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BK Liepaja vs Ventspils Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record6-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2026
Meetings · BK Liepaja v Ventspils
16 Dec 2026
BK L v VET
upcoming
18 Feb 2026
BK L82
VET89
12 Feb 2025
BK L79
VET98
28 Jan 2025
BK L64
VET87
14 May 2024
BK L76
VET83
24 Jan 2024
BK L70
VET90
06 Dec 2022
BK L72
VET60
16 Feb 2022
BK L73
VET98
02 Mar 2021
BK L92
VET96
03 Oct 2020
BK L91
VET92
20 Oct 2018
BK L66
VET110
03 Feb 2018
BK L66
VET93
21 Oct 2017
BK L52
VET78
15 Feb 2017
BK L86
VET96
08 Oct 2016
BK L72
VET95
30 May 2016
BK L95
VET98
25 May 2016
BK L98
VET90
19 Mar 2016
BK L70
VET83
10 Oct 2015
BK L69
VET66
08 Apr 2015
BK L68
VET77
27 Sep 2014
BK L71
VET67
22 Mar 2014
BK L88
VET81
09 Nov 2013
BK L62
VET75
02 Feb 2013
BK L67
VET107
29 Apr 2012
BK L75
VET95
22 Apr 2012
BK L70
VET94
10 Apr 2012
BK L84
VET88
21 Jan 2012
BK L80
VET86
27 Oct 2010
BK L63
VET97
13 Oct 2009
BK L64
VET62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 74
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 74
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 74
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 74
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 74
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 74
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
112-54
112
54
+58
118avg 74
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
92-65
92
65
+27
no box
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
20-19
8-21
28-18
16-27
37-7
21-18
33-12
21-17
28-17
21-9
25-21
18-18
23-24
28-17
28-12
20-16
18-23
18-21
15-28
21-17
164.4Avg total
84.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.477.3159.7+5.140%
Season at home (5)91.274.4165.6+16.860%
Season away (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.979.5164.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.472.4161.8+17.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.289.9165.1-14.60%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.379.7158.0-1.333%
vs Weaker (12)88.879.4168.2+9.458%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 79
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
106avg 79
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 79
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 79
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 79
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 79
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
83avg 79
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
65avg 79
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-23
19-24
16-22
27-24
26-19
34-22
21-27
25-23
27-32
20-13
20-17
14-24
26-18
24-18
22-13
28-13
15-16
27-21
15-18
17-17
22-16
17-28
26-24
23-29
29-22
23-19
17-18
20-12
21-14
15-13
19-21
17-23
22-22
21-20
20-24
26-26
19-22
13-21
27-27
169.5Avg total
86.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Season at home (4)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season away (6)87.884.7172.5+3.267%
Last 10 (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.590.4167.9-12.920%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.884.2170.0+1.750%
vs Weaker (13)91.380.4171.7+10.985%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
BK LiepajaVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H27/10
ENBL
Viimsi
#13
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.5Avg total
42.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.683.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.681.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.279.6+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.444.380.7-7.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.341.081.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker (12)47.841.489.2+6.467%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
44.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.487.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.585.4+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)46.843.390.1+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.486.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.346.287.5-4.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.244.589.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (13)46.839.586.2+7.385%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.9
33.1%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.618.1
70.7%
68.3%18.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.5
31.6%
31.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
68.3%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
LWWWLLLLWW
Ventspils
LLWWLWWWWL
#11
League position
#6
-2.0
Net rating
+3.4
91.6
Offensive rating
93.8
93.5
Defensive rating
90.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.1%
3-point %
31.6%
63.2%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 93.8Defence93.5 · 90.5Shooting49.4% · 50.5%3-point %33.1% · 31.6%Ball care16.1% · 15.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Ventspils
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BK Liepaja wins
10
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
18/02/26BK Liepaja v Ventspils82-89
16/11/25Ventspils v BK Liepaja104-69
12/02/25BK Liepaja v Ventspils79-98
04/02/25Ventspils v BK Liepaja103-91
28/01/25BK Liepaja v Ventspils64-87
06/12/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja101-81
17/05/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja88-77
14/05/24BK Liepaja v Ventspils76-83
11/05/24Ventspils v BK Liepaja101-76
24/01/24BK Liepaja v Ventspils70-90
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AValmiera Glass Via72-89
07/11/26ARigas Juniori99-69
04/11/26HKeila Coolbet92-65
31/10/26HViimsi112-54
27/10/26HBristol Flyers72-85
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVEF Riga85-96
07/11/26AParnu80-89
30/10/26HViimsi75-60
24/10/26ABK Ogre92-88
16/10/26HTal Tech82-85
11/10/26AKeila Coolbet85-68
10/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo86-73
02/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-85
28/09/26ALatvijas Universitate108-92
25/09/26AValmiera Glass Via76-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.491.273.6
Allowed / game77.374.480.2
Point differential+5.1+16.8-6.6
Avg total159.7165.6153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.183.587.8
Allowed / game83.481.584.7
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.2
Avg total169.5165.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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