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BK Liepaja vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-80
28-20 23-18 16-21 22-21
Position#7
Record5-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game67.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2024
Meetings · BK Liepaja v VEF Riga
13 Feb 2027
BK L v VRI
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BK L74
VRI86
14 Dec 2024
BK L89
VRI80
28 Apr 2024
BK L64
VRI86
14 Nov 2023
BK L78
VRI85
28 Apr 2023
BK L60
VRI92
23 Apr 2023
BK L76
VRI71
30 Sep 2022
BK L98
VRI93
30 Oct 2021
BK L77
VRI83
28 Apr 2021
BK L81
VRI100
13 Mar 2021
BK L74
VRI85
04 Nov 2020
BK L81
VRI95
06 Feb 2019
BK L70
VRI106
04 Apr 2018
BK L52
VRI100
28 Feb 2018
BK L56
VRI98
16 Apr 2017
BK L75
VRI84
03 Feb 2016
BK L108
VRI102
08 May 2015
BK L69
VRI92
03 May 2015
BK L70
VRI83
28 Jan 2015
BK L87
VRI95
28 Dec 2013
BK L67
VRI81
19 Dec 2012
BK L69
VRI100
08 Oct 2011
BK L76
VRI83
24 Oct 2010
BK L69
VRI66
30 Sep 2009
BK L57
VRI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
68avg 67
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
62avg 67
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
86avg 67
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
89avg 67
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
63-66
63
66
-3
50avg 67
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
58-74
58
74
-16
47avg 67
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
78-71
78
71
+7
70avg 67
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
72avg 67
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
97-67
97
67
+30
95avg 67
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
81-101
81
101
-20
76avg 67
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
19-21
24-18
15-21
20-20
11-24
28-24
15-22
27-28
17-25
31-23
22-24
19-20
31-17
22-33
19-11
19-20
12-20
20-9
12-17
27-22
7-18
4-22
20-12
24-23
11-15
21-13
22-20
27-12
17-23
21-30
18-17
27-20
25-12
20-20
25-15
20-27
30-24
21-35
10-15
161.4Avg total
80.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.680.8159.3-2.242%
Season at home (5)76.475.2151.6+1.260%
Season away (7)80.184.7164.9-4.629%
Last 10 (10)80.081.4161.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.479.0158.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.982.4155.4-9.517%
vs Similar (5)75.078.8153.8-3.840%
vs Weaker (7)86.079.1165.1+6.971%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 76
H29/10
Champions League
Parnu
#11
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 76
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
74-58
74
58
+16
67avg 76
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
90-78
90
78
+12
91avg 76
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Athens
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
61avg 76
A13/11
Champions League
Ventspils
#8
W
71-63
71
63
+8
51avg 76
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 76
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 76
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
94-55
94
55
+39
92avg 76
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Bonn
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 76
A10/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
14-19
21-27
15-16
23-20
25-8
12-27
15-15
22-27
18-7
22-4
12-20
25-27
17-17
25-13
23-21
23-19
13-24
20-19
14-18
18-25
12-14
17-15
24-9
21-20
16-18
13-21
28-14
24-10
24-17
16-21
21-19
21-14
35-18
21-13
17-10
13-18
24-23
19-18
19-19
148.3Avg total
78.1Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.967.4149.4+14.593%
Season at home (9)80.463.4143.9+17.0100%
Season away (5)84.674.6159.2+10.080%
Last 10 (10)78.170.2148.3+7.970%
Last 5 (5)80.667.2147.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.880.8148.5-13.00%
vs Similar (5)80.876.4157.2+4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.666.7147.3+13.995%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
BK LiepajaVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A01/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
82.3Avg total
41.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.880.7-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.739.077.7-0.338%-
Last 30 away (17)39.143.983.0-4.924%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.382.3-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.282.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.543.981.4-6.417%-
vs Similar (5)39.438.878.2+0.640%-
vs Weaker (7)42.138.480.6+3.757%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/10
Champions League
Parnu
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Athens
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/11
Champions League
Ventspils
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Bonn
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/12
Champions League
77.0Avg total
40.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.776.2+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.833.474.3+7.467%-
Last 30 away (12)39.839.279.0+0.742%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.377.0+4.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.838.273.0-3.525%-
vs Similar (5)40.241.281.4-1.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.634.075.5+7.671%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.5
53.6%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.3
30.2%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.214.9
70.3%
70.6%14.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.7
52.0%
51.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
32.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.3
72.7%
70.6%13.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
LWWWLLWLLL
VEF Riga
LWWWWLWWWL
#7
League position
#1
-2.4
Net rating
+11.9
104.2
Offensive rating
103.7
106.6
Defensive rating
91.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.2%
3-point %
30.0%
53.2%
Assist %
54.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 103.7Defence106.6 · 91.8Shooting50.0% · 49.5%3-point %30.2% · 30.0%Ball care19.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.2% · 32.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BK Liepaja wins
8
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja74-58
01/05/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja73-48
28/04/24BK Liepaja v VEF Riga64-86
25/04/24VEF Riga v BK Liepaja77-56
29/12/23VEF Riga v BK Liepaja86-76
14/11/23BK Liepaja v VEF Riga78-85
30/04/23VEF Riga v BK Liepaja87-61
28/04/23BK Liepaja v VEF Riga60-92
26/04/23VEF Riga v BK Liepaja75-78
23/04/23BK Liepaja v VEF Riga76-71
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24AVentspils81-101
01/12/24AViimsi97-67
16/11/24HKeila KK83-82
08/11/24HLatvijas Universitate78-71
05/11/24AVEF Riga58-74
30/10/24HTartu Ulikool63-66
19/10/24AParnu91-81
12/10/24ATal Tech97-100
11/10/24ABC Kalev/Cramo74-90
05/10/24HRigas Zelli78-82
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/24ABonn75-78
07/12/24HKeila Coolbet94-55
03/12/24HLatvijas Universitate85-67
30/11/24HBK Ogre78-73
17/11/24HVentspils71-63
13/11/24AAEK Athens70-80
09/11/24AKeila KK90-78
05/11/24HBK Liepaja74-58
02/11/24HParnu75-70
29/10/24HAEK Athens69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL42%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game78.676.480.1
Allowed / game80.875.284.7
Point differential-2.2+1.2-4.6
Avg total159.3151.6164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %93%100%80%
Points / game81.980.484.6
Allowed / game67.463.474.6
Point differential+14.5+17.0+10.0
Avg total149.4143.9159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%56%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1413193%81.967.4+14.5
2 Rigas Zelli1512380%84.570.9+13.6
3 Valmiera Glass Via1410471%81.973.3+8.6
4 BC Kalev/Cramo107370%85.575.7+9.8
5 Tartu Ulikool139469%83.778.8+4.9
6 BK Ogre148657%80.878.1+2.6
7 Keila Coolbet116555%79.382.4-3.1
8 Rapla136746%79.582.8-3.2
9 Ventspils146843%89.188.9+0.2
10 Tal Tech146843%78.187.0-8.9
11 BK Liepaja125742%78.680.8-2.2
12 Parnu114736%82.180.2+1.9
13 Viimsi123925%69.082.9-13.9
14 Latvijas Universitate141137%71.182.5-11.4
15 Keila KK110110%72.590.4-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja2823162289
VEF Riga2018212180
← all games of the day
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