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Bendigo W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 89-72
22-23 24-21 20-13 23-15
Position#3
Record14-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game70.1
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#5
Record8-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game77.6
AustraliaNBL WRound 15· Red Energy Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W
23 Jan 2026
BEND89
CANB72
08 Nov 2025
BEND73
CANB71
30 Nov 2024
BEND98
CANB78
25 Jan 2024
BEND93
CANB75
14 Jan 2024
BEND88
CANB66
19 Jan 2023
BEND86
CANB74
20 Mar 2022
BEND v CANB
upcoming
28 Nov 2020
BEND51
CANB87
03 Jan 2020
BEND94
CANB90
06 Dec 2019
BEND66
CANB91
19 Jan 2019
BEND97
CANB101
14 Dec 2017
BEND80
CANB91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
57avg 70
H30/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
93-58
93
58
+35
94avg 70
H05/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
66avg 70
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-71
77
71
+6
81avg 70
A13/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
75-67
75
67
+8
64avg 70
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
70-60
70
60
+10
58avg 70
A21/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
73-61
73
61
+12
75avg 70
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
65avg 70
A05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A15/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
99avg 70
H21/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-27
19-11
9-8
25-20
20-7
24-17
24-14
17-14
12-12
18-18
28-23
26-17
18-15
17-16
16-23
31-16
12-18
15-13
17-20
18-13
18-15
19-20
15-12
22-14
22-16
20-16
9-15
20-25
19-28
26-18
13-18
30-22
22-18
17-26
12-19
20-18
26-27
25-20
27-23
150.2Avg total
79.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.470.1147.4+7.378%
Season at home (9)79.267.9147.1+11.389%
Season away (9)75.672.2147.8+3.367%
Last 10 (10)79.171.1150.2+8.080%
Last 5 (5)80.076.6156.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.271.4145.6+2.840%
vs Similar (5)75.266.0141.2+9.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.069.8150.8+11.290%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 66
A07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 66
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 66
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
76avg 66
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
49-75
49
75
-26
32avg 66
A23/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
61-91
61
91
-30
43avg 66
H27/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 66
H04/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
70avg 66
A10/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A18/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
67-61
67
61
+6
60avg 66
A20/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-17
19-18
25-22
20-18
24-25
16-17
16-11
34-23
13-17
23-19
27-12
21-19
15-19
17-15
24-20
14-21
15-13
12-23
8-18
9-26
16-24
21-17
15-24
22-14
16-24
22-18
17-18
14-22
20-31
21-16
17-15
19-22
17-17
28-24
5-15
15-11
21-13
16-17
15-20
147.4Avg total
72.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.977.6149.5-5.644%
Season at home (8)77.679.0156.6-1.462%
Season away (10)67.476.4143.8-9.030%
Last 10 (10)72.175.3147.4-3.260%
Last 5 (5)69.277.6146.8-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.083.7154.7-12.731%
vs Similar (15)76.975.7152.5+1.253%
vs Weaker (2)90.073.0163.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
Bendigo WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H05/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A13/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A15/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H21/01
NBL W
78.2Avg total
42.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.578.5+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.736.478.1+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)42.436.679.0+5.771%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.178.2+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.282.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
vs Similar (5)34.433.267.6+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.337.281.5+7.080%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H27/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A10/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A20/01
NBL W
75.1Avg total
35.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.378.6-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.181.1+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)35.640.576.1-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.475.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.874.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.542.579.9-5.031%-
vs Similar (15)38.138.776.8-0.547%-
vs Weaker (2)45.538.083.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.3
49.1%
47.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.5
38.2%
32.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.3
70.7%
73.3%12.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.320.3
42.9%
47.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.16.8
35.6%
32.8%20.4
🏀 Free throws15.810.6
67.1%
73.3%10.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bendigo W
WLLWWWWWWW
Canberra Capitals W
WLLWLLWWWW
#3
League position
#5
+13.1
Net rating
-5.5
104.6
Offensive rating
93.6
91.5
Defensive rating
99.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
45.9%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.2%
3-point %
35.6%
52.9%
Assist %
67.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 93.6Defence91.5 · 99.1Shooting52.7% · 45.9%3-point %38.2% · 35.6%Ball care17.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 32.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Bendigo W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bendigo W wins
2
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W73-71
15/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W83-74
30/11/24Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W98-78
08/11/24Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W76-99
15/02/24Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W77-85
25/01/24Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W93-75
14/01/24Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W88-66
19/01/23Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W86-74
11/01/23Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W92-85
04/11/22Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W85-105
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HSouthside W98-88
15/01/26APerth Lynx W81-85
05/01/26ASydney W78-89
31/12/25ATownsville W73-61
21/12/25ASouthside W70-60
19/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W75-67
13/12/25AGeelong Venom W77-71
07/12/25ASouthside W75-67
05/12/25HGeelong Venom W93-58
30/11/25HAdelaide Lightning W71-65
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26AAdelaide Lightning W67-61
18/01/26ATownsville W69-78
10/01/26ASydney W72-84
04/01/26HPerth Lynx W77-74
27/12/25HSydney W61-91
23/12/25APerth Lynx W49-75
20/12/25HGeelong Venom W77-73
12/12/25HSouthside W97-71
09/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W76-71
07/12/25AGeelong Venom W76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW78%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game77.479.275.6
Allowed / game70.167.972.2
Point differential+7.3+11.3+3.3
Avg total147.4147.1147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %44%62%30%
Points / game71.977.667.4
Allowed / game77.679.076.4
Point differential-5.6-1.4-9.0
Avg total149.5156.6143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2016480%85.772.3+13.3
2 Bendigo W1814478%77.470.1+7.3
3 Perth Lynx W1914574%82.375.1+7.2
4 Southside W1881044%79.978.1+1.8
5 Canberra Capitals W1881044%71.977.6-5.6
6 Sydney W2061430%76.385.2-8.9
7 Geelong Venom W1951426%76.181.7-5.7
8 Adelaide Lightning W2051525%73.582.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo W2224202389
Canberra Capitals W2321131572
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