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BK Liepaja vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-99
24-14 11-27 18-29 28-29
Position#7
Record9-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Rapla 🏆
Position#9
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2024
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Rapla
15 Jan 2025
BK L81
RAPL99
02 Nov 2023
BK L72
RAPL65
22 Dec 2022
BK L69
RAPL71
12 Mar 2022
BK L61
RAPL63
28 Oct 2018
BK L82
RAPL89
25 Oct 2016
BK L78
RAPL54
06 Jan 2015
BK L87
RAPL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
72avg 69
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
97-67
97
67
+30
95avg 69
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
81-101
81
101
-20
76avg 69
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
W
89-80
89
80
+9
81avg 69
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
90-75
90
75
+15
83avg 69
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Sigulda
#16
W
113-53
113
53
+60
no box
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
76-63
76
63
+13
65avg 69
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 69
A03/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
78-77
78
77
+1
63avg 69
A08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 69
H11/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
17-23
21-30
18-17
27-20
25-12
20-20
25-15
20-27
30-24
21-35
10-15
28-20
23-18
16-21
22-21
29-19
16-19
21-18
24-19
23-11
26-11
28-11
36-20
29-19
14-12
15-13
18-19
20-9
13-23
25-28
22-21
20-24
22-18
17-19
19-16
14-15
33-23
12-13
16-21
161.3Avg total
86.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.879.1158.9+0.653%
Season at home (8)79.674.2153.9+5.475%
Season away (9)79.983.4163.3-3.633%
Last 10 (10)86.275.1161.3+11.180%
Last 5 (5)84.469.2153.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.481.8152.2-11.420%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.976.9152.7-1.043%
vs Weaker (7)87.779.0166.7+8.786%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
76avg 66
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 66
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
93-91
93
91
+2
83avg 66
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 66
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
58-73
58
73
-15
54avg 66
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 66
A11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
85avg 66
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
45avg 66
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 66
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
70avg 66
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
24-16
14-22
21-18
18-27
19-22
22-15
16-23
15-17
27-27
25-27
26-20
17-22
17-19
24-24
22-13
11-23
17-12
20-22
10-16
27-18
20-22
6-16
24-24
33-21
20-17
19-20
19-28
22-25
13-23
12-6
10-17
23-21
27-22
13-27
14-12
14-24
25-24
14-21
23-21
159.6Avg total
76.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.582.6161.2-4.141%
Season at home (7)87.785.3173.0+2.471%
Season away (10)72.180.8152.9-8.720%
Last 10 (10)76.882.8159.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)75.681.8157.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)70.881.5152.3-10.735%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.089.2173.2-5.240%
vs Weaker (5)84.274.2158.4+10.080%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
BK LiepajaRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Sigulda
#16
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H11/01
Latvian Cup
81.5Avg total
45.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.779.2-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.237.577.6+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)38.941.580.4-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)45.635.981.5+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.075.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.742.579.2-5.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.036.775.7+2.357%-
vs Weaker (7)44.639.383.9+5.357%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
82.2Avg total
40.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.878.8-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.940.781.6+0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)36.140.977.0-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.982.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.488.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.140.476.5-4.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.043.683.6-3.640%-
vs Weaker (5)43.839.883.6+4.080%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.9
53.6%
51.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.5
28.1%
32.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.315.7
70.4%
70.6%15.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.919.9
47.5%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
32.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.2
68.9%
70.6%12.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
WWLWWWWLWW
Rapla
LLLWLLWWLL
#7
League position
#9
+5.1
Net rating
-9.1
105.3
Offensive rating
100.6
100.2
Defensive rating
109.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.6%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.1%
3-point %
31.8%
56.3%
Assist %
66.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 100.6Defence100.2 · 109.7Shooting48.9% · 47.6%3-point %28.1% · 31.8%Ball care17.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 27.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BK Liepaja wins
8
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
30/01/24Rapla v BK Liepaja98-89 OT
02/11/23BK Liepaja v Rapla72-65
22/12/22BK Liepaja v Rapla69-71
07/10/22Rapla v BK Liepaja75-71
12/03/22BK Liepaja v Rapla61-63
11/12/21Rapla v BK Liepaja105-69
26/01/19Rapla v BK Liepaja99-96
28/10/18BK Liepaja v Rapla82-89
10/01/17Rapla v BK Liepaja83-71
25/10/16BK Liepaja v Rapla78-54
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HBK Ogre75-72
08/01/25AKeila Coolbet78-77
03/01/25ATartu Ulikool80-81
28/12/24HValmiera Glass Via76-63
21/12/24ASigulda113-53
17/12/24HKeila Coolbet90-75
14/12/24HVEF Riga89-80
06/12/24AVentspils81-101
01/12/24AViimsi97-67
16/11/24HKeila KK83-82
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25AVentspils76-90
28/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-82
18/12/24ABK Ogre57-71
15/12/24HValmiera Glass Via91-86
11/12/24AKeila Coolbet77-80
07/12/24ARigas Zelli58-73
03/12/24AParnu80-78
30/11/24HTal Tech93-91
16/11/24HBC Kalev/Cramo75-87
13/11/24ATartu Ulikool84-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW53%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%75%33%
Points / game79.879.679.9
Allowed / game79.174.283.4
Point differential+0.6+5.4-3.6
Avg total158.9153.9163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %41%71%20%
Points / game78.587.772.1
Allowed / game82.685.380.8
Point differential-4.1+2.4-8.7
Avg total161.2173.0152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %12%14%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1715288%81.867.3+14.5
2 BC Kalev/Cramo1613381%87.272.0+15.2
3 Rigas Zelli1915479%83.369.5+13.8
4 Valmiera Glass Via1913668%82.674.4+8.3
5 Tartu Ulikool1812667%82.380.6+1.7
6 BK Ogre1811761%80.378.1+2.2
7 BK Liepaja179853%79.879.1+0.6
8 Tal Tech1991047%78.682.9-4.3
9 Ventspils1881044%88.187.3+0.8
10 Keila Coolbet1771041%79.982.4-2.5
11 Rapla1771041%78.582.6-4.1
12 Parnu1871139%80.680.8-0.2
13 Viimsi1841422%72.383.6-11.3
14 Latvijas Universitate1821611%70.683.6-13.0
15 Keila KK171166%70.892.5-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2411182881
Rapla1427292999
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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