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Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-87
17-32 25-15 18-26 17-14
Position#10
Record5-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game85.9
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game76.6
PortugalLPBRound 13
Other2022-23
Meetings · Lusitania v Benfica
13 Apr 2024
LUSI73
BEN113
26 Mar 2023
LUSI75
BEN91
17 Dec 2022
LUSI77
BEN87
11 Dec 2021
LUSI58
BEN76
14 Nov 2020
LUSI69
BEN82
14 Dec 2019
LUSI60
BEN103
04 Apr 2019
LUSI76
BEN91
12 Jan 2019
LUSI76
BEN88
15 Oct 2017
LUSI89
BEN95
03 Dec 2016
LUSI82
BEN91
30 Apr 2016
LUSI62
BEN84
14 Nov 2015
LUSI67
BEN69
29 Nov 2014
LUSI53
BEN86
25 Jan 2014
LUSI66
BEN73
27 Apr 2013
LUSI65
BEN89
16 Feb 2013
LUSI61
BEN70
06 May 2012
LUSI61
BEN67
05 May 2012
LUSI60
BEN84
18 Dec 2011
LUSI75
BEN73
05 Feb 2011
LUSI85
BEN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A08/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
H15/10
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
A22/10
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H29/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
A05/11
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
A19/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
64-93
64
93
-29
no box
A26/11
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H30/11
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
L
86-101
86
101
-15
no box
A04/12
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
no box
A08/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
16-24
22-21
22-20
17-29
16-13
17-9
23-16
29-30
16-16
20-22
24-14
13-25
18-17
23-22
30-24
19-32
18-17
30-21
16-20
10-27
26-13
25-14
20-30
18-30
14-14
13-28
19-21
29-17
13-16
27-17
17-29
18-27
30-25
19-23
19-26
24-20
28-20
18-11
17-32
167.4Avg total
81.1Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.885.9165.8-6.142%
Season at home (4)76.272.8149.0+3.575%
Season away (8)81.692.5174.1-10.925%
Last 10 (10)81.186.3167.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)80.888.0168.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.690.6165.2-16.117%
vs Similar (8)79.877.4157.1+2.438%
vs Weaker (3)90.783.7174.3+7.0100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A02/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
no box
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
63-55
63
55
+8
no box
H19/11
LPB
Manresa
#14
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 78
A22/11
Champions League
Vitoria
#6
W
106-79
106
79
+27
no box
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A27/11
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
H30/11
LPB
VEF Riga
#40
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 78
H06/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H11/12
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
H14/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
20-22
17-17
16-19
23-17
26-22
15-19
25-31
21-14
19-13
11-12
12-16
27-17
21-16
21-27
23-22
25-20
19-22
31-21
31-16
25-23
21-23
20-7
23-25
19-18
23-18
32-24
21-22
27-22
15-16
19-17
23-16
28-22
17-28
23-21
29-22
28-24
19-25
16-13
27-31
170.8Avg total
90.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.076.6169.6+16.492%
Season at home (7)91.074.7165.7+16.386%
Season away (5)95.879.2175.0+16.6100%
Last 10 (10)90.180.7170.8+9.490%
Last 5 (5)91.083.4174.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)79.382.0161.3-2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.571.8158.3+14.791%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
LusitaniaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A08/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/10
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/10
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H29/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A05/11
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A26/11
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H30/11
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A04/12
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A08/12
LPB
83.3Avg total
39.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.043.980.9-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.838.875.7-2.033%-
Last 30 away (18)37.147.384.4-10.211%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.383.3-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.883.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.348.383.6-13.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.136.673.8+0.538%-
vs Weaker (3)48.338.386.7+10.0100%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A02/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A05/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H19/11
LPB
Manresa
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A22/11
Champions League
Vitoria
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A25/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A27/11
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/11
LPB
VEF Riga
#40
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/12
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H14/12
LPB
83.6Avg total
44.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.180.7+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.039.383.3+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.878.1+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.383.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.888.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)44.343.788.0+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.036.579.5+6.578%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.8
53.6%
52.4%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.9
38.8%
32.3%32.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.2
70.3%
70.4%11.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lusitania wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
01/10/22Benfica v Lusitania111-85
26/03/22Benfica v Lusitania131-72
11/12/21Lusitania v Benfica58-76
05/03/21Benfica v Lusitania93-89
14/11/20Lusitania v Benfica69-82
14/12/19Lusitania v Benfica60-103
02/05/19Benfica v Lusitania113-76
04/04/19Lusitania v Benfica76-91
12/01/19Lusitania v Benfica76-88
20/10/18Benfica v Lusitania89-69
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22ASangalhos87-83
04/12/22ACAB Madeira86-101
30/11/22HSangalhos86-79
26/11/22AFC Porto64-93
19/11/22AOvarense81-84
05/11/22ASporting CP83-90
29/10/22HEsgueira84-88
22/10/22AVitoria89-82
15/10/22HCD Povoa73-67
08/10/22AOliveirense78-96
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/22HSporting CP90-93
11/12/22HFC Porto97-93
06/12/22HVEF Riga84-71
30/11/22HEsgueira95-82
27/11/22ASporting CP89-78
25/11/22AVitoria106-79
22/11/22AManresa92-82
19/11/22HCD Povoa63-55
05/11/22AFC Porto112-105 OT
02/11/22AOliveirense73-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %42%75%25%
Points / game79.876.281.6
Allowed / game85.972.892.5
Point differential-6.1+3.5-10.9
Avg total165.8149.0174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%25%0%
Benfica
LPB 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL92%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %92%86%100%
Points / game93.091.095.8
Allowed / game76.674.779.2
Point differential+16.4+16.3+16.6
Avg total169.6165.7175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1211192%93.076.6+16.4
2 FC Porto1211192%89.674.5+15.1
3 Sporting CP1210283%92.880.2+12.6
4 Oliveirense128467%81.278.9+2.2
5 Ovarense138562%79.281.0-1.8
6 Esgueira125742%80.283.1-2.8
7 Lusitania125742%79.885.9-6.1
8 Vitoria135838%85.090.3-5.3
9 Imortal124833%72.276.7-4.5
10 CD Povoa134931%71.473.3-1.9
11 CAB Madeira1331023%78.184.7-6.6
12 Sangalhos120120%68.784.6-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1725181777
Benfica3215261487
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