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BMS Herlev vs Randers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game97.0
BMS Herlev
Denmark
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Randers
Denmark
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game86.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · BMS Herlev v Randers
09 Jan 2027
BMS v RAND
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
BMS 75
RAND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Randers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Gladsaxe
#8
L
70-102
70
102
-32
49avg 67
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 67
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 67
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
33avg 67
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 67
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
67-105
67
105
-38
55avg 67
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
89avg 67
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
L
67-93
67
93
-26
no box
H04/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
57-98
57
98
-41
no box
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
H12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
10-33
13-21
25-27
25-31
18-36
27-16
25-23
26-21
12-16
16-25
23-18
17-27
12-35
11-30
15-25
22-18
14-31
23-19
12-25
20-19
19-34
14-27
14-25
25-23
24-25
17-17
23-24
17-12
20-18
11-33
19-30
11-28
12-24
17-26
17-20
25-20
11-23
16-22
26-26
172.8Avg total
73.6Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.497.0171.4-22.69%
Season at home (6)77.3102.7180.0-25.30%
Season away (5)70.890.2161.0-19.420%
Last 10 (10)73.699.2172.8-25.60%
Last 5 (5)73.698.8172.4-25.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.096.6171.6-21.612%
vs Similar (5)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 89
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 89
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
87avg 89
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
117-73
117
73
+44
123avg 89
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 89
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 89
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 89
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
110-80
110
80
+30
109avg 89
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
no box
A07/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
H12/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
33-32
26-12
20-18
22-10
15-33
25-29
21-24
13-16
23-20
25-14
12-23
21-16
24-22
38-15
34-20
27-27
14-27
25-25
20-24
18-22
31-14
19-23
25-12
25-28
21-18
20-22
18-26
30-16
27-17
17-27
36-20
29-22
21-22
25-15
21-31
24-25
23-19
28-14
23-26
181.6Avg total
95.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.686.0181.6+9.670%
Season at home (5)100.280.8181.0+19.480%
Season away (5)91.091.2182.2-0.260%
Last 10 (10)95.686.0181.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)96.283.8180.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)87.391.9179.2-4.644%
vs Similar (8)91.693.1184.8-1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)100.080.4180.4+19.692%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -12.3-12.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -12.3-12.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
BMS HerlevRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladsaxe
#8
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A24/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H12/11
Basketligaen
85.7Avg total
36.2Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.446.686.0-7.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.346.886.1-7.438%-
Last 30 away (14)39.446.485.9-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.249.585.7-13.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.282.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.848.487.1-9.624%-
vs Similar (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A10/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H18/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/10
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#8
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H30/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H12/11
Basketligaen
89.0Avg total
46.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.442.890.2+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.242.792.9+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.987.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.889.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.690.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.948.692.4-4.756%-
vs Similar (8)46.542.989.4+3.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.338.889.2+11.585%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.2
46.9%
55.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
31.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.813.2
63.5%
68.0%13.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.3
57.1%
55.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
31.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.5
80.8%
68.0%18.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev
LLLLLLLLLL
Randers
WWWLWLWWLW
#12
League position
#5
-13.1
Net rating
+12.8
81.6
Offensive rating
97.8
94.7
Defensive rating
85.1
47.4%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.0%
3-point %
35.8%
57.8%
Assist %
65.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence81.6 · 97.8Defence94.7 · 85.1Shooting47.4% · 55.7%3-point %32.0% · 35.8%Ball care18.3% · 18.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ BMS Herlev   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BMS Herlev wins
3
Randers wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Randers v BMS Herlev93-71
04/01/26Randers v BMS Herlev107-79
27/09/25BMS Herlev v Randers75-94
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HSvendborg78-91
08/11/26AHorsens57-98
04/11/26HCopenhagen67-93
30/10/26HVaerlose99-107 OT
24/10/26ABakken Bears67-105
18/10/26ARanders71-93
10/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved55-117
01/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus77-80
26/09/26HVejen95-106
23/09/26HGladsaxe70-102
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HTeam FOG Naestved98-84
07/11/26ACopenhagen96-90
30/10/26HGladsaxe110-80
23/10/26AHorsens84-94
18/10/26HBMS Herlev93-71
10/10/26ABakken Bears86-103
03/10/26HBears Academy117-73
27/09/26AVaerlose89-85 OT
23/09/26HSvendborg83-96
17/09/26AHolbaek-Stenhus100-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%0%20%
Points / game74.477.370.8
Allowed / game97.0102.790.2
Point differential-22.6-25.3-19.4
Avg total171.4180.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game95.6100.291.0
Allowed / game86.080.891.2
Point differential+9.6+19.4-0.2
Avg total181.6181.0182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1110191%99.072.6+26.4
2 Bakken Bears98189%104.774.9+29.8
3 Horsens108280%89.277.6+11.6
4 Svendborg108280%90.679.7+10.9
5 Randers107370%95.686.0+9.6
6 Copenhagen105550%83.082.3+0.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus115645%78.286.2-8.0
8 Gladsaxe103730%79.488.9-9.5
9 Vejen103730%78.996.8-17.9
10 Bears Academy112918%79.591.1-11.6
11 Vaerlose112918%77.891.2-13.4
12 BMS Herlev111109%74.497.0-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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