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BK Liepaja vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-90
20-26 24-22 21-24 18-18
Position#11
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Parnu 🏆
Position#9
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2025
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Parnu
20 Jan 2027
BK L v PAR
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
BK L83
PAR90
11 Mar 2025
BK L98
PAR84
07 Dec 2023
BK L75
PAR65
11 Mar 2023
BK L102
PAR98
05 Mar 2022
BK L84
PAR70
13 Oct 2018
BK L62
PAR93
16 Nov 2016
BK L90
PAR76
05 Jan 2014
BK L70
PAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Andorra U18
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A27/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
91-88
91
88
+3
82avg 76
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 76
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
87avg 76
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 76
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
71-109
71
109
-38
54avg 76
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
64avg 76
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 76
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 76
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
69-104
69
104
-35
51avg 76
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
23-24
19-20
21-21
27-28
22-18
24-24
18-18
27-16
21-22
18-25
15-24
23-19
17-20
28-20
21-20
28-24
12-24
16-16
15-16
15-35
24-23
23-26
9-25
12-20
19-15
31-26
16-22
13-26
26-21
14-19
18-17
24-29
17-10
16-28
23-16
15-26
10-30
23-25
21-23
165.5Avg total
78.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.988.4166.3-10.622%
Season at home (4)77.583.2160.8-5.80%
Season away (5)78.292.6170.8-14.440%
Last 10 (10)78.287.3165.5-9.130%
Last 5 (5)73.892.4166.2-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.289.7164.9-14.50%
vs Similar (7)84.789.3174.0-4.629%
vs Weaker (12)86.472.2158.7+14.283%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Rapla
#4
L
69-95
69
95
-26
55avg 69
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Brno
#28
L
75-83
75
83
-8
51avg 69
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Brno
#28
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 69
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 69
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
97-73
97
73
+24
98avg 69
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
60-71
60
71
-11
37avg 69
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 69
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
58avg 69
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 69
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 69
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
16-25
19-26
17-21
8-16
16-25
26-20
25-22
19-19
19-20
13-23
18-19
20-30
24-18
18-19
14-16
21-19
25-14
26-20
25-20
14-18
23-17
14-17
9-19
26-28
10-17
18-21
24-20
13-22
27-24
15-20
16-17
15-19
16-22
18-19
13-18
17-13
14-21
21-24
26-28
155.4Avg total
73.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.680.0154.6-5.414%
Season at home (3)72.082.3154.3-10.30%
Season away (4)76.578.2154.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)73.581.9155.4-8.410%
Last 5 (5)69.880.8150.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.691.1166.7-15.617%
vs Similar (5)71.879.0150.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.479.4169.9+11.086%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
BK LiepajaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Andorra U18
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
83.5Avg total
39.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.380.6-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.639.880.4+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)39.940.880.7-0.859%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.283.5-4.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.047.082.0-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.544.582.9-6.018%-
vs Similar (7)40.342.482.7-2.157%-
vs Weaker (12)41.835.377.2+6.583%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Brno
#28
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Brno
#28
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
77.0Avg total
36.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.143.681.8-5.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.444.082.4-5.614%-
Last 30 away (16)37.943.381.2-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)36.041.077.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.275.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.847.384.2-10.56%-
vs Similar (5)33.638.872.4-5.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.737.682.3+7.157%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.5
53.4%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.1
28.5%
32.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.414.3
70.1%
69.8%14.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.5
50.3%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.8
29.7%
32.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.612.3
62.8%
69.8%12.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
LLLLLLWLWW
Parnu
LLLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#9
-13.2
Net rating
-11.4
100.1
Offensive rating
98.7
113.2
Defensive rating
110.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
47.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.5%
3-point %
29.7%
51.8%
Assist %
62.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 98.7Defence113.2 · 110.1Shooting48.8% · 47.9%3-point %28.5% · 29.7%Ball care18.2% · 18.2%Off. rebounds25.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
BK Liepaja wins
5
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
11/03/25BK Liepaja v Parnu98-84
19/10/24Parnu v BK Liepaja81-91
10/02/24Parnu v BK Liepaja83-79
07/12/23BK Liepaja v Parnu75-65
11/03/23BK Liepaja v Parnu102-98 OT
10/12/22Parnu v BK Liepaja90-58
05/03/22BK Liepaja v Parnu84-70
06/10/21Parnu v BK Liepaja79-68
27/01/19Parnu v BK Liepaja96-83
13/10/18BK Liepaja v Parnu62-93
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25AVentspils69-104
08/11/25HViimsi80-83
04/11/25AVEF Riga71-83
29/10/25HValmiera Glass Via78-83
24/10/25ARigas Zelli71-109
15/10/25HTal Tech71-80
11/10/25AKeila KK89-79
08/10/25HTartu Ulikool81-87
04/10/25AKeila Coolbet91-88
27/07/25AAndorra U1881-77
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ATal Tech78-86
08/11/25HValmiera Glass Via62-78
01/11/25ATartu Ulikool71-83
25/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo78-86
18/10/25ABK Ogre60-71
11/10/25ALatvijas Universitate97-73
08/10/25HRigas Zelli76-83
01/10/25HBrno69-81
24/09/25ABrno75-83
29/04/25ARapla69-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%0%40%
Points / game77.977.578.2
Allowed / game88.483.292.6
Point differential-10.6-5.8-14.4
Avg total166.3160.8170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game74.672.076.5
Allowed / game80.082.378.2
Point differential-5.4-10.3-1.8
Avg total154.6154.3154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool10100100%85.175.7+9.4
2 Rigas Zelli109190%94.077.5+16.5
3 VEF Riga1210283%91.278.9+12.2
4 Valmiera Glass Via108280%88.276.4+11.8
5 BC Kalev/Cramo96367%93.878.6+15.2
6 Ventspils106460%88.682.0+6.6
7 Tal Tech106460%87.083.1+3.9
8 BK Ogre115645%76.575.7+0.7
9 BK Liepaja92722%77.988.4-10.6
10 Keila Coolbet92722%82.895.7-12.9
11 Viimsi102820%77.691.9-14.3
12 Parnu71614%74.680.0-5.4
13 Keila KK101910%79.2100.6-21.4
14 Latvijas Universitate9090%74.493.1-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2024211883
Parnu2622241890
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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