Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 May 2019

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 113-76

29-26 27-16 26-19 31-15

Position#2

Record25-5

FormWLWWW

Points / game88.8

Allowed / game75.0

Benfica 🏆

Lusitania

Position#6

Record14-16

FormLWLWL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game83.8

LPBRound 9

Other2018-19

Meetings · Benfica v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illiabum

98-75

+23

H10/03

LPB

Ovarense

64-65

-1

H15/03

Taca de Portugal

Terceira

#11

112-60

112

+52

H23/03

LPB

Oliveirense

71-78

-7

H28/03

LPB

Ovarense

57-80

-23

A31/03

LPB

Lusitania

91-76

+15

A04/04

LPB

FC Porto

79-84

-5

H07/04

LPB

Terceira

#11

119-75

119

+44

A17/04

LPB

Oliveirense

84-79

A24/04

LPB

Ovarense

90-61

+29

H27/04

LPB

18-27

28-12

24-12

28-24

26-14

18-26

8-13

12-12

35-15

32-11

20-13

25-21

20-21

17-14

20-18

14-25

15-24

13-20

19-19

10-17

22-11

20-26

26-21

23-18

30-26

13-10

21-22

15-26

35-14

30-24

33-22

21-15

25-15

25-27

13-19

21-18

27-9

24-13

18-19

21-20

159.8Avg total

86.5Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	88.8	75.0	163.8	+13.8	83%
Season at home (15)	93.1	74.7	167.9	+18.4	87%
Season away (15)	84.5	75.3	159.8	+9.1	80%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	73.3	159.8	+13.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	92.6	75.0	167.6	+17.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	80.0	81.0	161.0	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	89.5	74.3	163.8	+15.2	84%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terceira

98-83

+15

H14/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

71-88

-17

H16/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

70-103

103

-33

A24/03

LPB

Terceira

#11

90-87

H28/03

LPB

Oliveirense

74-98

-24

A31/03

LPB

Benfica

76-91

-15

H04/04

LPB

Ovarense

72-69

H07/04

LPB

FC Porto

79-85 OT

-6

H20/04

LPB

Terceira

#11

84-60

+24

A25/04

LPB

Oliveirense

98-100

100

-2

H27/04

LPB

38-23

17-16

20-21

23-23

15-17

11-28

20-23

25-20

18-22

22-24

15-29

15-28

16-19

29-19

23-25

22-24

19-34

16-24

25-26

14-14

11-22

26-20

21-26

18-23

22-13

19-21

16-25

15-10

17-26

8-17

27-12

20-17

21-19

22-11

22-18

19-12

24-29

25-25

22-18

27-28

167.6Avg total

81.2Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	80.9	83.8	164.7	-2.9	47%
Season at home (16)	80.7	83.1	163.8	-2.4	50%
Season away (14)	81.1	84.6	165.6	-3.5	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	86.4	167.6	-5.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	81.0	162.8	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	77.5	87.7	165.2	-10.2	15%
vs Similar (11)	87.0	82.4	169.4	+4.6	82%
vs Weaker (5)	83.4	80.6	164.0	+2.8	60%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	18.7	42.1	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	19.1	44.2	+5.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	17.6	42.9	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	15.0	42.8	+12.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.6	18.3	41.9	+5.2	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	21.2	41.2	-1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.5	21.8	39.4	-4.3	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.3	16.4	39.8	+6.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.6	39.1	-0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	23.5	18.5	42.0	+5.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.5	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.2	22.2	40.3	-4.0	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	19.8	37.4	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	80%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illiabum

46-39

H10/03

LPB

Ovarense

44-40

H15/03

Taca de Portugal

Terceira

#11

67-26

+41

H23/03

LPB

Oliveirense

37-35

H28/03

LPB

Ovarense

28-44

-16

A31/03

LPB

Lusitania

42-37

A04/04

LPB

FC Porto

43-36

H07/04

LPB

Terceira

#11

65-38

+27

A17/04

LPB

Oliveirense

50-42

A24/04

LPB

Ovarense

51-22

+29

H27/04

LPB

83.2Avg total

47.3Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	36.7	81.6	+8.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.4	35.6	83.9	+12.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	37.9	78.9	+3.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	35.9	83.2	+11.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	35.0	85.2	+15.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	45.2	39.8	85.0	+5.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.8	36.1	80.9	+8.7	76%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terceira

55-39

+16

H14/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

26-45

-19

H16/03

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

40-46

-6

A24/03

LPB

Terceira

#11

45-38

H28/03

LPB

Oliveirense

35-58

-23

A31/03

LPB

Benfica

37-42

-5

H04/04

LPB

Ovarense

41-34

H07/04

LPB

FC Porto

25-43

-18

H20/04

LPB

Terceira

#11

43-30

+13

A25/04

LPB

Oliveirense

49-54

-5

H27/04

LPB

82.5Avg total

39.6Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	41.3	79.0	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.2	40.5	77.6	-3.3	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	42.5	80.7	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.9	82.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.7	44.0	79.7	-8.3	23%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.9	41.5	81.5	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.8	35.4	74.2	+3.4	60%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.7	40.9	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	18.0	41.1	+5.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.4	18.5	41.0	+3.9	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	54%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	15.8	19.2	35.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.5	19.6	41.0	+1.9	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.6	20.5	43.2	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	38.1	81.1	+4.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	38.6	82.6	+5.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	37.6	79.4	+4.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	37.4	76.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	34.8	41.2	76.0	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.9	38.1	82.0	+5.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	40.5	83.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.9	40.4	82.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.5	40.7	84.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.8	79.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	41.3	42.7	84.0	-1.4	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	45.5	39.9	85.4	+5.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.8	39.0	78.8	+0.8	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
04/04/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-91
12/01/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-88
20/10/18	Benfica v Lusitania	89-69
04/02/18	Benfica v Lusitania	97-100 OT
15/10/17	Lusitania v Benfica	89-95
18/02/17	Benfica v Lusitania	100-65
03/12/16	Lusitania v Benfica	82-91
30/04/16	Lusitania v Benfica	62-84
24/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64
23/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	96-61

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/19	H	Ovarense	90-61
24/04/19	A	Oliveirense	84-79
17/04/19	A	Terceira	119-75
07/04/19	H	FC Porto	79-84
04/04/19	A	Lusitania	91-76
31/03/19	A	Ovarense	57-80
28/03/19	H	Oliveirense	71-78
23/03/19	H	Terceira	112-60
15/03/19	H	Ovarense	64-65
10/03/19	H	Illiabum	98-75

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/19	H	Oliveirense	98-100
25/04/19	A	Terceira	84-60
20/04/19	H	FC Porto	79-85 OT
07/04/19	H	Ovarense	72-69
04/04/19	H	Benfica	76-91
31/03/19	A	Oliveirense	74-98
28/03/19	H	Terceira	90-87
24/03/19	A	FC Porto	70-103
16/03/19	H	FC Porto	71-88
14/03/19	H	Terceira	98-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	83%
Home	WWLLW	87%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	83%	87%	80%
Points / game	88.8	93.1	84.5
Allowed / game	75.0	74.7	75.3
Point differential	+13.8	+18.4	+9.1
Avg total	163.8	167.9	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	60%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	67% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

Lusitania

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	47%
Home	WLWLL	50%
Away	WWLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	47%	50%	43%
Points / game	80.9	80.7	81.1
Allowed / game	83.8	83.1	84.6
Point differential	-2.9	-2.4	-3.5
Avg total	164.7	163.8	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	6%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	83% (6)	50% (4)
Overtime %	13%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Oliveirense	31	28	3	90%	87.8	72.9	+14.9
2	Benfica	30	25	5	83%	88.8	75.0	+13.8
3	FC Porto	31	24	7	77%	89.2	79.5	+9.7
4	CAB Madeira	31	15	16	48%	78.6	79.9	-1.3
5	Ovarense	30	14	16	47%	76.9	77.7	-0.8
6	Lusitania	30	14	16	47%	80.9	83.8	-2.9
7	Illiabum	31	13	18	42%	79.4	82.9	-3.5
8	Esgueira	31	12	19	39%	77.8	83.0	-5.2
9	Vitoria	30	11	19	37%	79.4	81.8	-2.4
10	Galitos	30	11	19	37%	79.3	83.5	-4.2
11	Terceira	30	10	20	33%	77.7	87.3	-9.6
12	Imortal	31	6	25	19%	77.4	86.1	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	29	27	26	31	113
Lusitania	26	16	19	15	76

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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