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Beroe vs Shumen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-78
21-15 16-24 24-16 22-23
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game86.0
Beroe 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BulgariaNBLRound 2· Municipal Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Beroe v Shumen
09 Jan 2027
BERO v SHUM
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
BERO95
SHUM89
11 Oct 2025
BERO83
SHUM78
08 Mar 2025
BERO107
SHUM104
28 Dec 2024
BERO105
SHUM98
19 Apr 2024
BERO81
SHUM123
23 Dec 2023
BERO90
SHUM85
18 Mar 2023
BERO98
SHUM103
15 Jan 2023
BERO104
SHUM79
16 Apr 2022
BERO105
SHUM68
10 Dec 2021
BERO85
SHUM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Shumen
#9
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 80
H08/03
NBL
Cherno More
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
78avg 80
A13/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
109-116 OT
109
116
-7
93avg 80
A21/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
68avg 80
A29/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
99-79
99
79
+20
102avg 80
H05/04
NBL
Levski
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 80
H12/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
81-96
81
96
-15
71avg 80
A26/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
84avg 80
A30/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 80
H02/05
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 80
A04/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
34-24
25-29
23-26
23-19
21-21
18-25
22-23
29-33
21-27
21-17
29-23
19-17
19-25
17-25
23-20
26-19
21-19
30-24
22-17
21-18
20-23
21-16
22-19
22-21
18-25
22-30
19-20
22-25
20-16
25-23
20-23
21-24
10-25
24-23
31-19
29-22
22-24
20-19
19-21
183.7Avg total
91.4Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.492.3183.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)87.489.8177.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)86.998.1185.1-11.224%
vs Similar (3)85.384.0169.3+1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.784.0175.7+7.789%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
76-104
76
104
-28
48avg 72
A01/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
92avg 72
H09/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 72
A01/03
NBL
Levski
#8
L
71-98
71
98
-27
49avg 72
A05/03
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
104-107
104
107
-3
98avg 72
A08/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
56avg 72
H25/03
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
62avg 72
H29/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
63avg 72
A05/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
77avg 72
H18/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
88-105
88
105
-17
78avg 72
H26/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-34
17-22
15-17
31-31
29-21
25-20
21-24
18-24
18-28
29-11
24-32
19-26
24-21
19-25
14-19
14-33
25-25
24-34
29-25
26-23
12-19
20-21
19-17
18-26
24-25
14-25
24-24
13-28
11-18
15-28
26-18
17-20
26-26
24-26
21-27
17-24
15-36
26-27
25-26
22-16
179.5Avg total
82.3Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.397.2179.5-14.910%
Last 5 (5)77.895.4173.2-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)81.296.4177.6-15.24%
vs Similar (5)83.683.8167.4-0.260%
vs Weaker (2)103.576.0179.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.6-5.6
BeroeShumen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#9
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H08/03
NBL
Cherno More
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A21/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/03
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H05/04
NBL
Levski
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H02/05
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/10
NBL
89.5Avg total
44.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.789.7-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.945.690.4-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)43.245.989.1-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.345.289.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.685.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)44.248.893.0-4.635%-
vs Similar (3)42.340.382.7+2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.242.386.6+1.967%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A01/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H09/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A01/03
NBL
Levski
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/03
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A08/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/03
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H29/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A05/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H18/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
41-63
41
63
-22
H26/04
NBL
90.2Avg total
41.0Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.946.788.6-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.245.387.5-3.138%-
Last 30 away (14)41.648.489.9-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)41.049.290.2-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.450.287.6-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.648.689.2-8.017%-
vs Similar (5)44.642.286.8+2.460%-
vs Weaker (2)50.037.087.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.8
56.6%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.1
32.2%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.719.3
72.3%
71.3%19.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.824.0
52.4%
54.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
32.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.613.2
61.1%
71.3%13.2
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
WLLLWWLLLW
Shumen
LLLLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#11
-2.2
Net rating
-18.1
111.2
Offensive rating
97.7
113.5
Defensive rating
115.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
27.0%
65.7%
Assist %
59.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 97.7Defence113.5 · 115.9Shooting53.1% · 48.2%3-point %32.2% · 27.0%Ball care16.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.5% · 23.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Beroe   ■ Shumen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Beroe wins
4
Shumen wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Beroe v Shumen107-104
28/12/24Beroe v Shumen105-98
20/10/24Shumen v Beroe91-93
19/04/24Beroe v Shumen81-123
21/03/24Shumen v Beroe122-74
23/12/23Beroe v Shumen90-85
14/10/23Shumen v Beroe76-92
18/03/23Beroe v Shumen98-103
15/01/23Beroe v Shumen104-79
27/10/22Shumen v Beroe77-74
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25ABotev 201290-86
02/05/25HCherno More86-91
30/04/25ACherno More96-100 OT
26/04/25ACherno More81-96
12/04/25HLevski84-76
05/04/25HMinyor99-79
29/03/25ASpartak Pleven78-87
21/03/25ARilski Sportist109-116 OT
13/03/25ACherno More84-88
08/03/25HShumen107-104
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HSpartak Pleven88-105
18/04/25HRilski Sportist88-103
05/04/25AAcademic Plovdiv69-84
29/03/25HBalkan75-102
25/03/25HCherno More69-83
08/03/25ABeroe104-107
05/03/25ALevski71-98
01/03/25AMinyor90-97
09/02/25HSpartak Pleven93-89
01/02/25ARilski Sportist76-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total176.0-176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Shumen
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan110100%87.066.0+21.0
2 Spartak Pleven110100%81.066.0+15.0
3 Rilski Sportist110100%89.077.0+12.0
4 Cherno More110100%86.077.0+9.0
5 Beroe110100%90.086.0+4.0
6 Botev 20121010%86.090.0-4.0
7 Lok. Plovdiv1010%77.086.0-9.0
8 Minyor1010%77.089.0-12.0
9 Levski1010%66.081.0-15.0
10 Academic Plovdiv1010%66.087.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe2116242283
Shumen1524162378
← all games of the day
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