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Valencia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-83
21-9 26-20 15-31 26-23
Position#1
Record21-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#7
Record17-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game86.3
SpainACBRound 32· Roig Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v Bilbao
10 Jan 2027
VAL v BIL
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
VAL83
BIL80
17 May 2026
VAL88
BIL83
08 Mar 2025
VAL89
BIL70
03 Dec 2023
VAL79
BIL85
22 Apr 2023
VAL95
BIL88
20 Nov 2021
VAL100
BIL84
25 Apr 2021
VAL99
BIL90
11 Mar 2018
VAL87
BIL67
03 Dec 2016
VAL83
BIL61
31 Jan 2016
VAL85
BIL49
30 May 2015
VAL76
BIL80
16 May 2015
VAL73
BIL78
03 May 2014
VAL83
BIL71
29 Jan 2013
VAL60
BIL61
06 Jan 2013
VAL113
BIL111
22 Apr 2012
VAL66
BIL63
20 May 2011
VAL72
BIL79
30 Jan 2011
VAL68
BIL54
10 Apr 2010
VAL83
BIL75
11 Apr 2009
VAL80
BIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
83avg 87
A17/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 87
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 87
H25/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 87
H28/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
106avg 87
H30/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
L
102-104
102
104
-2
97avg 87
A03/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
90avg 87
A06/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-86
89
86
+3
88avg 87
A08/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 87
H10/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
81-64
81
64
+17
78avg 87
H13/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
21-28
34-20
16-18
20-19
25-21
21-19
18-22
19-22
22-23
22-30
19-21
15-23
17-16
17-15
18-14
23-24
25-25
23-25
24-21
22-18
34-30
26-30
20-26
24-18
28-21
23-27
16-21
26-15
18-22
16-19
29-30
26-23
15-18
17-22
28-25
14-10
21-13
21-27
25-14
174.8Avg total
88.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)94.283.4177.6+10.870%
Season at home (15)96.881.3178.1+15.580%
Season away (15)91.585.5177.0+6.160%
Last 10 (10)88.286.6174.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)89.885.8175.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)87.684.4172.0+3.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.288.3182.5+5.961%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#16
W
98-81
98
81
+17
101avg 81
A01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
86avg 81
H04/04
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 81
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
61-90
61
90
-29
49avg 81
A12/04
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 81
H18/04
ACB
PAOK
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
57avg 81
A22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 81
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
88-83
88
83
+5
75avg 81
H03/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 81
A10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 81
H14/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
27-16
22-16
20-21
26-23
23-19
27-21
14-11
23-17
25-20
21-30
26-21
7-21
16-20
20-24
18-25
17-19
19-20
21-22
23-23
13-16
22-27
18-17
20-19
19-23
24-18
27-16
19-17
16-16
25-30
26-19
21-18
26-25
22-29
19-15
14-21
24-22
16-22
20-22
28-16
166.8Avg total
84.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.886.3171.0-1.555%
Season at home (16)86.180.6166.8+5.575%
Season away (15)83.392.3175.6-8.933%
Last 10 (10)84.382.5166.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)83.881.6165.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.686.6163.2-10.038%
vs Similar (7)92.086.9178.9+5.171%
vs Weaker (15)88.478.1166.5+10.387%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
ValenciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A17/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H30/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A03/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A06/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H13/05
Euroleague
84.7Avg total
43.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.742.788.4+2.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.341.086.3+4.350%-
Last 30 away (16)46.044.290.2+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.884.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.683.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)43.042.185.1+0.942%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.443.290.6+4.350%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#16
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/04
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A12/04
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/04
ACB
PAOK
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H14/05
ACB
85.0Avg total
41.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.782.1+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.636.980.4+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.983.9-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.185.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.687.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.239.276.5-2.038%-
vs Similar (7)44.041.985.9+2.157%-
vs Weaker (15)44.438.983.3+5.560%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws4.6 pts a game · 7% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers17.315.1
87.3%
50.0%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.410.8
32.3%
42.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws6.64.6
69.7%
74.7%4.6
They take 50.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 66% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
50.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.3
33.1%
42.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.917.8
74.5%
74.7%17.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWLLLLWW
Bilbao
WLWWLLLWWW
#1
League position
#7
-2.3
Net rating
+2.1
54.5
Offensive rating
99.5
56.8
Defensive rating
97.4
61.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
60.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.3%
3-point %
33.1%
76.1%
Assist %
58.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence54.5 · 99.5Defence56.8 · 97.4Shooting61.7% · 53.5%3-point %32.3% · 33.1%Ball care17.0% · 13.8%Free throws0.13 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
02/01/26Bilbao v Valencia72-116
08/03/25Valencia v Bilbao89-70
27/10/24Bilbao v Valencia98-103
11/02/24Bilbao v Valencia93-78
03/12/23Valencia v Bilbao79-85
22/04/23Valencia v Bilbao95-88
09/10/22Bilbao v Valencia71-65
09/04/22Bilbao v Valencia84-78
20/11/21Valencia v Bilbao100-84
25/04/21Valencia v Bilbao99-90
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26HPanathinaikos81-64
10/05/26HBaskonia86-88
08/05/26APanathinaikos89-86
06/05/26APanathinaikos91-87
03/05/26AManresa102-104
30/04/26HPanathinaikos105-107 OT
28/04/26HPanathinaikos67-68
25/04/26HReal Madrid82-96
19/04/26ABasquet Girona84-81
17/04/26ADubai95-85
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/26HReal Madrid88-82
10/05/26AForca Lleida81-90
03/05/26HGranada88-83
29/04/26HPAOK89-74
22/04/26APAOK73-79
18/04/26HManresa80-84
12/04/26ABarcelona61-90
08/04/26HSzombathely95-88
04/04/26HUnicaja90-74
01/04/26ASzombathely98-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL70%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game94.296.891.5
Allowed / game83.481.385.5
Point differential+10.8+15.5+6.1
Avg total177.6178.1177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%73%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%75%33%
Points / game84.886.183.3
Allowed / game86.380.692.3
Point differential-1.5+5.5-8.9
Avg total171.0166.8175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%93.485.1+8.3
2 Murcia3223972%90.584.1+6.4
3 Barcelona3122971%89.381.3+7.9
4 Baskonia3122971%92.886.9+5.9
5 Valencia3021970%94.283.4+10.8
6 Joventut Badalona30191163%84.981.1+3.8
7 Tenerife30171357%88.585.2+3.3
8 Bilbao31171455%84.886.3-1.5
9 Unicaja31161552%87.586.6+0.9
10 Breogan32151747%91.293.0-1.8
11 Manresa32141844%86.091.0-5.1
12 Basquet Girona32131941%86.089.4-3.4
13 Forca Lleida32122038%83.589.5-6.0
14 San Pablo Burgos31102132%89.592.8-3.3
15 Gran Canaria32102231%81.385.6-4.3
16 Basket Zaragoza3192229%86.893.0-6.2
17 MoraBanc Andorra3192229%86.593.4-6.9
18 Granada3162519%82.690.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2126152688
Bilbao920312383
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