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BMS Herlev vs Horsens Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game97.0
BMS Herlev
Denmark
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Horsens
Denmark
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game77.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · BMS Herlev v Horsens
13 Feb 2027
BMS v HORS
upcoming
10 Oct 2025
BMS 68
HORS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Gladsaxe
#8
L
70-102
70
102
-32
49avg 67
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 67
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 67
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
33avg 67
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 67
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
67-105
67
105
-38
55avg 67
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
89avg 67
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
67-93
67
93
-26
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
57-98
57
98
-41
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
H12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
10-33
13-21
25-27
25-31
18-36
27-16
25-23
26-21
12-16
16-25
23-18
17-27
12-35
11-30
15-25
22-18
14-31
23-19
12-25
20-19
19-34
14-27
14-25
25-23
24-25
17-17
23-24
17-12
20-18
11-33
19-30
11-28
12-24
17-26
17-20
25-20
11-23
16-22
26-26
172.8Avg total
73.6Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.497.0171.4-22.69%
Season at home (6)77.3102.7180.0-25.30%
Season away (5)70.890.2161.0-19.420%
Last 10 (10)73.699.2172.8-25.60%
Last 5 (5)73.698.8172.4-25.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.096.6171.6-21.612%
vs Similar (5)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
86avg 77
A17/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 77
A24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
66avg 77
H27/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 77
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 77
A10/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
92avg 77
H15/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 77
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
105avg 77
A28/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
A04/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
98-57
98
57
+41
no box
H08/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
16-25
23-13
29-19
13-27
21-19
21-10
9-27
15-31
21-28
15-24
22-18
20-25
26-16
21-21
32-17
16-22
21-20
27-13
16-14
23-18
43-24
0-0
31-41
28-25
18-21
22-20
26-18
30-21
26-17
19-13
27-15
25-21
22-12
19-21
27-30
28-11
24-12
26-17
20-17
166.8Avg total
89.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Season at home (5)92.280.8173.0+11.480%
Season away (5)86.274.4160.6+11.880%
Last 10 (10)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Last 5 (5)96.874.8171.6+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.190.4171.5-9.333%
vs Similar (5)85.279.2164.4+6.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.677.5172.1+17.190%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -12.3-12.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -12.3-12.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
BMS HerlevHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladsaxe
#8
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H12/11
Basketligaen
85.7Avg total
36.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.446.686.0-7.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.346.886.1-7.438%-
Last 30 away (14)39.446.485.9-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.249.585.7-13.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.282.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.848.487.1-9.624%-
vs Similar (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A24/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H27/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H15/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A28/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H08/11
Basketligaen
86.8Avg total
46.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.686.4+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.840.186.9+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.285.9-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)46.040.886.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)53.436.489.8+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.246.387.5-5.127%-
vs Similar (5)39.839.679.4+0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)49.538.688.1+10.980%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.2
46.9%
55.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
31.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.813.2
63.5%
68.0%13.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.5
56.6%
55.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
31.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.214.8
61.2%
68.0%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev
LLLLLLLLLL
Horsens
WWWWWWWLLW
#12
League position
#3
-13.1
Net rating
+0.4
81.6
Offensive rating
95.0
94.7
Defensive rating
94.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.0%
3-point %
34.4%
57.8%
Assist %
65.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence81.6 · 95.0Defence94.7 · 94.6Shooting47.4% · 54.5%3-point %32.0% · 34.4%Ball care18.3% · 16.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ BMS Herlev   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BMS Herlev wins
3
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Horsens v BMS Herlev98-57
16/11/25Horsens v BMS Herlev89-73
10/10/25BMS Herlev v Horsens68-90
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HSvendborg78-91
08/11/26AHorsens57-98
04/11/26HCopenhagen67-93
30/10/26HVaerlose99-107 OT
24/10/26ABakken Bears67-105
18/10/26ARanders71-93
10/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved55-117
01/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus77-80
26/09/26HVejen95-106
23/09/26HGladsaxe70-102
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBMS Herlev98-57
04/11/26ABears Academy93-84
28/10/26AVejen102-66
23/10/26HRanders94-84
15/10/26HHolbaek-Stenhus97-83
10/10/26ACopenhagen80-69
02/10/26HVaerlose99-79
27/09/26HTeam FOG Naestved73-101
24/09/26ABakken Bears64-83
17/09/26ASvendborg92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%0%20%
Points / game74.477.370.8
Allowed / game97.0102.790.2
Point differential-22.6-25.3-19.4
Avg total171.4180.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game89.292.286.2
Allowed / game77.680.874.4
Point differential+11.6+11.4+11.8
Avg total166.8173.0160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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