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BMS Herlev vs Bakken Bears Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game97.0
BMS Herlev
Denmark
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Bakken Bears
Denmark
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game74.9
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · BMS Herlev v Bakken Bears
16 Jan 2027
BMS v BBE
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
BMS 66
BBE120
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Gladsaxe
#8
L
70-102
70
102
-32
49avg 67
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 67
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 67
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
33avg 67
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 67
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
67-105
67
105
-38
55avg 67
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
89avg 67
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
67-93
67
93
-26
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
57-98
57
98
-41
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
H12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
10-33
13-21
25-27
25-31
18-36
27-16
25-23
26-21
12-16
16-25
23-18
17-27
12-35
11-30
15-25
22-18
14-31
23-19
12-25
20-19
19-34
14-27
14-25
25-23
24-25
17-17
23-24
17-12
20-18
11-33
19-30
11-28
12-24
17-26
17-20
25-20
11-23
16-22
26-26
172.8Avg total
73.6Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.497.0171.4-22.69%
Season at home (6)77.3102.7180.0-25.30%
Season away (5)70.890.2161.0-19.420%
Last 10 (10)73.699.2172.8-25.60%
Last 5 (5)73.698.8172.4-25.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.096.6171.6-21.612%
vs Similar (5)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Geneva Lions
#17
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 90
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#11
W
123-82
123
82
+41
120avg 90
A18/10
Basketligaen
Absheron Lions
#45
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
86avg 90
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BMS Herlev
#12
W
105-67
105
67
+38
103avg 90
H24/10
Basketligaen
BC Prievidza
#23
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 90
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
105-75
105
75
+30
105avg 90
A30/10
Basketligaen
Denizli Basket
#31
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Benfica
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vejen
#9
W
126-61
126
61
+65
no box
A13/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
10-22
26-12
15-19
31-23
25-18
33-19
34-22
17-19
15-18
30-22
19-22
19-20
34-19
27-14
25-14
20-20
19-16
19-22
25-20
29-8
18-23
27-29
31-15
22-18
14-20
24-21
20-17
19-20
19-21
24-17
15-22
20-26
22-24
24-24
13-20
30-24
24-17
39-13
33-7
172.1Avg total
94.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)104.774.9179.6+29.889%
Season at home (4)100.873.0173.8+27.8100%
Season away (5)107.876.4184.2+31.480%
Last 10 (10)94.777.4172.1+17.380%
Last 5 (5)93.477.2170.6+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.685.2163.8-6.640%
vs Similar (2)78.578.0156.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)98.078.5176.5+19.582%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -12.3-12.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +5.2+5.2
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -12.3-12.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +5.2+5.2
BMS HerlevBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladsaxe
#8
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H12/11
Basketligaen
85.7Avg total
36.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.446.686.0-7.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.346.886.1-7.438%-
Last 30 away (14)39.446.485.9-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.249.585.7-13.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.282.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.848.487.1-9.624%-
vs Similar (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geneva Lions
#17
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A18/10
Basketligaen
Absheron Lions
#45
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BMS Herlev
#12
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H24/10
Basketligaen
BC Prievidza
#23
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A30/10
Basketligaen
Denizli Basket
#31
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/11
Basketligaen
Benfica
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vejen
#9
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/11
Basketligaen
83.0Avg total
43.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.585.2+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.938.686.6+9.379%-
Last 30 away (16)43.840.284.0+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.683.0+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.283.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.843.081.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (2)37.039.576.5-2.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.238.486.6+9.882%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.2
46.9%
55.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
31.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.813.2
63.5%
68.0%13.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.826.8
64.1%
55.2%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.5
31.8%
31.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.913.8
66.0%
68.0%13.8
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev
LLLLLLLLLL
Bakken Bears
WLLWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-13.1
Net rating
+19.5
81.6
Offensive rating
101.5
94.7
Defensive rating
82.0
47.4%
Effective FG%
56.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.0%
3-point %
31.8%
57.8%
Assist %
60.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence81.6 · 101.5Defence94.7 · 82.0Shooting47.4% · 56.9%3-point %32.0% · 31.8%Ball care18.3% · 14.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ BMS Herlev   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BMS Herlev wins
3
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Bakken Bears v BMS Herlev105-67
20/01/26Bakken Bears v BMS Herlev99-52
16/01/26BMS Herlev v Bakken Bears66-120
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HSvendborg78-91
08/11/26AHorsens57-98
04/11/26HCopenhagen67-93
30/10/26HVaerlose99-107 OT
24/10/26ABakken Bears67-105
18/10/26ARanders71-93
10/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved55-117
01/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus77-80
26/09/26HVejen95-106
23/09/26HGladsaxe70-102
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AVejen126-61
11/11/26ABenfica79-94
08/11/26ATeam FOG Naestved77-80
03/11/26ADenizli Basket80-76
30/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus105-75
27/10/26ABC Prievidza83-78
24/10/26HBMS Herlev105-67
21/10/26HAbsheron Lions91-88 OT
18/10/26AVaerlose123-82
14/10/26AGeneva Lions78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%0%20%
Points / game74.477.370.8
Allowed / game97.0102.790.2
Point differential-22.6-25.3-19.4
Avg total171.4180.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game104.7100.8107.8
Allowed / game74.973.076.4
Point differential+29.8+27.8+31.4
Avg total179.6173.8184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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