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Beroe vs Shumen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game90.2
BulgariaNBLRound 12· Municipal Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Beroe v Shumen
09 Jan 2027
BERO v SHUM
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
BERO95
SHUM89
11 Oct 2025
BERO83
SHUM78
08 Mar 2025
BERO107
SHUM104
28 Dec 2024
BERO105
SHUM98
19 Apr 2024
BERO81
SHUM123
23 Dec 2023
BERO90
SHUM85
18 Mar 2023
BERO98
SHUM103
15 Jan 2023
BERO104
SHUM79
16 Apr 2022
BERO105
SHUM68
10 Dec 2021
BERO85
SHUM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shumen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 77
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 77
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 77
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 77
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 77
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 77
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 77
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
99-58
99
58
+41
98avg 77
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
23-19
36-17
17-13
23-9
20-30
19-23
22-22
23-14
14-16
22-17
23-21
17-28
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.787.8178.5+2.817%
Season at home (3)90.079.3169.3+10.733%
Season away (3)91.396.3187.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.110%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)82.194.8176.9-12.710%
vs Similar ◀ (4)88.583.0171.5+5.575%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.0169.7+7.750%
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 74
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
55-102
55
102
-47
34avg 74
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
58avg 74
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
96-113
96
113
-17
87avg 74
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
78avg 74
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
101-123
101
123
-22
77avg 74
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 74
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 74
A24/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H04/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
27-18
11-22
20-22
16-25
12-19
18-34
9-24
19-15
20-19
14-22
12-28
19-31
28-24
27-27
22-31
26-17
18-13
10-39
33-35
18-36
28-23
28-33
27-31
27-15
17-23
21-25
22-21
24-15
22-28
26-26
18-16
25-12
26-20
28-19
18-19
23-21
26-25
26-20
20-23
178.2Avg total
84.7Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.090.2184.2+3.880%
Season at home (2)92.077.0169.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)95.399.0194.3-3.767%
Last 10 (10)84.793.5178.2-8.840%
Last 5 (5)94.090.2184.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)82.395.4177.7-13.29%
vs Similar ◀ (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Weaker (4)92.282.0174.2+10.2100%
This opponent (Beroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.9-4.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.9-4.9
BeroeShumen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NBL
90.4Avg total
44.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.387.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.584.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.290.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.390.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)41.645.987.5-4.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker (6)47.241.288.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H04/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A07/11
NBL
85.5Avg total
43.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.886.1-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.243.585.7-1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)40.146.586.6-6.531%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.885.5+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.690.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)40.146.686.7-6.522%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker (4)47.539.887.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.6
54.5%
55.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
71.2%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.4
52.8%
55.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.6
27.7%
29.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.717.0
68.8%
71.2%17.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLWLLLLLLL
Shumen
WWWWLLLLLL
#11
League position
#6
-0.6
Net rating
-16.5
96.6
Offensive rating
88.3
97.1
Defensive rating
104.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
48.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
26.6%
3-point %
27.7%
62.7%
Assist %
54.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 88.3Defence97.1 · 104.8Shooting50.0% · 48.7%3-point %26.6% · 27.7%Ball care14.7% · 17.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Beroe   ■ Shumen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Beroe wins
3
Shumen wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Beroe v Shumen95-89
23/12/25Shumen v Beroe90-83
11/10/25Beroe v Shumen83-78
08/03/25Beroe v Shumen107-104
28/12/24Beroe v Shumen105-98
20/10/24Shumen v Beroe91-93
19/04/24Beroe v Shumen81-123
21/03/24Shumen v Beroe122-74
23/12/23Beroe v Shumen90-85
14/10/23Shumen v Beroe76-92
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRilski Sportist76-82
07/11/26ABotev 201284-89
31/10/26HPolytechnica99-58
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACSKA Sofia95-89
04/11/26HYambol97-70
24/10/26ALevski90-85
16/10/26HBotev 201287-84
10/10/26AMinyor101-123
25/04/26HCherno More87-104
20/04/26AMinyor96-113
16/04/26HBalkan65-84
09/04/26ASpartak Pleven55-102
04/04/26ALevski74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game90.790.091.3
Allowed / game87.879.396.3
Point differential+2.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total178.5169.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Shumen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game94.092.095.3
Allowed / game90.277.099.0
Point differential+3.8+15.0-3.7
Avg total184.2169.0194.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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