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Valga vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 58-93
12-21 10-26 17-21 19-25
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#6
Record5-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.9
LatviaLBL
Other2016-17
Meetings · Valga v BK Liepaja
06 Mar 2019
VALG80
BK L102
11 Nov 2017
VALG77
BK L80
21 Dec 2016
VALG58
BK L93
02 Apr 2016
VALG84
BK L67
16 Nov 2012
VALG60
BK L57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H05/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#8
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H08/11
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A13/11
LBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H15/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A19/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#8
L
89-106
89
106
-17
H22/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H02/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A07/12
LBL
Rapla
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A10/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H13/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
18-24
19-23
23-13
24-18
24-15
24-23
17-10
21-17
25-20
15-18
19-21
21-23
17-8
19-26
16-22
22-18
19-15
23-15
24-28
26-20
20-32
16-30
27-24
25-27
15-20
16-26
22-19
24-11
12-33
17-23
19-19
13-23
15-21
18-19
13-24
24-24
18-26
21-15
17-26
162.5Avg total
78.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.884.5162.2-6.838%
Season at home (4)82.886.0168.8-3.250%
Season away (4)72.883.0155.8-10.225%
Last 10 (10)78.484.1162.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)75.692.4168.0-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.587.2162.7-11.814%
vs Similar (4)83.081.0164.0+2.075%
vs Weaker (5)86.881.2168.0+5.680%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurmala
#7
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A05/11
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A12/11
LBL
Parnu
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H16/11
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H19/11
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H23/11
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#3
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
H30/11
Baltic League
BK Ogre
#8
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A03/12
LBL
Atyrau
#16
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H08/12
Baltic League
Jurmala
#11
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
H13/12
Baltic League
Barons Kvartals
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A18/12
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
7-28
18-15
17-12
16-20
18-21
18-23
14-18
15-20
35-23
17-20
23-13
17-27
12-21
24-18
24-18
17-20
24-11
20-15
20-24
23-21
18-13
22-22
15-22
13-15
12-20
18-22
10-14
20-12
26-20
18-32
25-11
21-21
23-22
23-25
22-21
27-10
23-25
17-24
16-15
162.2Avg total
80.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.880.9155.8-6.138%
Season at home (7)82.682.9165.4-0.357%
Season away (6)65.878.7144.5-12.817%
Last 10 (10)80.182.1162.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)85.686.8172.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.186.4162.5-10.221%
vs Similar (13)78.180.4158.5-2.346%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.773.7160.3+13.0100%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
ValgaBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H05/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#8
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H08/11
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A13/11
LBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H15/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A19/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rakvere Tarvas
#8
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H22/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H02/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
VEF Riga
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/12
LBL
Rapla
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A10/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/12
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
81.6Avg total
39.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.081.7-2.327%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.442.183.5-0.729%-
Last 30 away (13)37.541.879.2-4.323%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.781.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.447.485.8-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.843.081.8-4.119%-
vs Similar (4)40.837.878.5+3.050%-
vs Weaker (5)42.641.283.8+1.440%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurmala
#7
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A05/11
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A12/11
LBL
Parnu
#15
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H16/11
Baltic League
Jekabpils
#4
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H19/11
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H23/11
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H30/11
Baltic League
BK Ogre
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A03/12
LBL
Atyrau
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/12
Baltic League
Jurmala
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/12
Baltic League
Barons Kvartals
#5
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A18/12
LBL
77.4Avg total
38.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.138.880.9+3.476%-
Last 30 away (13)35.841.076.8-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.077.4-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.877.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.641.379.9-2.743%-
vs Similar (13)38.839.177.8-0.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.735.381.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valga wins
2
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
02/04/16Valga v BK Liepaja84-67
29/12/15BK Liepaja v Valga96-73
16/11/12Valga v BK Liepaja60-57
04/10/12BK Liepaja v Valga96-66
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/16HParnu80-91
10/12/16ARapla59-87
07/12/16AVEF Riga72-86
02/12/16HTal Tech78-92
22/11/16HRakvere Tarvas89-106
19/11/16ATallinna Kalev88-76
15/11/16HBC Kalev/Cramo73-79
13/11/16ABarons Kvartals80-76
08/11/16HBK Ogre89-66
05/11/16HRapla76-82
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16ABarons Kvartals83-74
13/12/16HJurmala97-103 OT
08/12/16HAtyrau89-75
03/12/16ABK Ogre53-71
30/11/16HBarons Kvartals106-111 OT
23/11/16HLatvijas Universitate81-70
19/11/16HJekabpils77-84
16/11/16HParnu90-76
12/11/16AVentspils66-82
05/11/16AJurmala59-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
LBL 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game77.882.872.8
Allowed / game84.586.083.0
Point differential-6.8-3.2-10.2
Avg total162.2168.8155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
LBL 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game74.882.665.8
Allowed / game80.982.978.7
Point differential-6.1-0.3-12.8
Avg total155.8165.4144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga880100%82.066.4+15.6
2 Ventspils1312192%92.271.7+20.5
3 Jurmala158753%77.576.5+1.0
4 Jekabpils126650%77.576.0+1.5
5 Valmiera/ORDO147750%74.975.8-0.9
6 Barons Kvartals136746%82.578.1+4.4
7 BK Liepaja135838%74.880.9-6.1
8 Valga83538%77.884.5-6.8
9 BK Ogre124833%74.183.6-9.5
10 Latvijas Universitate1421214%68.684.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga1210171958
BK Liepaja2126212593
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