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Benfica vs CA Queluz Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game75.0
Benfica
Portugal
vs
CA Queluz
Portugal
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game93.8
PortugalLPBRound 15· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2026-27
Meetings · Benfica v CA Queluz
30 Jan 2027
BEN v CA Q
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BEN106
CA Q68
16 Nov 2024
BEN108
CA Q82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Vechta
#18
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 88
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
74avg 88
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
76avg 88
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
72avg 88
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#25
W
96-91
96
91
+5
87avg 88
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#5
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 88
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#18
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 88
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 88
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#24
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 88
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
A31/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
30-21
22-19
15-30
19-19
19-22
19-13
27-17
19-16
19-20
27-14
26-31
26-16
19-24
27-32
14-21
28-23
22-22
27-17
19-29
21-13
24-19
26-18
21-17
28-20
19-26
22-14
29-23
22-20
22-29
18-10
27-13
33-28
22-22
14-19
21-24
16-19
27-19
14-16
29-18
172.1Avg total
90.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.475.0162.4+12.480%
Season at home (2)88.069.0157.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)87.079.0166.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)90.082.1172.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)91.077.4168.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)92.091.3183.3+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.878.1169.9+13.777%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
110-114
110
114
-4
115avg 79
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 79
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 79
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 79
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
52avg 79
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 79
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 79
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 79
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 79
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
A31/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-36
27-26
32-29
18-23
19-27
26-30
16-22
33-20
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
23-24
26-29
34-13
21-27
180.1Avg total
89.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.093.8182.8-4.850%
Season at home (2)82.599.5182.0-17.00%
Season away (2)95.588.0183.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.990.2180.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)92.289.8182.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.993.8173.7-13.99%
vs Similar (12)82.583.6166.1-1.150%
vs Weaker (7)93.785.0178.7+8.771%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
BenficaCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#18
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#25
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/10
LPB
88.2Avg total
45.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.640.386.9+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.438.887.2+9.582%-
Last 30 away (13)44.442.286.6+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)45.642.688.2+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.089.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)51.048.399.3+2.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.239.585.7+6.769%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A31/10
LPB
90.6Avg total
45.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.087.9-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.645.288.8-1.627%-
Last 30 away (15)42.244.987.1-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.190.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.491.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.947.988.8-7.027%-
vs Similar (12)42.243.285.4-1.125%-
vs Weaker (7)47.343.690.9+3.757%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.124.5
53.1%
50.9%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.1
31.1%
31.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws26.019.8
76.2%
70.6%19.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.2
50.0%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.1
36.3%
31.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.1
74.2%
70.6%18.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WLWWWWLWWL
CA Queluz
WLWLWLWWLL
#1
League position
#8
+8.2
Net rating
-5.8
96.8
Offensive rating
94.3
88.6
Defensive rating
100.1
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.1%
3-point %
36.3%
54.1%
Assist %
68.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 94.3Defence88.6 · 100.1Shooting51.0% · 51.7%3-point %31.1% · 36.3%Ball care13.9% · 14.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Benfica   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Benfica wins
0
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26CA Queluz v Benfica72-89
14/03/26Benfica v CA Queluz106-68
09/11/25CA Queluz v Benfica80-101
15/03/25CA Queluz v Benfica86-95
16/11/24Benfica v CA Queluz108-82
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APortimonense86-72
28/10/26AGeneva Lions90-93
24/10/26ACA Queluz89-72
21/10/26HBC Prievidza98-83
17/10/26HOliveirense92-67
14/10/26HDenizli Basket96-91
11/10/26AFC Porto86-93
07/10/26ABakken Bears91-81
03/10/26HSporting CP84-71
17/09/26HVechta88-98
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AEsgueira104-93
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84
29/03/26AFC Porto94-99
21/03/26HVasco Da Gama110-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game87.488.087.0
Allowed / game75.069.079.0
Point differential+12.4+19.0+8.0
Avg total162.4157.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game89.082.595.5
Allowed / game93.899.588.0
Point differential-4.8-17.0+7.5
Avg total182.8182.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica54180%87.475.0+12.4
2 Ovarense54180%81.874.0+7.8
3 FC Porto54180%93.486.0+7.4
4 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
5 Oliveirense43175%93.890.8+3.0
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 CA Queluz42250%89.093.8-4.8
9 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
10 CAB Madeira51420%86.289.2-3.0
11 Portimonense5050%76.088.6-12.6
12 Esgueira5050%77.695.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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