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Benfica vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-89
16-27 19-20 22-25 19-17
Position#8
Record7-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.2
Benfica
vs
Darussafaka 🏆
Position#25
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game74.7
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
W
106-79
106
79
+27
no box
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A27/11
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
H30/11
LPB
VEF Riga
#40
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 75
H06/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H11/12
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
H14/12
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A17/12
LPB
Limoges
#28
L
59-79
59
79
-20
45avg 75
H20/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
H23/12
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
107-78
107
78
+29
no box
A28/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-22
31-21
31-16
25-23
21-23
20-7
23-25
19-18
23-18
32-24
21-22
27-22
15-16
19-17
23-16
28-22
17-28
23-21
29-22
28-24
19-25
16-13
27-31
32-17
15-25
26-18
14-17
17-17
23-15
5-25
14-22
25-23
22-24
12-17
27-23
26-19
24-16
31-22
26-21
171.7Avg total
90.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.275.2155.4+5.078%
Season at home (3)73.782.3156.0-8.733%
Season away (6)83.571.7155.2+11.8100%
Last 10 (10)90.081.7171.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)85.882.8168.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.281.2155.5-7.050%
vs Weaker (22)87.773.4161.1+14.386%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#12
W
77-63
77
63
+14
63avg 71
A30/11
Champions League
Konyaspor
#16
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
L
66-68
66
68
-2
57avg 71
A13/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
no box
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
56avg 71
H20/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#14
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
26-22
16-16
20-10
17-16
24-20
21-15
15-12
21-16
17-16
14-16
20-22
24-22
25-16
20-11
23-24
17-22
23-13
20-20
6-13
16-23
15-27
18-11
22-26
24-22
17-29
13-19
15-22
20-33
20-22
15-13
29-30
19-27
15-15
15-26
22-29
25-19
28-16
17-15
18-32
157.3Avg total
77.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.574.7146.2-3.233%
Season at home (3)73.082.7155.7-9.733%
Season away (3)70.066.7136.7+3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.380.0157.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)76.691.2167.8-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.183.5156.5-10.418%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.379.2157.5-0.956%
vs Weaker (1)76.062.0138.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
BenficaDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A27/11
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/11
LPB
VEF Riga
#40
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/12
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H14/12
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A17/12
LPB
Limoges
#28
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H20/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/12
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A28/12
LPB
86.7Avg total
45.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.582.0+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.839.583.3+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.337.580.7+5.873%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.786.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.087.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.240.884.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker (22)44.337.381.6+7.077%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A30/11
Champions League
Konyaspor
#16
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A13/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H20/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#14
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.2Avg total
41.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.979.7-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.141.178.2-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.881.3-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.883.2-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.686.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.642.979.5-6.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.240.480.7-0.250%-
vs Weaker (1)37.028.065.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.4
52.0%
51.4%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.2
36.8%
35.2%30.7
🏀 Free throws15.911.3
71.3%
74.3%11.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
51.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.4
28.1%
35.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws16.912.0
71.0%
74.3%12.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WLLWLWWWWW
Darussafaka
WLLLLLWWWW
#8
League position
#25
+6.0
Net rating
-8.8
108.7
Offensive rating
101.7
102.7
Defensive rating
110.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
28.1%
69.0%
Assist %
61.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 101.7Defence102.7 · 110.5Shooting53.4% · 49.0%3-point %36.8% · 28.1%Ball care19.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds31.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Benfica   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
Darussafaka wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/22ACAB Madeira107-78
23/12/22HFC Porto86-87
20/12/22HLimoges59-79
17/12/22ALusitania87-77
14/12/22HSporting CP90-93
11/12/22HFC Porto97-93
06/12/22HVEF Riga84-71
30/11/22HEsgueira95-82
27/11/22ASporting CP89-78
25/11/22AVitoria106-79
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HTofas88-82
28/12/22ABursaspor71-97
24/12/22ABesiktas84-98
20/12/22HHapoel Jerusalem69-92
17/12/22HKarsiyaka71-87
13/12/22ABakken Bears66-68
09/12/22AManisa92-73
04/12/22HKonyaspor72-70
30/11/22ALudwigsburg77-63
25/11/22ABuyukcekmece83-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Champions League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %78%33%100%
Points / game80.273.783.5
Allowed / game75.282.371.7
Point differential+5.0-8.7+11.8
Avg total155.4156.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game71.573.070.0
Allowed / game74.782.766.7
Point differential-3.2-9.7+3.3
Avg total146.2155.7136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Bonn65183%83.273.8+9.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
4 Benfica97278%80.275.2+5.0
5 Ludwigsburg75271%84.675.7+8.9
6 Hapoel Holon75271%88.482.6+5.9
7 Murcia75271%83.482.7+0.7
8 Tenerife64267%85.371.2+14.2
9 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
10 Bilbao64267%79.570.8+8.7
11 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
13 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
14 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
15 Strasbourg64267%80.880.2+0.7
16 Rytas74357%84.379.3+5.0
17 AEK Athens74357%75.974.0+1.9
18 Oostende74357%79.679.0+0.6
19 Dijon74357%77.078.7-1.7
20 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
21 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
22 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
23 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
24 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
25 Tofas94544%77.874.4+3.3
26 Limoges73443%74.169.9+4.3
27 Igokea73443%78.079.9-1.9
28 Bahcesehir Kol.73443%72.778.0-5.3
29 Peristeri73443%77.083.4-6.4
30 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
31 Darussafaka62433%71.574.7-3.2
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
34 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
35 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
36 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
37 PAOK72529%73.777.0-3.3
38 Karsiyaka72529%79.983.9-4.0
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica1619221976
Darussafaka2720251789
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