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Ludwigsburg vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-77
16-17 20-24 15-21 12-15
Position#12
Record3-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#25
Record1-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4
European cup2022
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Darussafaka
16 Jan 2024
LUD99
DAR73
02 Jan 2024
LUD82
DAR63
30 Nov 2022
LUD63
DAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
66avg 71
A09/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
95-102
95
102
-7
83avg 71
H12/10
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 71
A19/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H23/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 71
A30/10
BBL
Darussafaka
#25
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 71
A02/11
Champions League
Hamburg
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 71
H06/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
91-99
91
99
-8
80avg 71
A20/11
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
84-80
84
80
+4
69avg 71
H26/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
14-17
24-13
25-15
32-24
32-28
12-22
19-28
22-21
21-23
18-25
31-17
16-18
18-9
30-18
16-26
25-12
28-28
18-21
21-17
22-13
18-23
22-24
27-26
20-21
25-8
21-21
24-20
26-23
31-18
21-24
25-27
24-23
20-22
25-27
22-27
20-26
24-23
23-20
17-11
172.6Avg total
89.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.766.3156.0+23.3100%
Season at home (1)99.058.0157.0+41.0100%
Season away (2)85.070.5155.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.683.0172.6+6.680%
Last 5 (5)91.485.4176.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.488.2168.6-7.820%
vs Similar (16)83.077.3160.3+5.775%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.682.4175.0+10.275%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
64avg 74
A03/10
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
H09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
W
80-66
80
66
+14
80avg 74
H19/10
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
H23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
68-66
68
66
+2
no box
H30/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
62avg 74
H02/11
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
14-17
25-24
27-26
25-15
16-24
14-14
12-16
24-26
26-19
23-22
20-13
20-22
23-19
17-23
18-24
21-17
15-15
25-16
19-18
16-27
29-24
24-20
6-23
16-13
15-20
15-23
22-10
21-20
8-25
21-21
20-24
12-29
20-13
16-16
28-11
21-22
26-22
16-16
20-10
155.9Avg total
77.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.375.0147.3-2.733%
Season at home (2)75.078.0153.0-3.050%
Season away (1)67.069.0136.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)77.778.2155.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)74.477.8152.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.685.2160.8-9.527%
vs Similar (16)78.078.2156.2-0.256%
vs Weaker (3)86.369.0155.3+17.3100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
LudwigsburgDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A09/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H12/10
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/10
German Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A19/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#9
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H23/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A30/10
BBL
Darussafaka
#25
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A02/11
Champions League
Hamburg
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H06/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A20/11
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H26/11
BBL
85.6Avg total
45.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.881.3+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.638.182.7+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)42.137.579.6+4.657%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.185.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.086.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.644.685.2-4.020%-
vs Similar (16)40.935.175.9+5.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.538.288.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A03/10
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H19/10
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H30/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#12
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H02/11
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.1Avg total
38.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.579.3-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.140.678.7-2.431%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.480.1-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.280.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.079.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.843.381.1-5.536%-
vs Similar (16)38.940.279.1-1.238%-
vs Weaker (3)42.331.774.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.9
52.9%
51.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.1
34.6%
35.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
74.3%16.2
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.2
50.1%
51.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
35.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
74.3%13.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WLWWWWWWLW
Darussafaka
WWLWLWLWLL
#12
League position
#25
+13.3
Net rating
-10.2
117.5
Offensive rating
98.9
104.2
Defensive rating
109.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
22.2%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
30.7%
55.8%
Assist %
69.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 98.9Defence104.2 · 109.2Shooting52.4% · 48.5%3-point %34.6% · 30.7%Ball care14.8% · 22.2%Off. rebounds35.4% · 33.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ludwigsburg wins
0
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
02/11/22Darussafaka v Ludwigsburg70-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HBonn84-80
20/11/22AAlba Berlin91-99
06/11/22HHamburg103-92
02/11/22ADarussafaka90-70
30/10/22AWurzburg89-86
23/10/22HBamberg92-78
19/10/22AHapoel Jerusalem80-71
15/10/22AHamburg92-86
12/10/22HRostock95-102
09/10/22ABasketball Braunschweig80-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22ABuyukcekmece83-70
18/11/22HBahcesehir Kol.76-69
02/11/22HLudwigsburg70-90
30/10/22HGalatasaray68-66
23/10/22HPetkim Spor75-94
19/10/22HBakken Bears80-66
16/10/22AAnadolu Efes78-88
09/10/22HMerkezefendi93-80
03/10/22AHapoel Jerusalem67-69
30/09/22ATurk Telekom87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.799.085.0
Allowed / game66.358.070.5
Point differential+23.3+41.0+14.5
Avg total156.0157.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game72.375.067.0
Allowed / game75.078.069.0
Point differential-2.7-3.0-2.0
Avg total147.3153.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja550100%91.467.6+23.8
2 Ludwigsburg330100%89.766.3+23.3
3 Bilbao330100%77.766.7+11.0
4 Benfica76186%82.775.3+7.4
5 Tenerife43175%87.070.5+16.5
6 Manresa43175%85.875.5+10.2
7 Galatasaray43175%84.876.5+8.2
8 Bonn43175%80.074.2+5.8
9 Strasbourg43175%83.080.5+2.5
10 Hapoel Holon43175%82.281.2+1.0
11 Murcia43175%82.582.0+0.5
12 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
13 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
14 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
15 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%70.772.7-2.0
16 Dijon32167%75.378.0-2.7
17 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
18 Tofas63350%79.374.3+5.0
19 Rytas42250%82.578.5+4.0
20 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
21 Bahcesehir Kol.42250%75.076.5-1.5
22 Karsiyaka42250%78.880.2-1.5
23 Reggiana42250%77.880.2-2.5
24 Peristeri42250%77.280.5-3.2
25 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
26 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
27 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
28 Bakken Bears52340%73.279.6-6.4
29 Igokea31233%79.376.3+3.0
30 Darussafaka31233%72.375.0-2.7
31 Limoges41325%67.867.0+0.8
32 PAOK41325%73.874.2-0.5
33 AEK Athens41325%77.579.2-1.8
34 Oostende41325%73.877.5-3.8
35 Legia41325%70.576.0-5.5
36 Szombathely41325%79.886.5-6.8
37 Sassari41325%76.585.2-8.8
38 Nymburk41325%71.880.8-9.0
39 VEF Riga41325%64.877.0-12.2
40 Bnei Herzliya41325%70.087.2-17.2
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg1620151263
Darussafaka1724211577
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