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Parnu vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 81-91
20-19 17-31 33-22 11-19
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game53.0
Parnu
vs
BK Liepaja 🏆
Position#7
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game85.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2024
Meetings · Parnu v BK Liepaja
26 Sep 2026
PAR76
BK L73
14 Jan 2026
PAR85
BK L69
19 Oct 2024
PAR81
BK L91
10 Feb 2024
PAR83
BK L79
10 Dec 2022
PAR90
BK L58
06 Oct 2021
PAR79
BK L68
27 Jan 2019
PAR96
BK L83
11 Jan 2017
PAR93
BK L75
25 Jan 2014
PAR59
BK L75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 69
H09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 69
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
63-71
63
71
-8
56avg 69
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
48avg 69
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
65-55
65
55
+10
59avg 69
A21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
65-68
65
68
-3
58avg 69
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
53avg 69
A25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
65-67
65
67
-2
54avg 69
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
77-53
77
53
+24
72avg 69
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 69
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
22-22
23-22
14-25
24-21
25-15
12-21
17-18
11-16
23-23
11-22
18-10
12-12
23-22
19-19
5-15
16-21
17-10
13-7
19-17
12-8
8-21
26-21
19-18
18-28
12-15
21-26
15-13
17-25
17-15
19-15
12-12
22-8
16-10
28-10
11-25
13-23
23-16
16-21
20-24
139.7Avg total
68.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.053.0130.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)77.053.0130.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.870.9139.7-2.130%
Last 5 (5)69.070.8139.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.179.0152.1-5.925%
vs Similar (8)77.874.4152.1+3.462%
vs Weaker (10)74.368.9143.2+5.460%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
A17/05
LBL
Moldova U18
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
no box
H23/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Azerbaijan U18
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A25/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Luxembourg U18
#2
L
78-85 OT
78
85
-7
no box
A27/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Albania U18
#3
L
53-79
53
79
-26
no box
H28/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
51avg 68
A20/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
66avg 68
H28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
68avg 68
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
62avg 68
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
86avg 68
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
17-23
18-21
19-16
19-17
24-13
28-21
17-21
12-20
23-25
19-11
15-20
20-17
20-14
13-18
17-21
11-23
19-17
7-21
16-18
13-22
16-23
19-11
15-24
23-11
21-17
25-23
11-24
20-22
19-21
24-18
15-21
20-20
11-24
28-24
15-22
27-28
17-25
31-23
22-24
158.4Avg total
75.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.485.4163.8-7.020%
Season at home (2)79.078.5157.5+0.550%
Season away (3)78.090.0168.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)75.782.7158.4-7.020%
Last 5 (5)78.485.4163.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.483.4156.7-10.016%
vs Similar (6)77.881.3159.2-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.881.2161.0-1.440%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -4.9-4.9
ParnuBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
20-29
20
29
-9
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
69.8Avg total
35.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.872.9+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.232.869.0+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.277.4-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.869.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.865.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.440.578.9-2.125%-
vs Similar (8)36.832.869.5+4.062%-
vs Weaker (10)35.932.568.4+3.460%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A17/05
LBL
Moldova U18
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H23/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Azerbaijan U18
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A25/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Luxembourg U18
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A27/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Albania U18
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/07
EuroBasket U18 C
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A20/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
78.5Avg total
37.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.980.7-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.239.678.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)36.845.281.9-8.417%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.078.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.680.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.643.781.4-6.121%-
vs Similar (6)38.541.580.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.241.678.8-4.440%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.014.9
46.6%
51.9%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.813.8
69.7%
70.6%13.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.7
49.1%
51.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.9
73.2%
70.6%13.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWLLLWLLWL
BK Liepaja
LLLWLLLLWL
#11
League position
#7
-2.5
Net rating
-9.0
99.8
Offensive rating
100.7
102.2
Defensive rating
109.7
46.5%
Effective FG%
48.7%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.0%
3-point %
32.2%
65.5%
Assist %
56.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 100.7Defence102.2 · 109.7Shooting46.5% · 48.7%3-point %31.0% · 32.2%Ball care15.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.3% · 23.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Parnu   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Parnu wins
4
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Parnu v BK Liepaja83-79
07/12/23BK Liepaja v Parnu75-65
11/03/23BK Liepaja v Parnu102-98 OT
10/12/22Parnu v BK Liepaja90-58
05/03/22BK Liepaja v Parnu84-70
06/10/21Parnu v BK Liepaja79-68
27/01/19Parnu v BK Liepaja96-83
13/10/18BK Liepaja v Parnu62-93
11/01/17Parnu v BK Liepaja93-75
16/11/16BK Liepaja v Parnu90-76
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24HCSM Oradea72-84
12/10/24HLatvijas Universitate77-53
09/10/24AArges Pitesti65-67
25/05/24ARapla66-82
23/05/24HRapla65-68
21/05/24ARapla65-55
17/05/24HRapla59-68
13/05/24HTartu Ulikool63-71
11/05/24ATartu Ulikool78-75
09/05/24HTartu Ulikool78-86
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ATal Tech97-100
11/10/24ABC Kalev/Cramo74-90
05/10/24HRigas Zelli78-82
28/09/24HBK Ogre80-75
20/09/24AValmiera Glass Via63-80
28/07/24HAlbania U1853-79
27/07/24ALuxembourg U1878-85 OT
25/07/24AAzerbaijan U1869-76
23/07/24HMoldova U1888-72
17/05/24AVentspils77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game53.053.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total130.0130.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game78.479.078.0
Allowed / game85.478.590.0
Point differential-7.0+0.5-12.0
Avg total163.8157.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Parnu110100%77.053.0+24.0
2 Valmiera Glass Via65183%82.874.3+8.5
3 VEF Riga54180%80.667.6+13.0
4 BK Ogre54180%88.475.6+12.8
5 Rapla32167%83.377.7+5.7
6 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%78.078.0+0.0
7 Tal Tech32167%84.088.3-4.3
8 Rigas Zelli53260%83.081.6+1.4
9 Ventspils42250%91.888.0+3.8
10 Tartu Ulikool31233%78.378.0+0.3
11 BK Liepaja51420%78.485.4-7.0
12 Keila Coolbet2020%81.086.5-5.5
13 Latvijas Universitate4040%68.885.0-16.2
14 Viimsi2020%66.087.0-21.0
15 Keila KK3030%78.0104.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2017331181
BK Liepaja1931221991
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