PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cherno More vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 88-84
19-23 21-21 25-18 23-22
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BulgariaBulgarian CupBulgarian Cup - Quarter-finals· Arena Samokov
Other2025
Meetings · Cherno More v Beroe
17 Mar 2027
CHER v BERO
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
CHER117
BERO76
22 Nov 2025
CHER96
BERO90
30 Apr 2025
CHER100
BERO96
26 Apr 2025
CHER96
BERO81
13 Mar 2025
CHER88
BERO84
10 Feb 2025
CHER102
BERO88
25 Nov 2023
CHER94
BERO76
16 Feb 2023
CHER98
BERO109
01 Nov 2021
CHER80
BERO82
04 Apr 2021
CHER76
BERO80
18 Dec 2020
CHER62
BERO78
01 Feb 2020
CHER79
BERO89
18 Apr 2019
CHER88
BERO105
01 Feb 2019
CHER98
BERO97
02 Dec 2017
CHER97
BERO91
10 May 2017
CHER68
BERO94
17 Dec 2016
CHER63
BERO86
09 Jan 2016
CHER80
BERO88
27 Feb 2015
CHER86
BERO76
13 Dec 2014
CHER101
BERO78
02 Nov 2013
CHER106
BERO69
26 Oct 2012
CHER69
BERO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#2
L
78-95
78
95
-17
64avg 75
A22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
85avg 75
H30/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
118-108 OT
118
108
+10
120avg 75
A04/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 75
H13/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 75
A19/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
107-82
107
82
+25
108avg 75
H25/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 75
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
102-88
102
88
+14
97avg 75
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
71avg 75
A06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 75
H09/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-29
17-24
20-21
17-31
17-13
28-19
29-27
28-25
24-26
27-22
23-29
15-13
21-17
30-25
16-22
14-23
19-23
12-26
25-19
25-26
34-19
25-21
23-16
24-22
20-23
21-17
15-10
20-25
25-18
26-28
31-17
21-19
17-22
21-17
14-19
27-16
21-14
21-22
21-22
174.5Avg total
89.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.185.4174.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)90.478.6169.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.992.4169.3-15.515%
vs Similar (5)76.886.8163.6-10.00%
vs Weaker (11)91.580.8172.4+10.782%
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 76
A23/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
105-98
105
98
+7
97avg 76
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 76
A05/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
91avg 76
H12/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
115-90
115
90
+25
119avg 76
H18/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
84avg 76
H25/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
88-102
88
102
-14
77avg 76
A10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 76
A02/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
81avg 76
H05/03
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 76
H08/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
17-14
17-20
24-21
27-27
15-30
29-23
34-18
17-31
31-22
9-22
26-20
24-21
21-24
17-19
30-16
25-21
30-19
32-29
28-21
21-13
16-16
28-23
18-19
25-20
18-25
28-26
17-31
25-23
20-13
7-22
22-19
28-22
16-26
19-19
20-16
25-25
34-24
25-29
23-26
181.4Avg total
91.8Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.889.6181.4+2.250%
Last 5 (5)89.290.8180.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)81.9102.7184.6-20.815%
vs Similar (3)85.384.0169.3+1.333%
vs Weaker (7)91.785.9177.6+5.986%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
Cherno MoreBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H30/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A04/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A19/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H25/01
NBL
Levski
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A06/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H09/03
NBL
85.5Avg total
43.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.581.8-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.439.980.3+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.883.1-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.585.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.840.887.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.643.679.2-8.08%-
vs Similar (5)37.444.882.2-7.40%-
vs Weaker (11)44.940.685.5+4.364%-
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A23/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H18/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H25/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A02/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H05/03
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H08/03
NBL
89.4Avg total
45.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.248.291.4-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.249.194.3-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)40.947.188.1-6.236%-
Last 10 (10)45.444.089.4+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.487.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)43.051.194.1-8.225%-
vs Similar (3)42.340.382.7+2.033%-
vs Weaker (7)44.343.187.4+1.171%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.0
57.2%
51.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.6
32.7%
32.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.817.3
72.7%
68.9%17.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.7
54.5%
51.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.2
33.5%
32.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.020.0
74.1%
68.9%20.0
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
WLWWWLWWWL
Beroe
WLLLWWWLWL
#1
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
+2.7
114.4
Offensive rating
112.7
109.6
Defensive rating
110.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.7%
3-point %
33.5%
61.8%
Assist %
63.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 112.7Defence109.6 · 110.0Shooting53.6% · 52.7%3-point %32.7% · 33.5%Ball care16.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cherno More   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cherno More wins
6
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
10/02/25Cherno More v Beroe102-88
09/12/24Beroe v Cherno More76-95
29/01/24Beroe v Cherno More80-100
25/11/23Cherno More v Beroe94-76
26/04/23Beroe v Cherno More104-75
16/02/23Cherno More v Beroe98-109
17/12/22Beroe v Cherno More94-75
07/04/22Beroe v Cherno More74-64
16/01/22Beroe v Cherno More99-64
01/11/21Cherno More v Beroe80-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HAcademic Plovdiv90-74
06/03/25ABalkan73-77
10/02/25HBeroe102-88
01/02/25ALevski80-72
25/01/25HMinyor107-82
19/01/25ASpartak Pleven70-91
13/01/25HRilski Sportist82-77
04/01/25AShumen118-108 OT
30/12/24HAcademic Plovdiv91-90
22/12/24ABalkan78-95
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HShumen107-104
05/03/25HAcademic Plovdiv94-100 OT
02/03/25ABalkan74-77
10/02/25ACherno More88-102
25/01/25HLevski83-71
18/01/25HMinyor115-90
12/01/25HSpartak Pleven92-80
05/01/25ARilski Sportist83-95
28/12/24HShumen105-98
23/12/24AAcademic Plovdiv77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
Bulgarian Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Beroe
Bulgarian Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spartak Pleven110100%88.076.0+12.0
2 Minyor1010%76.088.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cherno More1921252388
Beroe2321182284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.