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Besiktas vs Afyon Belediye Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 14:30
Postponed
Position#5
Record16-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#9
Record12-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game86.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 29
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Besiktas v Afyon Belediye
06 Nov 2021
BES68
ABE48
18 Apr 2021
BES v ABE
upcoming
27 Feb 2020
BES92
ABE90
10 Nov 2018
BES80
ABE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Besiktas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BesiktasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBesiktas
Date
Competition
Balkan
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
92-68
92
68
+24
97avg 80
A01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
85avg 80
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
76-65
76
65
+11
70avg 80
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
78avg 80
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
96-94
96
94
+2
84avg 80
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
84avg 80
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
98-93
98
93
+5
91avg 80
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
73avg 80
H15/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
16-18
20-21
14-26
25-23
19-16
18-16
30-13
25-27
16-15
17-25
22-17
14-16
22-15
12-15
28-19
18-18
30-16
21-23
15-20
29-26
18-19
23-21
26-28
22-16
16-30
22-21
26-22
23-24
31-19
19-27
25-23
24-18
27-24
20-23
23-20
26-24
20-24
14-15
23-14
166.6Avg total
86.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.481.1165.5+3.259%
Season at home (14)83.279.9163.1+3.364%
Season away (13)85.682.5168.1+3.254%
Last 10 (10)86.080.6166.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)91.487.6179.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.082.8162.8-2.825%
vs Similar (10)86.882.4169.2+4.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.480.1163.5+3.262%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 77
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
76avg 77
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
85avg 77
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
74avg 77
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
103-85
103
85
+18
107avg 77
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 77
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 77
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
84avg 77
H28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
L
70-110
70
110
-40
60avg 77
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
24-20
15-18
25-18
19-21
19-13
17-24
25-21
28-22
31-24
15-25
12-18
16-25
22-19
20-23
19-22
29-21
20-30
19-22
15-22
22-24
30-27
20-7
31-27
15-22
26-10
16-17
12-26
13-23
22-21
23-14
17-23
27-28
12-28
19-21
29-20
24-31
20-21
16-35
10-23
169.8Avg total
81.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.786.0167.7-4.344%
Season at home (13)82.582.2164.7+0.254%
Season away (14)81.089.5170.5-8.536%
Last 10 (10)81.588.3169.8-6.830%
Last 5 (5)80.889.6170.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.085.6164.6-6.628%
vs Similar (10)80.882.3163.1-1.560%
vs Weaker (2)95.092.5187.5+2.550%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
BesiktasAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H15/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.9Avg total
44.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.483.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.281.7+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.741.684.3+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.783.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.892.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.545.583.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (10)45.140.885.9+4.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.338.981.2+3.462%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H30/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.7Avg total
44.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.484.8-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.382.3-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.845.587.3-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.789.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.089.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.643.783.3-4.139%-
vs Similar (10)44.241.485.6+2.840%-
vs Weaker (2)43.051.094.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.5
57.9%
53.2%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.4
37.0%
36.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.516.9
75.1%
74.6%16.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.5
49.8%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.49.2
41.1%
36.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws12.99.9
76.7%
74.6%9.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Besiktas
WWWLWWWLWL
Afyon Belediye
LLLLWLLLWW
#5
League position
#9
+10.3
Net rating
-9.3
118.3
Offensive rating
107.1
108.0
Defensive rating
116.4
57.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.0%
3-point %
41.1%
66.7%
Assist %
71.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 107.1Defence108.0 · 116.4Shooting57.1% · 53.8%3-point %37.0% · 41.1%Ball care16.3% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Besiktas   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Besiktas wins
1
Afyon Belediye wins
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/21HBahcesehir Kol.83-77
28/03/21ATurk Telekom94-85
20/03/21HDarussafaka98-93
13/03/21ATofas86-89
06/03/21HPetkim Spor96-94
28/02/21AGaziantep84-77
10/02/21HFethiye Bld.76-65
07/02/21AAnadolu Efes80-84
01/02/21AOGM Ormanspor92-68
29/01/21ABalkan71-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/21AGalatasaray70-110
28/03/21HFenerbahce87-97
21/03/21ABursaspor75-81
13/03/21HKarsiyaka69-75
07/03/21HAnadolu Efes103-85
28/02/21ABuyukcekmece83-95
09/02/21HBahcesehir Kol.77-89
06/02/21ATurk Telekom86-89
30/01/21HDarussafaka80-79
24/01/21ATofas85-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Besiktas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW59%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game84.483.285.6
Allowed / game81.179.982.5
Point differential+3.2+3.3+3.2
Avg total165.5163.1168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%21%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%54%36%
Points / game81.782.581.0
Allowed / game86.082.289.5
Point differential-4.3+0.2-8.5
Avg total167.7164.7170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes2827196%89.075.3+13.7
2 Fenerbahce2821775%87.175.9+11.2
3 Karsiyaka2820871%83.877.8+6.0
4 Tofas29181162%86.381.3+5.0
5 Besiktas27161159%84.481.1+3.2
6 Turk Telekom29171259%83.081.5+1.5
7 Darussafaka28151354%82.479.6+2.8
8 Gaziantep28131546%74.875.6-0.9
9 Afyon Belediye27121544%81.786.0-4.3
10 Bursaspor29121741%79.384.0-4.7
11 Galatasaray29111838%83.786.5-2.9
12 Bahcesehir Kol.28101836%81.081.9-0.8
13 Buyukcekmece28101836%80.386.4-6.1
14 Petkim Spor2891932%79.181.0-1.9
15 Fethiye Bld.2982128%76.387.2-11.0
16 OGM Ormanspor2762122%77.388.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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