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Blu Basket Bergamo vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-79
26-22 24-22 27-17 16-18
Position#11
Record8-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#17
Record6-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game81.1
ItalySerie A2Round 19· Monza Arena
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Blu Basket Bergamo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Blu Basket BergamoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBergamo
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
L
82-94
82
94
-12
71avg 76
A29/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 76
A02/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
no box
H09/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
88-68
88
68
+20
83avg 76
A12/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
91avg 76
H16/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
58avg 76
A21/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 76
A05/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
65-56
65
56
+9
59avg 76
H10/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
95-80
95
80
+15
92avg 76
H14/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
66-99
66
99
-33
54avg 76
A21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-22
23-27
21-23
29-22
13-24
19-24
23-21
14-17
18-22
21-18
12-9
23-20
24-13
23-15
18-20
20-23
24-13
19-25
23-25
16-19
19-26
22-20
9-13
25-17
19-25
23-21
16-22
14-12
15-15
15-15
21-14
28-26
19-21
22-19
26-14
12-23
13-36
22-23
19-17
159.9Avg total
78.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.482.1163.5-0.747%
Season at home (8)83.479.2162.6+4.175%
Season away (9)79.784.7164.3-5.022%
Last 10 (10)78.981.0159.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)75.079.6154.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
vs Similar (10)82.782.7165.4+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.389.0175.3-2.733%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#13
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 69
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 69
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
59-86
59
86
-27
52avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 69
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 69
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 69
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 69
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 69
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 69
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 69
H21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
23-11
12-14
17-19
26-20
11-8
21-23
22-19
5-16
20-23
17-26
17-21
17-21
22-22
17-24
18-18
15-19
20-23
21-15
16-24
24-24
20-23
17-24
27-20
19-26
26-22
13-15
24-25
19-27
29-18
21-19
16-8
11-23
23-18
21-22
24-27
19-18
22-21
22-20
14-27
158.0Avg total
76.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.181.1157.2-5.033%
Season at home (9)79.480.3159.8-0.944%
Season away (9)72.881.9154.7-9.122%
Last 10 (10)76.981.1158.0-4.230%
Last 5 (5)82.285.4167.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.082.8155.8-9.817%
vs Similar (17)79.577.0156.5+2.559%
vs Weaker (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
This opponent (Blu Basket Bergamo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
Blu Basket BergamoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Blu Basket BergamoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A29/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A02/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H09/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H10/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H14/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
25-59
25
59
-34
A21/12
Serie A2
80.1Avg total
38.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)40.241.181.4-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (8)40.239.579.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (9)40.242.682.8-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.880.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.080.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.535.272.8+2.275%-
vs Similar (10)40.542.783.2-2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.043.786.7-0.733%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/12
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
39.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.979.0-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.680.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.177.4-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.179.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.086.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.038.774.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (17)41.939.981.8+2.159%-
vs Weaker (1)30.054.084.0-24.00%-
This opponent (Blu Basket Bergamo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Blu Basket Bergamotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Blu Basket Bergamo: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.8
54.9%
50.8%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.1
31.2%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.714.8
68.2%
74.4%14.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.014.5
43.9%
50.8%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.5
41.4%
34.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
74.4%12.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Blu Basket Bergamo
LWWLLWWLLL
Forli
LLWLLLLLWW
#11
League position
#17
-3.4
Net rating
-6.2
106.8
Offensive rating
107.4
110.2
Defensive rating
113.6
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.2%
3-point %
41.4%
65.1%
Assist %
56.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 107.4Defence110.2 · 113.6Shooting51.1% · 52.2%3-point %31.2% · 41.4%Ball care19.1% · 14.8%Off. rebounds33.8% · 22.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Blu Basket Bergamo   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Blu Basket Bergamo wins
0
Forli wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ABasket Torino66-99
14/12/25HBrindisi95-80
10/12/25HFortitudo Bologna65-56
05/12/25ACividale83-85
21/11/25AVerona66-78
16/11/25HScafati95-93 OT
12/11/25ASebastiani Rieti88-68
09/11/25HJuVi Cremona65-66
02/11/25ARuvo Di Puglia84-91
29/10/25AAvellino Basket82-94
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HRimini77-86
14/12/25AAvellino Basket79-90
08/12/25HPistoia85-72
30/11/25ARoseto82-88
26/11/25HPesaro88-91
23/11/25AFortitudo Bologna72-81
16/11/25HVerona74-85
12/11/25ALibertas Livorno59-86
09/11/25HUrania Milano80-70
02/11/25ABasket Torino73-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Blu Basket Bergamo
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%75%22%
Points / game81.483.479.7
Allowed / game82.179.284.7
Point differential-0.7+4.1-5.0
Avg total163.5162.6164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game76.179.472.8
Allowed / game81.180.381.9
Point differential-5.0-0.9-9.1
Avg total157.2159.8154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1813572%82.476.7+5.7
2 Rimini1812667%82.176.4+5.7
3 Brindisi1812667%78.172.8+5.2
4 Verona1812667%77.873.7+4.2
5 Libertas Livorno1811761%77.672.3+5.3
6 Fortitudo Bologna1811761%75.971.7+4.3
7 Avellino Basket1811761%81.077.0+4.0
8 Cividale1811761%77.675.6+2.0
9 Scafati1810856%82.378.9+3.3
10 Sebastiani Rieti1810856%79.978.3+1.6
11 Basket Torino1910953%74.673.4+1.2
12 Mestre189950%78.580.1-1.6
13 Blu Basket Bergamo178947%81.482.1-0.7
14 Cento1881044%78.179.2-1.1
15 Pistoia1861233%78.281.6-3.4
16 Forli1861233%76.181.1-5.0
17 JuVi Cremona1861233%73.279.7-6.5
18 Urania Milano1861233%77.083.5-6.5
19 Roseto1841422%79.885.8-5.9
20 Ruvo Di Puglia1841422%73.585.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Blu Basket Bergamo2624271693
Forli2222171879
← all games of the day
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