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Beroe vs Shumen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 107-104
25-25 34-24 25-29 23-26
Position#6
Record9-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game88.5
Beroe 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#9
Record2-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game94.2
BulgariaNBLRound 21· Municipal Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Beroe v Shumen
09 Jan 2027
BERO v SHUM
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
BERO95
SHUM89
11 Oct 2025
BERO83
SHUM78
08 Mar 2025
BERO107
SHUM104
28 Dec 2024
BERO105
SHUM98
19 Apr 2024
BERO81
SHUM123
23 Dec 2023
BERO90
SHUM85
18 Mar 2023
BERO98
SHUM103
15 Jan 2023
BERO104
SHUM79
16 Apr 2022
BERO105
SHUM68
10 Dec 2021
BERO85
SHUM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Balkan
#2
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
101avg 74
H15/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 74
A23/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
105-98
105
98
+7
97avg 74
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 74
A05/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
91avg 74
H12/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
115-90
115
90
+25
119avg 74
H18/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
84avg 74
H25/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
88-102
88
102
-14
77avg 74
A10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 74
A02/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
81avg 74
H05/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
31-25
20-18
15-30
19-24
17-14
17-20
24-21
27-27
15-30
29-23
34-18
17-31
31-22
9-22
26-20
24-21
21-24
17-19
30-16
25-21
30-19
32-29
28-21
21-13
16-16
28-23
18-19
25-20
18-25
28-26
17-31
25-23
20-13
7-22
22-19
28-22
16-26
19-19
20-16
181.9Avg total
91.7Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.488.5174.9-2.150%
Season at home (9)91.392.0183.3-0.756%
Season away (9)81.685.0166.6-3.444%
Last 10 (10)91.790.2181.9+1.540%
Last 5 (5)90.888.0178.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)81.8103.1185.0-21.314%
vs Similar (3)85.384.0169.3+1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.282.8172.0+6.383%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
L
76-101
76
101
-25
64avg 74
A14/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 74
H21/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 74
A28/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
108-118 OT
108
118
-10
99avg 74
H04/01
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
63avg 74
A11/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
74-76
74
76
-2
60avg 74
H18/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
76-104
76
104
-28
48avg 74
A01/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
92avg 74
H09/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 74
A01/03
NBL
Levski
#8
L
71-98
71
98
-27
49avg 74
A05/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
18-21
21-21
15-32
23-23
21-17
17-19
18-19
27-27
30-15
23-29
18-34
25-28
26-24
22-27
29-23
22-25
18-29
21-28
15-21
23-21
17-22
20-15
14-18
13-34
17-22
15-17
31-31
29-21
25-20
21-24
18-24
18-28
29-11
24-32
19-26
24-21
19-25
14-19
14-33
181.0Avg total
84.1Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.794.2176.9-11.611%
Season at home (8)82.489.4171.8-7.025%
Season away (10)82.998.1181.0-15.20%
Last 10 (10)84.196.9181.0-12.820%
Last 5 (5)80.892.8173.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.896.1176.9-15.26%
vs Similar (7)83.182.3165.4+0.957%
vs Weaker (6)98.078.3176.3+19.783%
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -7.0-7.0
BeroeShumen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A23/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H18/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H25/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A02/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H05/03
NBL
89.5Avg total
45.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.448.590.9-6.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.349.193.4-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)40.547.988.5-7.433%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.989.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.684.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)42.651.594.1-9.024%-
vs Similar (3)42.340.382.7+2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.842.284.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A28/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H04/01
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A11/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A01/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H09/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A01/03
NBL
Levski
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/03
NBL
90.7Avg total
44.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.287.6-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.742.385.0+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)44.045.989.9-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)44.646.190.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.147.588.5-6.424%-
vs Similar (7)45.040.985.9+4.171%-
vs Weaker (6)48.238.887.0+9.383%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.4
55.2%
53.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.1
33.3%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.918.8
72.6%
71.3%18.8
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.421.6
46.6%
53.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.116.0
69.3%
71.3%16.0
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLLWWWLWLL
Shumen
LLWLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#9
+1.8
Net rating
-16.1
111.8
Offensive rating
101.4
110.0
Defensive rating
117.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
46.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.3%
3-point %
31.6%
65.4%
Assist %
61.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 101.4Defence110.0 · 117.5Shooting53.1% · 46.8%3-point %33.3% · 31.6%Ball care16.5% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.8% · 27.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Beroe   ■ Shumen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Beroe wins
4
Shumen wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Beroe v Shumen105-98
20/10/24Shumen v Beroe91-93
19/04/24Beroe v Shumen81-123
21/03/24Shumen v Beroe122-74
23/12/23Beroe v Shumen90-85
14/10/23Shumen v Beroe76-92
18/03/23Beroe v Shumen98-103
15/01/23Beroe v Shumen104-79
27/10/22Shumen v Beroe77-74
16/04/22Beroe v Shumen105-68
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HAcademic Plovdiv94-100 OT
02/03/25ABalkan74-77
10/02/25ACherno More88-102
25/01/25HLevski83-71
18/01/25HMinyor115-90
12/01/25HSpartak Pleven92-80
05/01/25ARilski Sportist83-95
28/12/24HShumen105-98
23/12/24AAcademic Plovdiv77-79
15/12/24HBalkan106-110 OT
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ALevski71-98
01/03/25AMinyor90-97
09/02/25HSpartak Pleven93-89
01/02/25ARilski Sportist76-104
18/01/25HAcademic Plovdiv74-76
11/01/25ABalkan76-103
04/01/25HCherno More108-118 OT
28/12/24ABeroe98-105
21/12/24HLevski79-78
14/12/24AMinyor76-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game86.491.381.6
Allowed / game88.592.085.0
Point differential-2.1-0.7-3.4
Avg total174.9183.3166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Shumen
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeLWLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game82.782.482.9
Allowed / game94.289.498.1
Point differential-11.6-7.0-15.2
Avg total176.9171.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist1917289%92.674.8+17.8
2 Balkan1814478%87.580.2+7.3
3 Spartak Pleven1810856%87.283.4+3.8
4 Cherno More179853%85.183.2+1.9
5 Beroe189950%86.488.5-2.1
6 Academic Plovdiv189950%82.686.6-3.9
7 Minyor1981142%83.688.8-5.2
8 Levski1941521%76.384.5-8.2
9 Shumen1821611%82.794.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe25342523107
Shumen25242926104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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