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Bilbao vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 96-87
19-20 25-25 30-25 22-17
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game98.0
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game89.5
SpainACBRound 3· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bilbao v San Pablo Burgos
11 Oct 2026
BIL96
SPB87
12 Oct 2025
BIL95
SPB85
24 Oct 2021
BIL87
SPB81
18 May 2021
BIL98
SPB89
03 Dec 2017
BIL62
SPB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Pablo Burgos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A17/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H24/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A06/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
22-29
19-15
14-21
24-22
16-22
20-22
28-16
9-21
20-26
31-15
23-26
25-23
17-18
22-26
22-13
15-17
17-17
30-22
25-26
19-18
16-17
27-20
18-28
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
174.4Avg total
87.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.098.0202.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)107.092.0199.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)101.0104.0205.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)87.686.8174.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)90.289.2179.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.685.4162.0-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.986.1176.0+3.771%
vs Weaker (15)90.281.1171.3+9.180%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H02/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H14/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A17/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A24/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
110-105
110
105
+5
H29/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A07/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
25-31
26-22
26-14
15-29
20-26
22-18
19-18
27-22
28-24
24-25
18-19
27-14
14-27
22-23
22-19
23-26
18-19
14-21
24-20
20-33
31-23
27-21
32-28
24-30
21-19
30-16
22-33
25-21
18-21
17-17
25-22
19-20
20-21
17-13
38-27
14-28
16-25
25-16
25-24
180.1Avg total
90.2Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.589.5185.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)97.098.0195.0-1.00%
Season away (1)94.081.0175.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.289.9180.1+0.360%
Last 5 (5)93.291.6184.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.392.9177.2-8.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)93.691.2184.8+2.562%
vs Weaker (5)96.488.0184.4+8.480%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
BilbaoSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A17/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#37
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
82.3Avg total
40.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.582.0+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.181.4+5.371%-
Last 30 away (16)39.842.782.5-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.182.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.241.577.8-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.741.081.7-0.357%-
vs Weaker (15)44.639.884.4+4.853%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H02/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H14/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/05
ACB
Granada
#18
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H29/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/10
Eurocup
91.0Avg total
42.7Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.346.089.3-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.546.191.6-0.631%-
Last 30 away (14)40.945.986.8-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.748.391.0-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.289.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.247.688.8-6.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.945.088.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker (5)47.044.891.8+2.240%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.3
51.2%
55.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.8
35.5%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws27.120.6
76.0%
75.7%20.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.2
51.9%
55.6%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.5
37.0%
36.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
75.7%15.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWLLWWLWL
San Pablo Burgos
LWWLWLWWLW
#9
League position
#12
+0.9
Net rating
+0.3
97.9
Offensive rating
98.5
97.1
Defensive rating
98.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
37.0%
66.9%
Assist %
53.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 98.5Defence97.1 · 98.1Shooting52.2% · 53.2%3-point %35.5% · 37.0%Ball care14.3% · 15.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bilbao   ■ San Pablo Burgos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
5
San Pablo Burgos wins
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT
26/09/26HManresa107-92
05/06/26HValencia71-88
03/06/26AValencia80-83
29/05/26ATenerife87-82
24/05/26HBasquet Girona86-80
17/05/26AValencia83-88
14/05/26HReal Madrid88-82
10/05/26AForca Lleida81-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26AAris80-93
04/10/26AForca Lleida94-81
30/09/26HCedevita Olimpija85-81
27/09/26HBaskonia97-98
29/05/26HGranada110-105
24/05/26AJoventut Badalona79-86
17/05/26AMoraBanc Andorra85-83
14/05/26HUnicaja97-90
09/05/26ABarcelona76-91
02/05/26HForca Lleida99-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game104.0107.0101.0
Allowed / game98.092.0104.0
Point differential+6.0+15.0-3.0
Avg total202.0199.0205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game95.597.094.0
Allowed / game89.598.081.0
Point differential+6.0-1.0+13.0
Avg total185.0195.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia330100%103.082.7+20.3
2 Real Madrid330100%107.792.3+15.3
3 Breogan330100%108.797.0+11.7
4 Tenerife32167%83.377.7+5.7
5 Basket Zaragoza32167%85.082.7+2.3
6 Obradoiro CAB32167%96.096.0+0.0
7 Barcelona21150%106.5100.5+6.0
8 Bilbao21150%104.098.0+6.0
9 San Pablo Burgos21150%95.589.5+6.0
10 Valencia21150%98.593.5+5.0
11 Unicaja31233%84.784.3+0.3
12 Forca Lleida31233%91.795.0-3.3
13 Murcia31233%84.789.3-4.7
14 Leyma Coruna31233%92.0104.0-12.0
15 Basquet Girona31233%84.7103.3-18.7
16 MoraBanc Andorra2020%84.591.0-6.5
17 Joventut Badalona2020%88.5101.5-13.0
18 Manresa3030%90.0109.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1925302296
San Pablo Burgos2025251787
← all games of the day
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