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Beroe vs Balkan Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game87.8
Beroe
Bulgaria
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Balkan
Bulgaria
Position#1
Record5-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game71.6
BulgariaNBLRound 10· Municipal Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Beroe v Balkan
18 Dec 2026
BERO v BAL
upcoming
20 Apr 2026
BERO89
BAL96
08 Dec 2025
BERO59
BAL106
15 Dec 2024
BERO106
BAL110
29 Nov 2023
BERO75
BAL74
05 May 2023
BERO72
BAL91
04 Nov 2022
BERO85
BAL86
23 Oct 2021
BERO92
BAL87
24 Apr 2021
BERO86
BAL85
12 Jan 2021
BERO94
BAL90
11 Jan 2020
BERO65
BAL75
16 May 2019
BERO65
BAL81
08 May 2019
BERO85
BAL81
06 May 2019
BERO70
BAL88
24 Apr 2019
BERO92
BAL84
09 Feb 2019
BERO89
BAL80
11 Apr 2018
BERO91
BAL66
20 Jan 2018
BERO67
BAL92
22 Apr 2017
BERO64
BAL79
11 Feb 2017
BERO87
BAL61
10 Oct 2015
BERO78
BAL101
25 Oct 2014
BERO68
BAL79
22 Apr 2014
BERO77
BAL98
15 Dec 2013
BERO83
BAL90
23 Nov 2012
BERO79
BAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 77
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 77
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 77
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 77
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 77
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 77
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 77
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
99-58
99
58
+41
98avg 77
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
23-19
36-17
17-13
23-9
20-30
19-23
22-22
23-14
14-16
22-17
23-21
17-28
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.787.8178.5+2.817%
Season at home (3)90.079.3169.3+10.733%
Season away (3)91.396.3187.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.110%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.194.8176.9-12.710%
vs Similar (4)88.583.0171.5+5.575%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.0169.7+7.750%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#9
W
91-66
91
66
+25
74avg 82
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#18
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
62avg 82
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 82
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#21
L
57-64
57
64
-7
54avg 82
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 82
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 82
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 82
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
56-79
56
79
-23
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
28-14
24-15
16-13
12-13
21-16
12-18
24-22
26-22
23-14
26-25
26-22
10-13
15-20
20-16
12-15
22-20
19-15
24-16
19-22
17-25
19-14
14-15
15-22
35-14
17-19
21-20
21-12
18-24
23-15
20-16
17-14
22-19
12-25
22-12
21-15
12-19
20-34
9-19
15-7
149.8Avg total
77.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.471.6161.0+17.8100%
Season at home (2)97.574.0171.5+23.5100%
Season away (3)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.572.3149.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.480.6148.0-13.114%
vs Similar (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.277.6165.9+10.682%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
BeroeBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NBL
90.4Avg total
44.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.387.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.584.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.290.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.390.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.645.987.5-4.230%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker (6)47.241.288.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#18
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#21
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H10/11
Eurocup
77.3Avg total
39.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.881.9+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.140.480.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.283.4+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.977.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.442.975.3-10.429%-
vs Similar (1)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.140.084.1+4.168%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.6
54.5%
55.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
71.2%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
55.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
71.2%11.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLWLLLLLLL
Balkan
LWWWLWLWLW
#11
League position
#1
-0.6
Net rating
+3.6
96.6
Offensive rating
91.7
97.1
Defensive rating
88.1
50.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.6%
3-point %
30.4%
62.7%
Assist %
60.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 91.7Defence97.1 · 88.1Shooting50.0% · 50.8%3-point %26.6% · 30.4%Ball care14.7% · 17.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Beroe   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Beroe wins
8
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
20/04/26Beroe v Balkan89-96
13/02/26Balkan v Beroe94-74
08/12/25Beroe v Balkan59-106
02/03/25Balkan v Beroe77-74
15/12/24Beroe v Balkan106-110 OT
06/10/24Balkan v Beroe91-92
03/02/24Balkan v Beroe97-60
29/11/23Beroe v Balkan75-74
05/05/23Beroe v Balkan72-91
02/05/23Balkan v Beroe89-78
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRilski Sportist76-82
07/11/26ABotev 201284-89
31/10/26HPolytechnica99-58
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HPAOK56-79
07/11/26ASpartak Pleven77-71
04/11/26AKK Bosna78-69
30/10/26HCSKA Sofia94-65
27/10/26HManresa65-76
23/10/26AYambol84-73
20/10/26HLietkabelis57-64
16/10/26HLevski101-83
13/10/26ABC Roma72-77 OT
10/10/26ABotev 201291-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game90.790.091.3
Allowed / game87.879.396.3
Point differential+2.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total178.5169.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Balkan
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.497.584.0
Allowed / game71.674.070.0
Point differential+17.8+23.5+14.0
Avg total161.0171.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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