Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 14:30

Final 100-65

36-16 22-13 20-12 22-24

Position#1

Record14-5

FormLLWLW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game69.7

Benfica 🏆

Lusitania

Position#10

Record5-14

FormLWLWL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game81.5

LPBRound 20

Other2016-17

Meetings · Benfica v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Enisey

69-99

-30

A04/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

83-74

A08/01

LPB

Academic

#14

67-76

-9

H11/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Maia

#12

89-66

+23

H14/01

LPB

Donar Groningen

#10

78-81 OT

-3

A17/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Illiabum

71-85

-14

A22/01

LPB

Enisey

58-89

-31

H25/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Electrico FC

104-66

104

+38

H28/01

LPB

Oliveirense

74-81

-7

H11/02

LPB

Sampaense

#11

73-59

+14

A12/02

LPB

13-21

22-29

18-27

16-22

29-19

15-19

23-22

16-14

22-23

12-15

18-22

15-16

27-13

11-14

28-12

23-27

13-18

18-18

16-19

22-14

20-24

20-23

23-22

8-16

18-25

10-21

15-21

15-22

20-19

27-20

30-12

27-15

12-18

20-23

22-17

20-23

16-18

20-14

18-17

19-10

154.2Avg total

76.6Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	81.2	69.7	150.9	+11.5	74%
Season at home (8)	87.5	67.6	155.1	+19.9	88%
Season away (11)	76.6	71.2	147.8	+5.5	64%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	77.6	154.2	-1.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	76.0	152.0	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	73.3	80.7	154.0	-7.4	36%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	82.1	70.6	152.7	+11.4	69%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

74-92

-18

H08/12

LPB

Sampaense

#11

88-83

H10/12

LPB

Galitos

77-89

-12

A17/12

LPB

Vitoria

68-77

-9

A19/12

LPB

FC Porto

83-92

-9

A07/01

LPB

Ovarense

73-78 OT

-5

H14/01

LPB

Maia

#12

89-82

A21/01

LPB

Illiabum

78-82

-4

H28/01

LPB

Electrico FC

88-82

A11/02

LPB

Oliveirense

62-82

-20

A12/02

LPB

12-16

20-26

17-25

25-25

16-18

26-25

16-22

30-18

19-18

21-26

14-20

23-25

19-20

11-13

20-20

18-24

19-19

14-26

30-20

20-27

13-22

18-12

21-17

19-20

20-19

27-17

21-30

21-16

20-18

22-18

21-29

15-17

23-13

16-25

25-18

24-26

21-21

9-17

15-24

17-20

161.9Avg total

78.0Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	74.6	81.5	156.1	-6.8	26%
Season at home (11)	76.0	81.5	157.5	-5.5	27%
Season away (8)	72.8	81.4	154.1	-8.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	83.9	161.9	-5.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	81.2	159.2	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	71.9	83.9	155.8	-11.9	6%
vs Similar (8)	78.4	80.9	159.2	-2.5	62%
vs Weaker (5)	82.0	75.4	157.4	+6.6	80%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	17.8	38.2	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	36%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.3	19.2	36.5	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.8	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	15.8	18.8	34.6	-3.0	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.5	37.3	+0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	17.8	37.4	+1.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	29%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.6	38.4	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.6	21.8	38.4	-5.2	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	60%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Enisey

35-50

-15

A04/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

44-38

A08/01

LPB

Academic

#14

34-38

-4

H11/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Maia

#12

38-27

+11

H14/01

LPB

Donar Groningen

#10

31-36

-5

A17/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Illiabum

40-47

-7

A22/01

LPB

Enisey

28-46

-18

H25/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Electrico FC

47-39

H28/01

LPB

Oliveirense

32-41

-9

H11/02

LPB

Sampaense

#11

36-32

A12/02

LPB

75.9Avg total

36.5Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.0	75.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.0	35.6	75.6	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.0	38.1	76.1	-0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	39.4	75.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	41.0	77.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.1	39.3	76.4	-2.2	29%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.4	35.0	75.4	+5.4	69%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

32-42

-10

H08/12

LPB

Sampaense

#11

42-43

-1

H10/12

LPB

Galitos

40-44

-4

A17/12

LPB

Vitoria

30-33

-3

A19/12

LPB

FC Porto

33-45

-12

A07/01

LPB

Ovarense

31-34

-3

H14/01

LPB

Maia

#12

47-36

+11

A21/01

LPB

Illiabum

42-36

H28/01

LPB

Electrico FC

39-38

A11/02

LPB

Oliveirense

30-38

-8

A12/02

LPB

75.5Avg total

36.6Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	40.8	77.0	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	40.6	77.0	-4.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	40.9	77.1	-4.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.9	75.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.4	74.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.8	41.7	76.5	-6.9	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.8	40.0	77.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.0	38.8	77.8	+0.2	40%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.6	40.2	+0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.7	22.5	39.2	-5.8	7%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.4	17.5	38.9	+3.9	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.3	40.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.6	44.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	20.4	41.2	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	17.8	36.8	+1.3	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.2	17.6	35.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.2	18.1	38.4	+2.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.5	21.6	40.2	-3.1	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	37.7	76.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.2	37.7	77.8	+2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.2	37.8	75.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	37.0	76.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	35.0	74.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.9	40.1	75.1	-5.2	21%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.6	35.6	77.2	+6.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.3	78.8	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	38.5	76.3	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	42.4	81.6	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	44.3	85.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.4	83.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.1	41.8	78.8	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.6	40.9	81.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.6	34.6	74.2	+5.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
03/12/16	Lusitania v Benfica	82-91
30/04/16	Lusitania v Benfica	62-84
24/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64
23/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	96-61
30/01/16	Benfica v Lusitania	83-65
14/11/15	Lusitania v Benfica	67-69
28/02/15	Benfica v Lusitania	97-87
29/11/14	Lusitania v Benfica	53-86
25/01/14	Lusitania v Benfica	66-73
03/11/13	Benfica v Lusitania	109-75

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/17	A	Sampaense	73-59
11/02/17	H	Oliveirense	74-81
28/01/17	H	Electrico FC	104-66
25/01/17	H	Enisey	58-89
22/01/17	A	Illiabum	71-85
17/01/17	A	Donar Groningen	78-81 OT
14/01/17	H	Maia	89-66
11/01/17	H	Academic	67-76
08/01/17	A	Ovarense	83-74
04/01/17	A	Enisey	69-99

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/17	A	Oliveirense	62-82
11/02/17	A	Electrico FC	88-82
28/01/17	H	Illiabum	78-82
21/01/17	A	Maia	89-82
14/01/17	H	Ovarense	73-78 OT
07/01/17	A	FC Porto	83-92
19/12/16	A	Vitoria	68-77
17/12/16	A	Galitos	77-89
10/12/16	H	Sampaense	88-83
08/12/16	H	CAB Madeira	74-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	74%
Home	WWWWL	88%
Away	WLWLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	8	11
Win %	74%	88%	64%
Points / game	81.2	87.5	76.6
Allowed / game	69.7	67.6	71.2
Point differential	+11.5	+19.9	+5.5
Avg total	150.9	155.1	147.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	88%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	26%
Home	LLWLL	27%
Away	LLWWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	11	8
Win %	26%	27%	25%
Points / game	74.6	76.0	72.8
Allowed / game	81.5	81.5	81.4
Point differential	-6.8	-5.5	-8.6
Avg total	156.1	157.5	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	9%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	40% (5)	-
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	19	16	3	84%	85.7	68.6	+17.1
2	Oliveirense	19	15	4	79%	72.8	64.6	+8.2
3	Benfica	19	14	5	74%	81.2	69.7	+11.5
4	Vitoria	20	14	6	70%	81.0	77.2	+3.8
5	Galitos	19	12	7	63%	75.3	72.7	+2.6
6	Illiabum	20	12	8	60%	78.8	74.5	+4.3
7	CAB Madeira	20	10	10	50%	79.5	76.5	+3.0
8	Ovarense	20	9	11	45%	77.0	80.4	-3.4
9	Lusitania	19	5	14	26%	74.6	81.5	-6.8
10	Electrico FC	19	4	15	21%	73.2	85.9	-12.7
11	Maia	19	3	16	16%	75.2	84.7	-9.6
12	Sampaense	19	2	17	11%	69.6	88.0	-18.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	36	22	20	22	100
Lusitania	16	13	12	24	65

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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