Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 83-65

22-14 20-12 21-21 20-18

Position#2

Record16-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game62.6

Benfica 🏆

Lusitania

Position#7

Record7-9

FormWLWWL

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game76.4

LPBRound 19

Other2015-16

Meetings · Benfica v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

82-73

A28/11

LPB

Antwerp Giants

77-79

-2

H02/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Vitoria

75-56

+19

H06/12

LPB

Vitoria

79-73

A12/12

LPB

Maia

#11

94-73

+21

H20/12

LPB

FC Porto

62-81

-19

A03/01

LPB

Barcelos

72-41

+31

H09/01

LPB

Oliveirense

77-61

+16

A13/01

LPB

Galitos

92-78

+14

H17/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

88-69

+19

A23/01

LPB

18-7

16-28

25-22

23-16

24-20

16-20

18-23

19-16

21-12

15-18

20-10

19-16

8-17

18-16

27-23

26-17

17-18

21-16

34-22

22-17

12-18

18-17

21-19

11-27

15-14

23-9

23-10

11-8

25-15

17-15

16-18

19-13

24-18

22-17

25-15

21-28

27-13

16-23

23-22

22-11

148.2Avg total

79.8Scored

68.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	78.4	62.6	141.1	+15.8	94%
Season at home (8)	81.4	59.6	141.0	+21.8	100%
Season away (9)	75.8	65.3	141.1	+10.4	89%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	68.4	148.2	+11.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	66.0	144.2	+12.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	71.8	76.2	148.0	-4.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	79.5	65.2	144.8	+14.3	88%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

67-69

-2

H14/11

LPB

Vitoria

75-69

A21/11

LPB

Maia

#11

75-63

+12

H28/11

LPB

FC Porto

67-96

-29

H05/12

LPB

Barcelos

72-65

H12/12

LPB

Oliveirense

84-76

H19/12

LPB

Galitos

64-82

-18

H02/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

97-69

+28

A09/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

83-82

A16/01

LPB

Ovarense

78-94

-16

H23/01

LPB

8-10

22-29

21-15

16-15

13-19

20-24

22-14

20-12

17-19

26-15

18-14

14-15

15-22

21-22

21-25

10-27

13-19

26-14

18-17

15-15

21-15

19-15

18-21

26-25

12-21

13-25

16-18

23-18

25-18

22-20

19-22

31-9

22-12

26-22

17-26

18-22

–

152.7Avg total

76.2Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	72.4	76.4	148.8	-4.0	44%
Season at home (9)	71.2	77.4	148.7	-6.2	33%
Season away (7)	73.9	75.0	148.9	-1.1	57%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	76.5	152.7	-0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	80.6	161.8	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	68.8	81.1	149.9	-12.3	21%
vs Similar (9)	72.7	70.4	143.1	+2.2	56%
vs Weaker (7)	77.6	70.7	148.3	+6.9	86%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	15.9	35.3	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	16.5	37.9	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	15.3	32.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.2	34.3	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.6	36.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.3	15.2	34.5	+4.1	72%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.8	18.8	34.6	-3.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	17.5	35.3	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.2	17.2	33.4	-1.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	14.1	20.1	34.2	-6.0	23%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	15.7	36.3	+5.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	16.5	33.9	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.2	35.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	14.5	19.8	34.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.6	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	19.4	36.6	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	20.7	42.3	+1.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.2	21.7	37.8	-5.5	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.6	16.1	33.7	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	67%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

34-35

-1

A28/11

LPB

Antwerp Giants

40-40

H02/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Vitoria

36-30

H06/12

LPB

Vitoria

26-33

-7

A12/12

LPB

Maia

#11

38-34

H20/12

LPB

FC Porto

30-35

-5

A03/01

LPB

Barcelos

38-23

+15

H09/01

LPB

Oliveirense

42-30

+12

A13/01

LPB

Galitos

46-35

+11

H17/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

43-36

A23/01

LPB

70.4Avg total

37.3Scored

33.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	33.2	70.4	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	32.9	71.9	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.5	33.4	68.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	33.1	70.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	31.8	71.6	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	34.2	40.0	74.2	-5.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	37.8	32.1	69.8	+5.7	80%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

30-39

-9

H14/11

LPB

Vitoria

33-43

-10

A21/11

LPB

Maia

#11

43-34

H28/11

LPB

FC Porto

36-44

-8

H05/12

LPB

Barcelos

39-33

H12/12

LPB

Oliveirense

40-30

+10

H19/12

LPB

Galitos

25-46

-21

H02/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

47-38

A09/01

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

48-34

+14

A16/01

LPB

75.8Avg total

37.9Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	34.8	37.6	72.4	-2.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.5	38.4	72.9	-3.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	36.9	71.9	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.9	37.9	75.8	+0.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.2	76.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	30.2	41.8	72.0	-11.5	8%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.7	33.1	68.8	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.3	35.3	78.7	+8.0	67%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+5.0	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	14.3	36.5	+7.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.0	15.5	36.5	+5.5	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.0	19.0	38.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	19.3	38.7	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	16.4	35.4	+2.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.7	17.2	37.8	+3.5	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	19.7	37.9	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.8	40.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	54%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.8	17.5	33.3	-1.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	33.2	74.3	+7.9	76%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	32.6	76.3	+11.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	33.8	72.1	+4.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	35.3	77.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	34.2	72.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	37.5	36.2	73.8	+1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	41.7	32.7	74.4	+9.0	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.0	37.7	74.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	36.6	74.4	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	38.7	75.0	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.1	36.7	74.8	+1.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.6	78.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.8	38.3	76.2	-0.5	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.0	37.3	74.3	-0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.7	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
14/11/15	Lusitania v Benfica	67-69
28/02/15	Benfica v Lusitania	97-87
29/11/14	Lusitania v Benfica	53-86
25/01/14	Lusitania v Benfica	66-73
03/11/13	Benfica v Lusitania	109-75
27/04/13	Lusitania v Benfica	65-89
21/04/13	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64
20/04/13	Benfica v Lusitania	102-74
16/02/13	Lusitania v Benfica	61-70
17/11/12	Benfica v Lusitania	84-57

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/01/16	A	CAB Madeira	88-69
17/01/16	H	Galitos	92-78
13/01/16	A	Oliveirense	77-61
09/01/16	H	Barcelos	72-41
03/01/16	A	FC Porto	62-81
20/12/15	H	Maia	94-73
12/12/15	A	Vitoria	79-73
06/12/15	H	Vitoria	75-56
02/12/15	H	Antwerp Giants	77-79
28/11/15	A	Ovarense	82-73

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/01/16	H	Ovarense	78-94
16/01/16	A	Electrico FC	83-82
09/01/16	A	CAB Madeira	97-69
02/01/16	H	Galitos	64-82
19/12/15	H	Oliveirense	84-76
12/12/15	H	Barcelos	72-65
05/12/15	H	FC Porto	67-96
28/11/15	H	Maia	75-63
21/11/15	A	Vitoria	75-69
14/11/15	H	Benfica	67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	94%	100%	89%
Points / game	78.4	81.4	75.8
Allowed / game	62.6	59.6	65.3
Point differential	+15.8	+21.8	+10.4
Avg total	141.1	141.0	141.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	88%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	44%
Home	LWWLL	33%
Away	LWWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	44%	33%	57%
Points / game	72.4	71.2	73.9
Allowed / game	76.4	77.4	75.0
Point differential	-4.0	-6.2	-1.1
Avg total	148.8	148.7	148.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	11%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	17	16	1	94%	78.4	62.6	+15.8
2	FC Porto	16	14	2	88%	76.1	62.4	+13.8
3	Galitos	16	10	6	62%	75.0	71.7	+3.3
4	Ovarense	17	10	7	59%	76.4	71.0	+5.4
5	Barcelos	17	9	8	53%	67.2	66.5	+0.6
6	Oliveirense	17	8	9	47%	72.0	71.1	+0.9
7	Lusitania	16	7	9	44%	72.4	76.4	-4.0
8	Vitoria	16	6	10	38%	72.6	71.4	+1.2
9	CAB Madeira	16	4	12	25%	67.8	75.8	-8.0
10	Electrico FC	16	3	13	19%	67.8	82.2	-14.4
11	Maia	16	3	13	19%	64.1	80.1	-16.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	22	20	21	20	83
Lusitania	14	12	21	18	65

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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