	76.6	+7.0	90%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	37.8	79.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	38.6	80.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	42.6	35.3	77.9	+7.3	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	39.8	38.5	78.2	+1.3	65%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.7	39.1	79.8	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (9)	38.6	37.7	76.2	+0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.7	75.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.8	75.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.1	37.6	77.7	+2.5	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
20/06/15	Geelong v Mt Gambier	73-94

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/07/15	H	NW Tasmania	83-80
25/07/15	A	NW Tasmania	86-83 OT
24/07/15	A	Hobart Chargers	86-51
17/07/15	H	Southern Sabres	101-85
10/07/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	109-71
03/07/15	H	Dandenong	98-90 OT
26/06/15	H	Bendigo	86-72
21/06/15	A	Ballarat	91-73
20/06/15	A	Geelong	94-73
13/06/15	A	Kilsyth	89-75

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/08/15	H	BA CoE	89-72
25/07/15	H	Dandenong	78-80
18/07/15	A	Brisbane Spartans	84-77
11/07/15	H	Bendigo	69-76
08/07/15	A	Ballarat	93-77
05/07/15	H	NW Tasmania	86-76
27/06/15	H	Nunawading	94-63
20/06/15	H	Mt Gambier	73-94
13/06/15	A	Albury	74-85
30/05/15	H	Canberra	83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2015

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WWWWW	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	90%	91%	90%
Points / game	89.0	88.7	89.3
Allowed / game	73.6	72.1	75.3
Point differential	+15.4	+16.6	+14.0
Avg total	162.6	160.8	164.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	64%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	10%	9%	10%

Geelong

SEABL 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	65%
Home	WWLLW	64%
Away	WLLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	65%	64%	67%
Points / game	84.9	85.7	83.9
Allowed / game	80.2	80.9	79.4
Point differential	+4.7	+4.8	+4.4
Avg total	165.2	166.6	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	36%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	21	19	2	90%	89.0	73.6	+15.4
2	Albury	22	15	7	68%	86.8	81.5	+5.3
3	Geelong	20	13	7	65%	84.9	80.2	+4.7
4	Bendigo	21	13	8	62%	82.5	81.7	+0.9
5	Dandenong	21	13	8	62%	84.9	84.1	+0.8
6	NW Tasmania	22	12	10	55%	83.5	81.2	+2.2
7	Nunawading	22	12	10	55%	87.3	86.5	+0.7
8	Ballarat	22	11	11	50%	87.1	85.9	+1.2
9	BA CoE	13	6	7	46%	84.5	87.2	-2.8
10	Kilsyth	21	9	12	43%	76.9	77.4	-0.5
11	Hobart Chargers	23	9	14	39%	68.8	71.9	-3.0
12	Southern Sabres	22	8	14	36%	81.8	83.2	-1.5
13	Brisbane Spartans	21	7	14	33%	80.2	83.8	-3.6
14	Canberra	22	7	15	32%	77.2	86.2	-9.0
15	Frankston	21	3	18	14%	76.4	87.6	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	19	15	15	19	68
Geelong	18	17	25	9	69

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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