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Maroussi vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 74-77
21-20 26-23 10-14 17-20
Position#12
Record8-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Tofas 🏆
Position#4
Record8-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maroussi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaroussiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-100
74
100
-26
65avg 75
A01/12
Basket League
Tofas
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 75
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
61avg 75
H07/12
Basket League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
104-95
104
95
+9
105avg 75
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
74avg 75
H14/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
94-106
94
106
-12
88avg 75
A22/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
71avg 75
A28/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
57-96
57
96
-39
38avg 75
A04/01
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
77avg 75
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 75
A11/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
16-20
19-29
25-28
20-21
18-27
21-24
24-24
25-18
9-25
13-18
24-24
26-24
29-24
23-26
26-21
18-26
26-17
19-19
18-21
27-26
20-30
22-26
25-24
17-10
19-21
26-15
14-17
17-24
12-24
13-31
15-17
19-26
12-14
21-22
30-19
16-17
21-17
28-19
21-28
169.4Avg total
80.8Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.579.3166.8+8.373%
Season at home (6)92.078.7170.7+13.3100%
Season away (5)82.280.0162.2+2.240%
Last 10 (10)80.888.6169.4-7.840%
Last 5 (5)79.085.4164.4-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.290.4165.6-15.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.381.5160.7-2.240%
vs Weaker (10)86.174.9161.0+11.280%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Manisa
#12
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
100avg 85
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 85
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
77avg 85
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
98avg 85
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 85
A14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
88avg 85
H22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
58-79
58
79
-21
51avg 85
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 85
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
83-97
83
97
-14
75avg 85
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Merkezefendi
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 85
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
17-21
17-24
30-21
21-20
27-18
24-21
24-24
18-17
21-23
20-14
18-16
29-20
29-19
20-23
17-25
21-24
19-26
26-24
22-16
25-21
21-19
20-17
27-25
14-19
17-24
12-16
15-20
23-15
15-23
20-20
20-27
13-29
31-18
17-23
22-27
22-15
23-23
25-17
21-25
172.7Avg total
86.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)95.684.0179.6+11.689%
Season at home (5)94.682.4177.0+12.280%
Season away (4)96.886.0182.8+10.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.885.9172.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)80.684.6165.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.784.2170.8+2.567%
vs Similar ◀ (14)92.790.6183.4+2.171%
vs Weaker (10)87.475.8163.2+11.690%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
MaroussiTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A01/12
Basket League
Tofas
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/12
Basket League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A22/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A28/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A04/01
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/01
Basket League
81.5Avg total
38.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.878.3-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.638.878.4+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)37.440.978.3-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.481.5-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.877.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.845.481.2-9.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.339.977.2-2.540%-
vs Weaker (10)41.637.078.6+4.670%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maroussi
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
FC Porto
#7
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Merkezefendi
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.8Avg total
43.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.142.887.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.843.290.0+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.242.385.5+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.784.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.282.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.545.288.7-1.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.643.990.6+2.750%-
vs Weaker (10)44.039.783.7+4.370%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.0
52.6%
52.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.4
33.0%
34.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.7%
72.6%13.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.326.4
65.5%
52.6%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.0
35.6%
34.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.918.6
74.7%
72.6%18.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maroussi
WWLWLLWLLL
Tofas
WLLLWLWWWW
#12
League position
#4
-10.9
Net rating
+12.7
108.5
Offensive rating
122.8
119.4
Defensive rating
110.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
61.1%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.0%
3-point %
35.6%
60.9%
Assist %
74.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 122.8Defence119.4 · 110.1Shooting51.2% · 61.1%3-point %33.0% · 35.6%Ball care17.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Maroussi   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maroussi wins
1
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Tofas v Maroussi96-83
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25APeristeri86-81
08/01/25HFC Porto82-81
04/01/25AKolossos Rhodes57-96
28/12/24APromitheas76-63
22/12/24AOlympiacos94-106
14/12/24HAEK Athens81-83
11/12/24HBasket Zaragoza104-95
07/12/24HAS Karditsas71-85
04/12/24ATofas83-96
01/12/24APanathinaikos74-100
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HMerkezefendi91-80
08/01/25HBasket Zaragoza83-97
06/01/25ABahcesehir Kol.78-85
28/12/24AMersin SK58-79
22/12/24HTurk Telekom93-82
14/12/24AFenerbahce88-90
11/12/24AFC Porto95-87
08/12/24HAnadolu Efes77-70
04/12/24HMaroussi96-83
29/11/24AManisa109-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maroussi
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%100%40%
Points / game87.592.082.2
Allowed / game79.378.780.0
Point differential+8.3+13.3+2.2
Avg total166.8170.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game95.694.696.8
Allowed / game84.082.486.0
Point differential+11.6+12.2+10.8
Avg total179.6177.0182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%80%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao11110100%87.966.5+21.5
2 Ludwigsburg109190%82.568.4+14.1
3 Cholet98189%91.676.9+14.7
4 Tofas98189%95.684.0+11.6
5 PAOK98189%82.474.4+8.0
6 Maroussi118373%87.579.3+8.3
7 Basket Zaragoza107370%89.583.4+6.1
8 Sassari96367%83.673.6+10.0
9 BC Kalev/Cramo96367%83.376.3+7.0
10 CSM Oradea96367%80.174.0+6.1
11 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
12 Dijon117464%91.979.4+12.5
13 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
14 Fribourg Olympic106460%87.178.8+8.3
15 FC Porto106460%82.176.7+5.4
16 Le Portel95456%78.872.3+6.4
17 Anwil Wloclawek105550%87.877.6+10.2
18 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
19 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
20 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
21 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
22 Spirou Charleroi126650%78.180.9-2.8
23 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
24 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maroussi2126101774
Tofas2023142077
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